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Under a standard assumption in complexity theory (NP not in P/poly), we demonstrate a gap between the minimax prediction risk for sparse linear regression that can be achieved by polynomial-time algorithms, and that achieved by optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-22 Yuchen Zhang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

Experimental design is an approach for selecting samples among a given set so as to obtain the best estimator for a given criterion. In the context of linear regression, several optimal designs have been derived, each associated with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Geovani Rizk , Igor Colin , Albert Thomas , Moez Draief

Linear regression is arguably the most fundamental statistical model; however, the validity of its use in randomized clinical trials, despite being common practice, has never been crystal clear, particularly when stratified or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-14 Wei Ma , Fuyi Tu , Hanzhong Liu

We consider high-dimensional measurement errors with high-frequency data. Our objective is on recovering the high-dimensional cross-sectional covariance matrix of the random errors with optimality. In this problem, not all components of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Jinyuan Chang , Qiao Hu , Cheng Liu , Cheng Yong Tang

Missing data occur frequently in a wide range of applications. In this paper, we consider estimation of high-dimensional covariance matrices in the presence of missing observations under a general missing completely at random model in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-17 T. Tony Cai , Anru Zhang

Many important modeling tasks in linear regression, including variable selection (in which slopes of some predictors are set equal to zero) and simplified models based on sums or differences of predictors (in which slopes of those…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Sen Tian , Clifford M. Hurvich , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

In this paper, a lower bound is determined in the minimax sense for change point estimators of the first derivative of a regression function in the fractional white noise model. Similar minimax results presented previously in the area focus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-01 Justin Rory Wishart

Estimating a covariance matrix and its associated principal components is a fundamental problem in contemporary statistics. While optimal estimation procedures have been developed with well-understood properties, the increasing demand for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-30 T. Tony Cai , Dong Xia , Mengyue Zha

We develop a finite-sample optimal estimator for regression discontinuity design when the outcomes are bounded, including binary outcomes as the leading case. Our estimator achieves minimax mean squared error among linear shrinkage…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-29 Takuya Ishihara , Masayuki Sawada , Kohei Yata

The increasing popularity of regression discontinuity methods for causal inference in observational studies has led to a proliferation of different estimating strategies, most of which involve first fitting non-parametric regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-11 Guido Imbens , Stefan Wager

This paper deals with the consistency of the least squares estimator of a convex regression function when the predictor is multidimensional. We characterize and discuss the computation of such an estimator via the solution of certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Emilio Seijo , Bodhisattva Sen

We consider a multivariate linear response regression in which the number of responses and predictors is large and comparable with the number of observations, and the rank of the matrix of regression coefficients is assumed to be small. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-02 Vladislav Kargin

Cox proportional hazard regression model is a popular tool to analyze the relationship between a censored lifetime variable with other relevant factors. The semi-parametric Cox model is widely used to study different types of data arising…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-09 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

Consider the heteroscedastic nonparametric regression model with random design \begin{align*} Y_i = f(X_i) + V^{1/2}(X_i)\varepsilon_i, \quad i=1,2,\ldots,n, \end{align*} with $f(\cdot)$ and $V(\cdot)$ $\alpha$- and $\beta$-H\"older smooth,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Yandi Shen , Chao Gao , Daniela Witten , Fang Han

In genetic studies, not only can the number of predictors obtained from microarray measurements be extremely large, there can also be multiple response variables. Motivated by such a situation, we consider semiparametric dimension reduction…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-25 Heng Lian , Shujie Ma

In the present paper we consider design criteria which depend on several designs simultaneously. We formulate equivalence theorems based on moment matrices (if criteria depend on designs via moment matrices) or with respect to the designs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Maryna Prus

Prediction sets can wrap around any ML model to cover unknown test outcomes with a guaranteed probability. Yet, it remains unclear how to use them optimally for downstream decision-making. Here, we propose a decision-theoretic framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Tao Wang , Edgar Dobriban

The aim of this article is to overview the problem of mean square optimal estimation of linear functionals which depend on unknown values of periodically correlated stochastic process. Estimates are based on observations of this process and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Iryna Dubovets'ka , Mykhailo Moklyachuk

We investigate the problem of jointly testing a pair of composite hypotheses and, depending on the test result, estimating a random parameter under distributional uncertainties. Specifically, it is assumed that the distribution of the data…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-27 Dominik Reinhard , Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

This paper establishes bounds on the performance of empirical risk minimization for large-dimensional linear regression. We generalize existing results by allowing the data to be dependent and heavy-tailed. The analysis covers both the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-23 Christian Brownlees , Guðmundur Stefán Guðmundsson
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