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A saddlepoint approximation of the Student's t-statistic was derived by Daniels and Young [Biometrika 78 (1991) 169-179] under the very stringent exponential moment condition that requires that the underlying density function go down at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Bing-Yi Jing , Qi-Man Shao , Wang Zhou

Over the last decade, a series of applied mathematics papers have explored a type of inverse problem--called by a variety of names including "inverse sensitivity", "pushforward based inference", "consistent Bayesian inference", or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-30 Peter W. Marcy , Rebecca E. Morrison

We propose a general algorithm for approximating nonstandard Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence of an approximating distribution to the intractable posterior distribution. Our method…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-29 Tim Salimans , David A. Knowles

The Jeffreys divergence is a renown symmetrization of the oriented Kullback-Leibler divergence broadly used in information sciences. Since the Jeffreys divergence between Gaussian mixture models is not available in closed-form, various…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Frank Nielsen

Fractional moments have been investigated by many authors to represent the density of univariate and bivariate random variables in different contexts. Fractional moments are indeed important when the density of the random variable has…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-18 Giulio Cottone , Mario Di Paola , Ralf Metzler

The Normalizing Flow (NF) models a general probability density by estimating an invertible transformation applied on samples drawn from a known distribution. We introduce a new type of NF, called Deep Diffeomorphic Normalizing Flow (DDNF).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-26 Hadi Salman , Payman Yadollahpour , Tom Fletcher , Kayhan Batmanghelich

Motivated by applications in emergency response and experimental design, we consider smooth stochastic optimization problems over probability measures supported on compact subsets of the Euclidean space. With the influence function as the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Di Yu , Shane G. Henderson , Raghu Pasupathy

In a previous article, a least square regression estimation procedure was proposed: first, we condiser a family of functions and study the properties of an estimator in every unidimensionnal model defined by one of these functions; we then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Pierre Alquier

We consider a generalization of the classifier-based density-ratio estimation task to a quasiprobabilistic setting where probability densities can be negative. The problem with most loss functions used for this task is that they implicitly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-24 Matthew Drnevich , Stephen Jiggins , Kyle Cranmer

This work proposes a training algorithm based on adaptive random Fourier features (ARFF) with Metropolis sampling and resampling \cite{kammonen2024adaptiverandomfourierfeatures} for learning drift and diffusion components of stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Owen Douglas , Aku Kammonen , Anamika Pandey , Raúl Tempone

This paper presents an identity between the multivariate and univariate saddlepoint approximations applied to sample path probabilities for a certain class of stochastic processes. This class, which we term the recursively compounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Jesse Goodman

This paper is concerned with the inverse random source problem for a stochastic time fractional diffusion equation, where the source is assumed to be driven by a Gaussian random field. The direct problem is shown to be well-posed by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Yuxuan Gong , Peijun Li , Xu Wang , Xiang Xu

We propose a two stage procedure for the estimation of the parameters of a fairly general, continuous-time stochastic volatility. An important ingredient of the proposed method is the Cuchiero-Teichmann volatility estimator, which is based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Milan Merkle , Yuri F. Saporito , Rodrigo S. Targino

We provide a rigorous convergence proof demonstrating that the well-known semi-analytical Fourier cosine (COS) formula for the inverse Fourier transform of continuous probability distributions can be extended to discrete probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Xiaoyu Shen , Fang Fang , Chengguang Liu

We propose a deep importance sampling method that is suitable for estimating rare event probabilities in high-dimensional problems. We approximate the optimal importance distribution in a general importance sampling problem as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-26 Tiangang Cui , Sergey Dolgov , Robert Scheichl

The probability density function of single-point velocity fluctuations in turbulence is studied systematically using Fourier coefficients in the energy-containing range. In ideal turbulence where energy-containing motions are random and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 H. Mouri , M. Takaoka , A. Hori , Y. Kawashima

In this paper we discuss a closed-form approximation of the likelihood functions of an arbitrary diffusion process. The approximation is based on an exponential ansatz of the transition probability for a finite time step $\Delta t$, and a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Luca Capriotti

While the problem of estimating a probability density function (pdf) from its observations is classical, the estimation under additional shape constraints is both important and challenging. We introduce an efficient, geometric approach for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-05 Sutanoy Dasgupta , Debdeep Pati , Ian H. Jermyn , Anuj Srivastava

This article establishes a method to answer a finite set of linear queries on a given dataset while ensuring differential privacy. To achieve this, we formulate the corresponding task as a saddle-point problem, i.e. an optimization problem…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Giorgio Micali , Clement Lezane , Annika Betken

We analyze the convergence of probability density functions utilizing approximate models for both forward and inverse problems. We consider the standard forward uncertainty quantification problem where an assumed probability density on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 T. Butler , J. D. Jakeman , T. Wildey