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Related papers: Kernel Smoothing of the Treatment Effect CDF

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We consider estimating a low-dimensional parameter in an estimating equation involving high-dimensional nuisances that depend on the parameter. A central example is the efficient estimating equation for the (local) quantile treatment effect…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-18 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Masatoshi Uehara

Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

A PCA-based, machine learning version of the SPH method is proposed. In the present scheme, the smoothing tensor is computed to have their eigenvalues proportional to the covariance's principal components, using a modified octree data…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-06-17 Eraldo Pereira Marinho

The double/debiased machine learning (DML) framework has become a cornerstone of modern causal inference, allowing researchers to utilise flexible machine learning models for the estimation of nuisance functions without introducing…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-19 Charles Shaw

This paper studies the cumulative causal effects of sequential treatments in the presence of unmeasured confounders. It is a critical issue in sequential decision-making scenarios where treatment decisions and outcomes dynamically evolve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Yingrong Wang , Anpeng Wu , Baohong Li , Ziyang Xiao , Ruoxuan Xiong , Qing Han , Kun Kuang

In the absence of data from a randomized trial, researchers often aim to use observational data to draw causal inference about the effect of a treatment on a time-to-event outcome. In this context, interest often focuses on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Ted Westling , Alex Luedtke , Peter Gilbert , Marco Carone

In this paper we show how to use Fourier transform methods to analyze the asymptotic behavior of kernel distribution function estimators. Exact expressions for the mean integrated squared error in terms of the characteristic function of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-17 José E. Chacón , Pablo Monfort , Carlos Tenreiro

We study the conditional Cauchy-Schwarz divergence (C-CSD) as a symmetric and density-free measure for time series analysis. We derive a practical kernel based estimator using radial basis function kernels on both the condition and output…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Jiayi Wang

Conditional density estimation (CDE) is a fundamental task in machine learning that aims to model the full conditional law $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{x})$, beyond mere point prediction (e.g., mean, mode). A core challenge is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Chenglong Song , Mazharul Islam , Lin Wang , Bing Chen , Bo Yang

With a large number of baseline covariates, we propose a new semi-parametric modeling strategy for heterogeneous treatment effect estimation and individualized treatment selection, which are two major goals in personalized medicine. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-12 Wenchuan Guo , Xiao-hua Zhou , Shujie Ma

In the spatial point process context, kernel intensity estimation has been mainly restricted to exploratory analysis due to its lack of consistency. Different methods have been analysed to overcome this problem, and the inclusion of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-21 M. I. Borrajo , W. González-Manteiga , M. D. Martínez-Miranda

This paper discusses the local linear smoothing to estimate the unknown first and second infinitesimal moments in second-order jump-diffusion model based on Gamma asymmetric kernels. Under the mild conditions, we obtain the weak consistency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Yuping Song , Hanchao Wang

This paper introduces the centroid decision forest (CDF), a novel ensemble learning framework that redefines the splitting strategy and tree building in the ordinary decision trees for high-dimensional classification. The splitting approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 Amjad Ali , Saeed Aldahmani , Hailiang Du , Zardad Khan

Differences-in-differences (DiD) is a causal inference method for observational longitudinal data that assumes parallel expected potential outcome trajectories between treatment groups under the counterfactual scenario where all units…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Michael Jetsupphasuk , Didong Li , Michael G. Hudgens

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for investigating causal relationships, with comparisons of potential outcomes under different treatment groups used to estimate treatment effects. However, outcomes with heavy-tailed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Hongzi Li , Wei Ma , Yingying Ma , Hanzhong Liu

Estimating the empirical distribution of a scalar-valued data set is a basic and fundamental task. In this paper, we tackle the problem of estimating an empirical distribution in a setting with two challenging features. First, the algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Princewill Okoroafor , Vaishnavi Gupta , Robert Kleinberg , Eleanor Goh

This paper deals with a nonparametric warped kernel estimator $\widehat b$ of the drift function computed from independent continuous observations of a diffusion process. A risk bound on $\widehat b$ is established. The paper also deals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Nicolas Marie , Amélie Rosier

Causal inference from observational data requires untestable identification assumptions. If these assumptions apply, machine learning (ML) methods can be used to study complex forms of causal effect heterogeneity. Recently, several ML…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-20 Richard Post , Isabel van den Heuvel , Marko Petkovic , Edwin van den Heuvel

The cumulative distribution network (CDN) is a recently developed class of probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) permitting a copula factorization, in which the CDF, rather than the density, is factored. Despite there being much recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-17 Stefan Douglas Webb

Skin color has historically been a focal point of discrimination, yet fairness research in machine learning for medical imaging often relies on coarse subgroup categories, overlooking individual-level variations. Such group-based approaches…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Kuniko Paxton , Zeinab Dehghani , Koorosh Aslansefat , Dhavalkumar Thakker , Yiannis Papadopoulos