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We define the local empirical process, based on $n$ i.i.d. random vectors in dimension $d$, in the neighborhood of the boundary of a fixed set. Under natural conditions on the shrinking neighborhood, we show that, for these local empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-22 John H. J. Einmahl , Estáte V. Khmaladze

The Semi-Markov property of Continuous Time Random Walks (CTRWs) and their limit processes is utilized, and the probability distributions of the bivariate Markov process $(X(t),V(t))$ are calculated: $X(t)$ is a CTRW limit and $V(t)$ a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-20 G. Gill , P. Straka

We prove a dichotomy for Manneville-Pomeau maps $f:[0,1]\to [0, 1]$: given any point $\zeta\in [0,1]$, either the Rare Events Point Processes (REPP), counting the number of exceedances, which correspond to entrances in balls around $\zeta$,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd , Sandro Vaienti

In this paper, we propose a new interpretation of local limit theorems for univariate and multivariate distributions on lattices. We show that - given a local limit theorem in the standard sense - the distributions are approximated well by…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-09 Michael Fleermann , Werner Kirsch , Gabor Toth

For a numerical sequence ${a_n}$ satisfying broad assumptions on its "behaviour on average" and a random walk $S_n=\xi_1 +...+\xi_n$ with i.i.d. jumps $\xi_j$ with positive mean $\mu$, we establish the asymptotic behaviour of the sums…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-29 Alexander A. Borovkov , Konstantin A. Borovkov

In this paper we study the probability distribution of the position of a tagged particle in the $q$-deformed Totally Asymmetric Zero Range Process ($q$-TAZRP) with site dependent jumping rates. For a finite particle system, it is derived…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-28 Eunghyun Lee , Dong Wang

The paper consists of two parts. In the first part we review recent work on limit theorems for random walks in random environment (RWRE) on a strip with jumps to the nearest layers. In the second part, we prove the quenched Local Limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Ilya Goldsheid

We consider a model for random walks on random environments (RWRE) with random subset of Z^d as the vertices, and uniform transition probabilities on 2d points (two "coordinate nearest points" in each of the d coordinate directions). We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Noam Berger , Ron Rosenthal

We apply periodic orbit theory to study the asymptotic distribution of escape times from an intermittent map. The dynamical zeta function exhibits a branch point which is associated with an asymptotic power law escape. By an analytic…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Per Dahlqvist

In [3] the radius of convergence of the generating function of the collision local time of two independent copies of an irreducible, symmetric and transient random walk on Zd, d \geq 1, was studied. Two versions were considered: z1, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-11 Frank den Hollander , Alex A. Opoku

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on $\mathbb{Z}_+^d$ $d >2$, having increments $e_1$, $-e_i+e_{i+1}$ $i=1,2,3,...,d-1$ and $-e_d$ with probabilities $\lambda$, $\mu_1$, $\mu_2$,...,$\mu_d$, where $\{e_1,e_2,..,e_d\}$ are the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Ali Devin Sezer

Let $Z_{n,}n=0,1,...,$ be a branching process evolving in the random environment generated by a sequence of iid generating functions $% f_{0}(s),f_{1}(s),...,$ and let $S_{0}=0,S_{k}=X_{1}+...+X_{k},k\geq 1,$ be the associated random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-09 V. Vatutin , A. E. Kyprianou

In this paper, we present the asymptotic distribution of M-estimators for parameters in non-stationary AR(p) processes. The innovations are assumed to be in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index $0<\alpha\le2$. In particular,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-13 Maryam Sohrabi , Mahmoud Zarepour

Let $\mathbb{P}_{\kappa}(n)$ be the probability that $n$ points $z_1,\ldots,z_n$ picked uniformly and independently in $\mathfrak{C}_\kappa$, a regular $\kappa$-gon with area $1$, are in convex position, that is, form the vertex set of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Ludovic Morin

The first step in the formulation and study of the Riemann Hypothesis is the analytic continuation of the Riemann Zeta Function (RZF) in the full Complex Plane with a pole at $s=1$. In the current work, we study the analytic continuation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Vlad Margarint , Stanislav Molchanov

A subcritical branching process in random environment (BPRE) is considered whose associated random walk does not satisfy the Cramer condition. The asymptotics for the survival probability of the process is investigated, and a Yaglom type…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-11 Vladimir Vatutin , Xinghua Zheng

In this work, we consider the problem of building distribution-free prediction intervals with finite-sample conditional coverage guarantees. Conformal prediction (CP) is an increasingly popular framework for building such intervals with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Rohan Hore , Rina Foygel Barber

The conditional randomization test (CRT) was recently proposed to test whether two random variables X and Y are conditionally independent given random variables Z. The CRT assumes that the conditional distribution of X given Z is known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Shuai Li , Ziqi Chen , Hongtu Zhu , Christina Dan Wang , Wang Wen

Branching Processes in Random Environment (BPREs) $(Z\_n:n\geq0)$ are the generalization of Galton-Watson processes where in each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly in an i.i.d. manner. In the supercritical regime, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Vincent Bansaye , Christian Boeinghoff

Motivated by the study of resolvent estimates in the presence of trapping, we prove a semiclassical propagation theorem in a neighborhood of a compact invariant subset of the bicharacteristic flow which is isolated in a suitable sense.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-08-28 Kiril Datchev , András Vasy