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The aim of change-point detection is to identify behavioral shifts within time series data. This article focuses on scenarios where the data is derived from an inhomogeneous Poisson process or a marked Poisson process. We present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-07 C. Dion-Blanc , D. Hawat , E. Lebarbier , S. Robin

The segmentation of data into stationary stretches also known as multiple change point problem is important for many applications in time series analysis as well as signal processing. Based on strong invariance principles, we analyse data…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-17 Claudia Kirch , Philipp Klein

This paper considers the detection of change points in parallel data streams, a problem widely encountered when analyzing large-scale real-time streaming data. Each stream may have its own change point, at which its data has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-18 Zexian Lu , Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li

We consider systems of ordinary differential equations with multiple scales in time. In general, we are interested in the long time horizon of a slow variable that is coupled to solution components that act on a fast scale. Although the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Leopold Lautsch , Thomas Richter

Structural change detection problems are often encountered in analytics and econometrics, where the performance of a model can be significantly affected by unforeseen changes in the underlying relationships. Although these problems have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-29 Pekka Malo , Lauri Viitasaari , Olga Gorskikh , Pauliina Ilmonen

Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

We propose a method to infer the presence and location of change-points in the distribution of a sequence of independent data taking values in a general metric space, where change-points are viewed as locations at which the distribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-15 Paromita Dubey , Hans-Georg Müller

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms represent a suite of robust computational methodologies utilized for state estimation and parameter inference within dynamical systems, particularly in real-time or online environments where data…

Mixed outcome endpoints that combine multiple continuous and discrete components to form co-primary, multiple primary or composite endpoints are often employed as primary outcome measures in clinical trials. There are many advantages to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-12 Martina McMenamin , Jessica K. Barrett , Anna Berglind , James M. S. Wason

We derive tests of stationarity for univariate time series by combining change-point tests sensitive to changes in the contemporary distribution with tests sensitive to changes in the serial dependence. The proposed approach relies on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-21 Axel Bücher , Jean-David Fermanian , Ivan Kojadinovic

Cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistics are widely used in the change point inference and identification. For the problem of testing for existence of a change point in an independent sample generated from the mean-shift model, we introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Mengjia Yu , Xiaohui Chen

The statistical analysis of neuronal spike trains by models of point processes often relies on the assumption of constant process parameters. However, it is a well-known problem that the parameters of empirical spike trains can be highly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Michael Messer , Kauê M. Costa , Jochen Roeper , Gaby Schneider

We study the parametric online changepoint detection problem, where the underlying distribution of the streaming data changes from a known distribution to an alternative that is of a known parametric form but with unknown parameters. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-22 Liyan Xie , George V. Moustakides , Yao Xie

We propose a non-parametric statistical procedure for detecting multiple change-points in multidimensional signals. The method is based on a test statistic that generalizes the well-known Kruskal-Wallis procedure to the multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-11 Alexandre Lung-Yut-Fong , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Olivier Cappé

In this paper, we develop new multiscale methods to test qualitative hypotheses about the regression function m in a nonparametric regression model with fixed design points and time series errors. In time series applications, m represents a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Marina Khismatullina , Michael Vogt

Change point analyses are concerned with identifying positions of an ordered stochastic process that undergo abrupt local changes of some underlying distribution. When multiple processes are observed, it is often the case that information…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 José J. Quinlan , Garritt L. Page , Luis M. Castro

Process monitoring and control requires detection of structural changes in a data stream in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed for learning unknown changepoints in continuous time. The…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-29 Melissa J. M. Turcotte , Nicholas A. Heard

It is increasingly the case with modern time series that many data sets of practical interest contain abrupt changes in structure. These changes may occur in complex characteristics such as the extremal dependence structure, and identifying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Euan T. McGonigle , Matthew Pawley , Jordan Richards , Christian Rohrbeck

Time series, as frequently the case in neuroscience, are rarely stationary, but often exhibit abrupt changes due to attractor transitions or bifurcations in the dynamical systems producing them. A plethora of methods for detecting such…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-05 Hazem Toutounji , Daniel Durstewitz

We propose an original and general NOn-SEgmental (NOSE) approach for the detection of multiple change-points. NOSE identifies change-points by the non-negligibility of posterior estimates of the jump heights. Alternatively, under the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-19 Chong Zhong , Zhihua Ma , Xu Zhang , Catherine C. Liu
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