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The non-linear autoregressive (NLAR) model plays an important role in modeling and predicting time series. One-step ahead prediction is straightforward using the NLAR model, but the multi-step ahead prediction is cumbersome. For instance,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-08 Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis

Functional autoregressive (FAR) models provide a fundamental framework for analyzing temporally dependent functional data. However, the infinite-dimensional nature of the underlying Hilbert space introduces intrinsic ill-posedness, as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-17 Ying Niu , Yuwei Zhao , Zhao Chen , Christina Dan Wang

This article is concerned with proving the consistency of Efron's (1981) bootstrap for the Kaplan-Meier estimator on the whole support of a survival function. While other works address the asymptotic Gaussianity of the estimator itself…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-19 Dennis Dobler

A linear multiple regression model in function spaces is formulated, under temporal correlated errors. This formulation involves kernel regressors. A generalized least-squared regression parameter estimator is derived. Its asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-07 M. D. Ruiz-Medina , D. Miranda , R. M. Espejo

The functional linear model is an important extension of the classical regression model allowing for scalar responses to be modeled as functions of stochastic processes. Yet, despite the usefulness and popularity of the functional linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stanislav Nagy

We consider the problem of finding confidence intervals for the risk of forecasting the future of a stationary, ergodic stochastic process, using a model estimated from the past of the process. We show that a bootstrap procedure provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Robert Lunde , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

We propose kernel estimator for the distribution function of unobserved errors in autoregressive time series, based on residuals computed by estimating the autoregressive coefficients with the Yule-Walker method. Under mild assumptions, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Jiangyan Wang , Rong Liu , Fuxia Cheng , Lijian Yang

Functional time series analysis, whether based on time of frequency domain methodology, has traditionally been carried out under the assumption of complete observation of the constituent series of curves, assumed stationary. Nevertheless,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Tomáš Rubín , Victor M. Panaretos

We investigate the validity of two resampling techniques when carrying out inference on the underlying unknown copula using a recently proposed class of smooth, possibly data-adaptive nonparametric estimators that contains empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Ivan Kojadinovic , Bingqing Yi

Under the frequency domain framework for weakly dependent functional time series, a key element is the spectral density kernel which encapsulates the second-order dynamics of the process. We propose a class of spectral density kernel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Tingyi Zhu , Dimitris N. Politis

In this paper, we are interested in nonparametric kernel estimation of a generalized regression function, including conditional cumulative distribution and conditional quantile functions, based on an incomplete sample $(X_t, Y_t,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Mohamed Chaouch , Naâmane Laïb

We propose a novel and robust online function-on-scalar regression technique via geometric median to learn associations between functional responses and scalar covariates based on massive or streaming datasets. The online estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Guanghui Cheng , Wenjuan Hu , Ruitao Lin , Chen Wang

We consider the problem of estimating the slope parameter in functional linear regression, where scalar responses Y1,...,Yn are modeled in dependence of second order stationary random functions X1,...,Xn. An orthogonal series estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-28 Jan Johannes

This paper addresses the prediction of stationary functional time series. Existing contributions to this problem have largely focused on the special case of first-order functional autoregressive processes because of their technical…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-01 Alexander Aue , Diogo Dubart Norinho , Siegfried Hörmann

Bootstrapping can produce confidence levels for hypotheses about quadratic regression models - such as whether the U-shape is inverted, and the location of optima. The method has several advantages over conventional methods: it provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-09 Michael Wood

Resampling methods such as the bootstrap have proven invaluable in the field of machine learning. However, the applicability of traditional bootstrap methods is limited when dealing with large streams of dependent data, such as time series…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-28 Nicolai Palm , Thomas Nagler

We consider the problem of estimating an additive regression function in an inverse regres- sion model with a convolution type operator. A smooth backfitting procedure is developed and asymptotic normality of the resulting estimator is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-26 Nicolai Bissantz , Holger Dette , Thimo Hildebrandt

We develop the analytic bootstrap in several directions. First, we discuss the appearance of nonperturbative effects in the Lorentzian inversion formula, which are exponentially suppressed at large spin but important at finite spin. We show…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2019-09-04 Soner Albayrak , David Meltzer , David Poland

Functional data analysis is a fast evolving branch of modern statistics and the functional linear model has become popular in recent years. However, most estimation methods for this model rely on generalized least squares procedures and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stefan Van Aelst