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Can data from mobile phones be used to observe economic shocks and their consequences at multiple scales? Here we present novel methods to detect mass layoffs, identify individuals affected by them, and predict changes in aggregate…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-05-27 Jameson L. Toole , Yu-Ru Lin , Erich Muehlegger , Daniel Shoag , Marta C. Gonzalez , David Lazer

Predicting earthquakes is of the utmost importance, especially to those countries of high risk, and although much effort has been made, it has yet to be realised. Nevertheless, there is a paucity of statistical approaches in seismic studies…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-07 Tomokazu Konishi

Computer based models describing pedestrian behavior in an emergency evacuation play a vital role in the development of active strategies that minimize the evacuation time when a closed area must be evacuated. The reference model has a…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-01-22 Pablo Cristian Tissera , Alicia Castro , A. Marcela Printista , Emilio Luque

Climate change is altering the frequency and intensity of wildfires, leading to increased evacuation events that disrupt human mobility and socioeconomic structures. These disruptions affect access to resources, employment, and housing,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-10 Timur Naushirvanov , Erick Elejalde , Kyriaki Kalimeri , Elisa Omodei , Márton Karsai , Leo Ferres

Two different way of assessing seismic vulnerability are available nowadays: observed or empirical and calculated vulnerability assessment methods. The first methods are based on observed damage after earthquakes correlated with the…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-10-09 Clotaire Michel , Philippe Guéguen

The study on risk preferences and its potential changes amid natural catastrophes has been subject of recent study, producing contradictory findings. An often proposed explanation specifically distinguishes between the opposite effect of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-06-25 Emily Quiroga , Michael Tanner

Estimates of seismic wave speeds in the Earth (seismic velocity models) are key input parameters to earthquake simulations for ground motion prediction. Owing to the non-uniqueness of the seismic inverse problem, typically many velocity…

Mobile phone datasets allow for the analysis of human behavior on an unprecedented scale. The social network, temporal dynamics and mobile behavior of mobile phone users have often been analyzed independently from each other using mobile…

While a social event, such as a concert or a food festival, is a common experience to people, a natural disaster is experienced by a fewer individuals. The ordinary and common ground experience of social events could be therefore used to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-27 Simone Loreti , Margreth Keiler , Andreas Zischg

This paper presents an event-driven way finding algorithm for pedestrians in an evacuation scenario, which operates on a graph-based structure. The motivation of each pedestrian is to leave the facility. The events used to redirect…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-03-22 A. U. Kemloh Wagoum , A. Seyfried , S. Holl

We study the evacuation dynamics of a crowd evacuating from a complex geometry in the presence of a fire as well as of a slowly spreading smoke curtain. The crowd is composed of two kinds of individuals: those who know the layout of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-11 Omar Richardson , Andrei Jalba , Adrian Muntean

In recent years modelling crowd and evacuation dynamics has become very important, with increasing huge numbers of people gathering around the world for many reasons and events. The fact that our global population grows dramatically every…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-01-28 Mohamed H. Dridi

Earthquakes are complex physical processes driven by the stick-slip motion of a sliding fault. After the main quake, a series of aftershocks typically follows. These are loosely defined as events that follow a given event and occur within…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-12-12 Pinaki Kumar , Roberto Benzi , Jeannot Trampert , Federico Toschi

Scaling analysis reveals striking regularities in earthquake occurrence. The time between any one earthquake and that following it is random, but it is described by the same universal-probability distribution for any spatial region and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

We present a simple cellular automaton based model of decision making during evacuation. Evacuees have to choose between two different exit routes, resulting in a strategic decision making problem. Agents take their decisions based on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-04 Michalis Smyrnakis , Tobias Galla

We use wireless voice-call and text-message volumes to quantify spatiotemporal communication patterns in the New York Metro area before, during, and after the Virginia earthquake and Hurricane Irene in 2011. The earthquake produces an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-08 Christopher Small , Richard Becker , Ramón Cáceres , Simon Urbanek

Studies using massive, passively data collected from communication technologies have revealed many ubiquitous aspects of social networks, helping us understand and model social media, information diffusion, and organizational dynamics. More…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-02-04 Jameson L. Toole , Carlos Herrera-Yague , Christian M. Schneider , Marta C. Gonzalez

The description of complex human mobility patterns is at the core of many important applications ranging from urbanism and transportation to epidemics containment. Data about collective human movements, once scarce, has become widely…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-21 Riccardo Gallotti , Davide Maniscalco , Marc Barthelemy , Manlio De Domenico

Understanding the patterns of mobility of individuals is crucial for a number of reasons, from city planning to disaster management. There are two common ways of quantifying the amount of travel between locations: by direct observations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-25 Vasyl Palchykov , Marija Mitrović , Hang-Hyun Jo , Jari Saramäki , Raj Kumar Pan

The objectives of this study are: (1) to specify evacuation return and home-switch stability as two critical milestones of short-term recovery during and in the aftermath of disasters; and (2) to understand the disparities among…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-27 Cheng-Chun Lee , Charles Chou , Ali Mostafavi