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Probabilistic prediction of sequences from images and other high-dimensional data is a key challenge, particularly in risk-sensitive applications. In these settings, it is often desirable to quantify the uncertainty associated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Qidong Yang , Weicheng Zhu , Joseph Keslin , Laure Zanna , Tim G. J. Rudner , Carlos Fernandez-Granda

Imputing missing values is an important preprocessing step in data analysis, but the literature offers little guidance on how to choose between different imputation models. This letter suggests adopting the imputation model that generates a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-13 Moritz Marbach

In multivariate or spatial extremes, inference for max-stable processes observed at a large collection of locations is among the most challenging problems in computational statistics, and current approaches typically rely on less expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-20 Stefano Castruccio , Raphaël Huser , Marc Genton

We describe and analyze some Monte Carlo methods for manifolds in Euclidean space defined by equality and inequality constraints. First, we give an MCMC sampler for probability distributions defined by un-normalized densities on such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Emilio Zappa , Miranda Holmes-Cerfon , Jonathan Goodman

We propose a new class of robust and Fisher-consistent estimators for mixture models. These estimators can be used to construct robust model-based clustering procedures. We study in detail the case of multivariate normal mixtures and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-09 Juan D. Gonzalez , Ricardo Maronna , Victor J. Yohai , Ruben H. Zamar

Modelling multivariate circular time series is considered. The cross-sectional and serial dependence is described by circulas, which are analogs of copulas for circular distributions. In order to obtain a simple expression of the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-23 Hiroaki Ogata

In this article the issues are discussed with the Bayesian approach, least-square fits, and most-likely fits. Trying to counter these issues, a method, based on weighted confidence, is proposed for estimating probabilities and other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-26 Fetze Pijlman

Curve registration plays a major role in functional data analysis by separating amplitude and phase variation through warping functions and the accurate simulation of warping processes is essential for developing statistical methods that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Nolwenn Le Méhauté , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Marie-Hélène Descary

Subsampling algorithms for various parametric regression models with massive data have been extensively investigated in recent years. However, all existing studies on subsampling heavily rely on clean massive data. In practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-11 Jiangshan Ju , Mingqiu Wang , Shengli Zhao

Bimodal truncated count distributions are frequently observed in aggregate survey data and in user ratings when respondents are mixed in their opinion. They also arise in censored count data, where the highest category might create an…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-24 Pragya Sur , Galit Shmueli , Smarajit Bose , Paromita Dubey

Tau-leaping is a popular discretization method for generating approximate paths of continuous time, discrete space, Markov chains, notably for biochemical reaction systems. To compute expected values in this context, an appropriate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-04 David F. Anderson , Desmond J. Higham , Yu Sun

Loss tomography has been studied for more than 10 years and a number of estimators have been proposed. The estimators can be divided into two classes: maximum likelihood and non-maximum likelihood. The maximum likelihood estimators rely on…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2012-10-03 Weiping Zhu

The main purpose of percolation theory is to model phase transitions in a variety of random systems, which is highly valuable in fields related to materials physics, biology, or otherwise unrelated areas like oil extraction or even quantum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-28 Daniel García Solla

A new nonparametric model of maximum-entropy (MaxEnt) copula density function is proposed, which offers the following advantages: (i) it is valid for mixed random vector. By `mixed' we mean the method works for any combination of discrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Subhadeep , Mukhopadhyay

We explore the class of exchangeable Bernoulli distributions building on their geometrical structure. Exchangeable Bernoulli probability mass functions are points in a convex polytope and we have found analytical expressions for their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Roberto Fontana , Patrizia Semeraro

In the last years there has been a growing interest in proposing methods for estimating covariance functions for geostatistical data. Among these, maximum likelihood estimators have nice features when we deal with a Gaussian model. However…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-27 Moreno Bevilacqua , Carlo Gaetan

In exploratory factor analysis, model parameters are usually estimated by maximum likelihood method. The maximum likelihood estimate is obtained by solving a complicated multivariate algebraic equation. Since the solution to the equation is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Ryoya Fukasaku , Kei Hirose , Yutaro Kabata , Keisuke Teramoto

The proliferation of science and technology has led to the prevalence of voluminous data sets that are distributed across multiple machines. It is an established fact that conventional statistical methodologies may be unfeasible in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Lu Yan , Jiang Hu

The block maxima method is a standard approach for analyzing the extremal behavior of a potentially multivariate time series. It has recently been found that the classical approach based on disjoint block maxima may be universally improved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-26 Axel Bücher , Torben Staud

Cluster-weighted modeling (CWM) is a mixture approach for modeling the joint probability of a response variable and a set of explanatory variables. The parameters are estimated by means of the expectation-maximization algorithm according to…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-09 Salvatore Ingrassia , Simona C. Minotti
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