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In a network, a local disturbance can propagate and eventually cause a substantial part of the system to fail, in cascade events that are easy to conceptualize but extraordinarily difficult to predict. Here, we develop a statistical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-07 Yang Yang , Takashi Nishikawa , Adilson E. Motter

This paper considers a model for cascades on random networks in which the cascade propagation at any node depends on the load at the failed neighbor, the degree of the neighbor as well as the load at that node. Each node in the network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-17 Srikanth K. Iyer , Rahul Vaze , Dheeraj Narasimha

We study the task of selecting $k$ nodes, in a social network of size $n$, to seed a diffusion with maximum expected spread size, under the independent cascade model with cascade probability $p$. Most of the previous work on this problem…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Dean Eckles , Hossein Esfandiari , Elchanan Mossel , M. Amin Rahimian

The dynamics of diffusion in complex networks are widely studied to understand how entities, such as information, diseases, or behaviors, spread in an interconnected environment. Complex networks often present community structure, and tools…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-09 Alina Dubovskaya , Caroline B. Pena , David J. P. O'Sullivan

We consider the problems of reaching average consensus and solving consensus-based optimization over unreliable communication networks wherein packets may be dropped accidentally during transmission. Existing work either assumes that the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2018-12-11 Lili Su

Information cascades are ubiquitous in various social networking web sites. What mechanisms drive information diffuse in the networks? How does the structure and size of the cascades evolve in time? When and which users will adopt a certain…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-12-29 Tao Wu , Leiting Chen , Xingping Xian , Yuxiao Guo

We consider the problems of computing the average degree and the size of a given network in a distributed fashion under quantized communication. We present two distributed algorithms which rely on quantized operation (i.e., nodes process…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-30 Apostolos I. Rikos , Themistoklis Charalambous , Christoforos N. Hadjicostis , Karl H. Johansson

We live in a modern world supported by large, complex networks. Examples range from financial markets to communication and transportation systems. In many realistic situations the flow of physical quantities in the network, as characterized…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Adilson E. Motter , Ying-Cheng Lai

Message passing techniques on networks encompasses a family of related methods that can be employed to ascertain many important properties of a network. It is widely considered to be the state of the art formulation for networked systems…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-24 Peter Mann , Simon Dobson

In the broadcasting problem on trees, a $\{-1,1\}$-message originating in an unknown node is passed along the tree with a certain error probability $q$. The goal is to estimate the original message without knowing the order in which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-12 Ernst Althaus , Lisa Hartung , Rebecca Steiner

We study an extension of Duncan Watts' 2002 model of information cascades in social networks where edge weights are taken to be random, an innovation motivated by recent applications of cascade analysis to systemic risk in financial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-27 T. R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson

An algorithm for efficiently calculating the expected size of single-seed cascade dynamics on networks is proposed and tested. The expected size is a time-dependent quantity and so enables the identification of nodes who are the most…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-01 James P. Gleeson , Ailbhe Cassidy , Daniel Giles , Ali Faqeeh

In this paper, we consider the problem of distributed inference in tree based networks. In the framework considered in this paper, distributed nodes make a 1-bit local decision regarding a phenomenon before sending it to the fusion center…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Bhavya Kailkhura , Aditya Vempaty , Pramod K. Varshney

From biotechnology to cyber-risks, most extreme technological risks cannot be reliably estimated from historical statistics. Therefore, engineers resort to predictive methods, such as fault/event trees in the framework of probabilistic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-26 D. Sornette , T. Maillart , W. Kroeger

An important problem of reconstruction of diffusion network and transmission probabilities from the data has attracted a considerable attention in the past several years. A number of recent papers introduced efficient algorithms for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-24 Andrey Y. Lokhov , Theodor Misiakiewicz

In recent times we hear increasingly often about cyber attacks on various commercial and strategic sites that manage to escape any defense. In this article, we model such attacks on networks via stochastic processes and predict the time of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Jewgeni H. Dshalalow , Ryan T. White

As cyber attacks have become more frequent, cyber insurance premiums have increased, resulting in the need for better modeling of cyber risk. Toward this direction, Jevti\'{c} and Lanchier (2020) proposed a dynamic structural model of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Stefano Chiaradonna , Nicolas Lanchier

Research on information diffusion generally assumes complete knowledge of the underlying network. However, in the presence of factors such as increasing privacy awareness, restrictions on application programming interfaces (APIs) and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-05-22 Václav Belák , Afra Mashhadi , Alessandra Sala , Donn Morrison

We introduce a probabilistic framework that represents stylized banking networks with the aim of predicting the size of contagion events. Most previous work on random financial networks assumes independent connections between banks, whereas…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-12 Thomas R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson , Sergey Melnik

How can we localize the source of diffusion in a complex network? Due to the tremendous size of many real networks--such as the Internet or the human social graph--it is usually infeasible to observe the state of all nodes in a network. We…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Pedro C. Pinto , Patrick Thiran , Martin Vetterli