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In this paper we focus our attention on the exploitation of the information contained in financial news to enhance the performance of a classifier of bank distress. Such information should be analyzed and inserted into the predictive model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-06 Paola Cerchiello , Giancarlo Nicola , Samuel Ronnqvist , Peter Sarlin

While many models are purposed for detecting the occurrence of significant events in financial systems, the task of providing qualitative detail on the developments is not usually as well automated. We present a deep learning approach for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-02-01 Samuel Rönnqvist , Peter Sarlin

News is a pertinent source of information on financial risks and stress factors, which nevertheless is challenging to harness due to the sparse and unstructured nature of natural text. We propose an approach based on distributional…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-29 Samuel Rönnqvist , Peter Sarlin

A public firm's bankruptcy prediction is an important financial research problem because of the security price downside risks. Traditional methods rely on accounting metrics that suffer from shortcomings like window dressing and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-05 Sridhar Ravula

The growing instability of both global and domestic economic environments has increased the risk of financial distress at the household level. However, traditional econometric models often rely on delayed and aggregated data, limiting their…

Financial disclosure analysis and Knowledge extraction is an important financial analysis problem. Prevailing methods depend predominantly on quantitative ratios and techniques, which suffer from limitations like window dressing and past…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-13 Sridhar Ravula

Financial Distress Prediction plays a crucial role in the economy by accurately forecasting the number and probability of failing structures, providing insight into the growth and stability of a country's economy. However, predicting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Yuan Gao , Biao Jiang , Jietong Zhou

Despite the tremendous advances achieved over the past years by deep learning techniques, the latest risk prediction models for industrial applications still rely on highly handtuned stage-wised statistical learning tools, such as gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Yancheng Liang , Jiajie Zhang , Hui Li , Xiaochen Liu , Yi Hu , Yong Wu , Jinyao Zhang , Yongyan Liu , Yi Wu

Decision analytics commonly focuses on the text mining of financial news sources in order to provide managerial decision support and to predict stock market movements. Existing predictive frameworks almost exclusively apply traditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-05 Stefan Feuerriegel , Ralph Fehrer

Estimating causal treatment effects in observational settings is frequently compromised by selection bias arising from unobserved confounders. While traditional econometric methods struggle when these confounders are orthogonal to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Ahmed Dawoud , Osama El-Shamy

Models for bankruptcy prediction are useful in several real-world scenarios, and multiple research contributions have been devoted to the task, based on structured (numerical) as well as unstructured (textual) data. However, the lack of a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Henri Arno , Klaas Mulier , Joke Baeck , Thomas Demeester

Forecasting corporate financial distress increasingly requires capturing firms' adoption of transformative technologies such as artificial intelligence, yet model performance remains vulnerable to temporal distribution shifts as these…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-07 Frederik Rech , Hussam Musa , Martin Šebeňa , Siele Jean Tuo

Company disclosures greatly aid in the process of financial decision-making; therefore, they are consulted by financial investors and automated traders before exercising ownership in stocks. While humans are usually able to correctly…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-10-12 Mathias Kraus , Stefan Feuerriegel

Accurate forecasting of downside risks to economic growth is critically important for policymakers and financial institutions, particularly in the wake of recent economic crises. This paper extends the Growth-at-Risk (GaR) approach by…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-10 Cansu Isler

Unstructured data, especially text, continues to grow rapidly in various domains. In particular, in the financial sphere, there is a wealth of accumulated unstructured financial data, such as the textual disclosure documents that companies…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Bolun "Namir" Xia , Vipula D. Rawte , Mohammed J. Zaki , Aparna Gupta

Corporate credit rating serves as a crucial intermediary service in the market economy, playing a key role in maintaining economic order. Existing credit rating models rely on financial metrics and deep learning. However, they often…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-06 Yumeng Shi , Zhongliang Yang , DiYang Lu , Yisi Wang , Yiting Zhou , Linna Zhou

Deep Learning is a consolidated, state-of-the-art Machine Learning tool to fit a function when provided with large data sets of examples. However, in regression tasks, the straightforward application of Deep Learning models provides a point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Mauricio Ciprian , Roberto Maestre , Jordi Vitrià

The task of text and sentence classification is associated with the need for large amounts of labelled training data. The acquisition of high volumes of labelled datasets can be expensive or unfeasible, especially for highly-specialised…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Aleksandra Edwards , David Rogers , Jose Camacho-Collados , Hélène de Ribaupierre , Alun Preece

Corporate insolvency can have a devastating effect on the economy. With an increasing number of companies making expansion overseas to capitalize on foreign resources, a multinational corporate bankruptcy can disrupt the world's financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-16 Jacky C. K. Chow

Financial news items are unstructured sources of information that can be mined to extract knowledge for market screening applications. Manual extraction of relevant information from the continuous stream of finance-related news is…

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