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The increased demand for online prediction and the growing availability of large data sets drives the need for computationally efficient models. While exact Gaussian process regression shows various favorable theoretical properties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Armin Lederer , Alejandro Jose Ordonez Conejo , Korbinian Maier , Wenxin Xiao , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

In this paper we consider high dimension models based on dependent observations defined through autoregressive processes. For such models we develop an adaptive efficient estimation method via the robust sequential model selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-19 Ouerdia Arkoun , Jean-Yves Brua , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

Robust estimation has played an important role in statistical and machine learning. However, its applications to functional linear regression are still under-developed. In this paper, we focus on Huber's loss with a diverging robustness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Ling Peng , Xiaohui Liu , Heng Lian

We present an adaptive approach to the construction of Gaussian process surrogates for Bayesian inference with expensive-to-evaluate forward models. Our method relies on the fully Bayesian approach to training Gaussian process models and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-01 Timur Takhtaganov , Juliane Müller

Consider estimation of the regression function based on a model with equidistant design and measurement errors generated from a fractional Gaussian noise process. In previous literature, this model has been heuristically linked to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Linear Least Squares is a very well known technique for parameter estimation, which is used even when sub-optimal, because of its very low computational requirements and the fact that exact knowledge of the noise statistics is not required.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-11-01 Michael Krikheli , Amir Leshem

In this paper, utilizing recent theoretical results in high dimensional statistical modeling, we propose a model-free yet computationally simple approach to estimate the partially linear model $Y=X\beta+g(Z)+\varepsilon$. Motivated by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-13 Xia Cui , Ying Lu , Heng Peng

This paper investigates a recursive formulation of auto-regressive multi-fidelity Gaussian process regression in the challenging setting of noisy and non-nested high- and low-fidelity data. We propose a decoupled optimization strategy based…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-21 Nils Baillie , Baptiste Kerleguer , Cyril Feau , Josselin Garnier

We propose a method for variable selection in the intensity function of spatial point processes that combines sparsity-promoting estimation with noise-robust model selection. As high-resolution spatial data becomes increasingly available…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Dominik Sturm , Ivo F. Sbalzarini

Adaptive learning is necessary for non-stationary environments where the learning machine needs to forget past data distribution. Efficient algorithms require a compact model update to not grow in computational burden with the incoming data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Vanessa Gómez-Verdejo , Emilio Parrado-Hernández , Manel Martínez-Ramón

In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as a noisy Ito semimartingale. As this model is not identifiable, approximating by a time-changed Levy process can be useful for generative modelling. We give a new estimate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-17 Adam D. Bull

The consistency of doubly robust estimators relies on consistent estimation of at least one of two nuisance regression parameters. In moderate to large dimensions, the use of flexible data-adaptive regression estimators may aid in achieving…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-30 Iván Díaz

A practical approach to evaluate performance of a Gaussian process regression models (GPR) for irregularly sampled sparse time-series is introduced. The approach entails construction of a secondary autoregressive model using the fine scale…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-10 Mehmet Süzen , Abed Ajraou

We study the problem of robust linear regression with response variable corruptions. We consider the oblivious adversary model, where the adversary corrupts a fraction of the responses in complete ignorance of the data. We provide a nearly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-21 Arun Sai Suggala , Kush Bhatia , Pradeep Ravikumar , Prateek Jain

This paper proposes a new formulation of functional Gaussian Process regression in manifolds, based on an Empirical Bayes approach, in the spatiotemporal random field context. We apply the machinery of tight Gaussian measures in separable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 MD Ruiz-Medina , AE Madrid , A Torres-Signes , JM Angulo

The accuracy and effectiveness of Hermite spectral methods for the numerical discretization of partial differential equations on unbounded domains, are strongly affected by the amplitude of the Gaussian weight function employed to describe…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-07 Lorella Fatone , Daniele Funaro , Gianmarco Manzini

Consider a regression model with fixed design and Gaussian noise where the regression function can potentially be well approximated by a function that admits a sparse representation in a given dictionary. This paper resorts to exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-08 Philippe Rigollet , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

This work deals with the ill-posed inverse problem of reconstructing a function $f$ given implicitly as the solution of $g = Af$, where $A$ is a compact linear operator with unknown singular values and known eigenfunctions. We observe the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Jan Johannes , Maik Schwarz

Let $Y\in\R^n$ be a random vector with mean $s$ and covariance matrix $\sigma^2P_n\tra{P_n}$ where $P_n$ is some known $n\times n$-matrix. We construct a statistical procedure to estimate $s$ as well as under moment condition on $Y$ or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-01 Xavier Gendre

We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric models resulting from sieve priors. The aim of the paper is to provide general conditions to get posterior rates when the parameter space has a general structure,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-03 Julyan Arbel , Ghislaine Gayraud , Judith Rousseau