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We propose a nonparametric estimator of the jump activity index $\beta$ of a pure-jump semimartingale $X$ driven by a $\beta$-stable process when the underlying observations are coming from a high-frequency setting at irregular times. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Adrian Theopold , Mathias Vetter

Asymptotic theory for approximate martingale estimating functions is generalised to diffusions with finite-activity jumps, when the sampling frequency and terminal sampling time go to infinity. Rate optimality and efficiency are of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-05 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

We derive a nonparametric estimator of the jump-activity index $\beta$ of a "locally-stable" pure-jump It\^{o} semimartingale from discrete observations of the process on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-19 Viktor Todorov

In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as semimartingales, with drift, diffusion and jump components. The jump activity index measures the strength of the jumps at high frequencies, and is of interest both in model selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Adam D. Bull

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than two decades. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems has been the estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

We propose a new test to determine whether jumps are present in asset returns or other discretely sampled processes. As the sampling interval tends to 0, our test statistic converges to 1 if there are jumps, and to another deterministic and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

We derive limit theorems for the empirical distribution function of "devolatilized" increments of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at high frequencies. These "devolatilized" increments are formed by suitably rescaling and truncating the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

In applications the properties of a stochastic feature often change gradually rather than abruptly, that is: after a constant phase for some time they slowly start to vary. In this paper we discuss statistical inference for the detection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-14 Michael Hoffmann , Mathias Vetter , Holger Dette

This paper derives the asymptotic behavior of realized power variation of pure-jump It\^{o} semimartingales as the sampling frequency within a fixed interval increases to infinity. We prove convergence in probability and an associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-07 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

We propose statistical tests to discriminate between the finite and infinite activity of jumps in a semimartingale discretely observed at high frequency. The two statistics allow for a symmetric treatment of the problem: we can either take…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

This paper presents the nonparametric inference for nonlinear volatility functionals of general multivariate It\^o semimartingales, in high-frequency and noisy setting. Pre-averaging and truncation enable simultaneous handling of noise and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Richard Y. Chen

Given an It\^o semimartingale $X$, its Markovian projection is an It\^o semimartingale $\widehat{X}$, with Markovian differential characteristics, that matches the one-dimensional marginal laws of $X$. One may even require certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Martin Larsson , Shukun Long

We consider a Markov jump process on a general state space to which we apply a time-dependent weak perturbation over a finite time interval. By martingale-based stochastic calculus, under a suitable exponential moment bound for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Alessandra Faggionato , Vittoria Silvestri

In this paper we consider two semimartingales driven by diffusions and jumps. We allow both for finite activity and for infinite activity jump components. Given discrete observations we disentangle the {\it integrated covariation} (the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Fabio Gobbi , Cecilia Mancini

The optimal rate of convergence of estimators of the integrated volatility, for a discontinuous It\^{o} semimartingale sampled at regularly spaced times and over a fixed time interval, has been a long-standing problem, at least when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Jean Jacod , Markus Reiss

This paper studies the identification of the L\'{e}vy jump measure of a discretely-sampled semimartingale. We define successive Blumenthal-Getoor indices of jump activity, and show that the leading index can always be identified, but that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

This paper is concerned with tests for changes in the jump behaviour of a time-continuous process. Based on results on weak convergence of a sequential empirical tail integral process, asymptotics of certain tests statistics for breaks in…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-18 Axel Bücher , Michael Hoffmann , Mathias Vetter , Holger Dette

We develop an adaptive jump test for discretely observed high-frequency semimartingales by combining the A"it-Sahalia--Jacod ratio statistic (A"it-Sahalia and Jacod, 2009) and the Lee--Mykland extreme-return statistic (Lee and Mykland,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Huifang Ma , Long Feng

We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini
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