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This paper investigates real-time detection of spoofing activity in limit order books, focusing on cryptocurrency centralized exchanges. We first introduce novel order flow variables based on multi-scale Hawkes processes that account both…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Timothée Fabre , Damien Challet

This paper presents a deep learning framework based on Long Short-term Memory Network(LSTM) that predicts price movement of cryptocurrencies from trade-by-trade data. The main focus of this study is on predicting short-term price changes in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-16 Qi Zhao

Deep neural networks (DNN) are the state of the art on many engineering problems such as computer vision and audition. A key factor in the success of the DNN is scalability - bigger networks work better. However, the reason for this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-13 Andrew J. R. Simpson

Reinforcement Learning (RL) applied to financial problems has been the subject of a lively area of research. The use of RL for optimal trading strategies that exploit latent information in the market is, to the best of our knowledge, not…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-04 Andrea Macrì , Sebastian Jaimungal , Fabrizio Lillo

As intelligent trading agents based on reinforcement learning (RL) gain prevalence, it becomes more important to ensure that RL agents obey laws, regulations, and human behavioral expectations. There is substantial literature concerning the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 David Byrd

Deep learning has shown that learned functions can dramatically outperform hand-designed functions on perceptual tasks. Analogously, this suggests that learned optimizers may similarly outperform current hand-designed optimizers, especially…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Luke Metz , Niru Maheswaranathan , Jeremy Nixon , C. Daniel Freeman , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein

As deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has been recognized as an effective approach in quantitative finance, getting hands-on experiences is attractive to beginners. However, to train a practical DRL trading agent that decides where to trade,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-03 Xiao-Yang Liu , Hongyang Yang , Qian Chen , Runjia Zhang , Liuqing Yang , Bowen Xiao , Christina Dan Wang

Neural networks (NNs) achieve outstanding performance in many domains; however, their decision processes are often opaque and their inference can be computationally expensive in resource-constrained environments. We recently proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Chang Yue , Niraj K. Jha

In this study, the performance of various predictive models, including probabilistic baseline, CNN, LSTM, and finetuned LLMs, in forecasting merchant categories from financial transaction data have been evaluated. Utilizing datasets from…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Halil Ibrahim Ergul , Selim Balcisoy , Burcin Bozkaya

Sequences and time-series often arise in robot tasks, e.g., in activity recognition and imitation learning. In recent years, deep neural networks (DNNs) have emerged as an effective data-driven methodology for processing sequences given…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Yaqi Xie , Fan Zhou , Harold Soh

Much research has been done to analyze the stock market. After all, if one can determine a pattern in the chaotic frenzy of transactions, then they could make a hefty profit from capitalizing on these insights. As such, the goal of our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Ziyi Zhou , Nicholas Stern , Julien Laasri

This paper explores how Large Language Models (LLMs) behave in a classic experimental finance paradigm widely known for eliciting bubbles and crashes in human participants. We adapt an established trading design, where traders buy and sell…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-14 Thomas Henning , Siddhartha M. Ojha , Ross Spoon , Jiatong Han , Colin F. Camerer

Stock market prediction has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention from both economists and computer scientists. With the purpose of building an effective prediction model, both linear and machine learning tools have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-13 Weiwei Jiang

Controlling nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems involves substantial challenges when the dynamics contain unknown and unstructured nonlinear state-dependent terms. For such complex systems, deep neural networks can serve as powerful…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-31 Saiedeh Akbari , Cristian F. Nino , Omkar Sudhir Patil , Warren E. Dixon

The deployment of autonomous AI agents in derivatives markets has widened a practical gap between static model calibration and realized hedging outcomes. We introduce two reinforcement learning frameworks, a novel Replication Learning of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Minxuan Hu , Ziheng Chen , Jiayu Yi , Wenxi Sun

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are increasingly used in control applications due to their powerful function approximation capabilities. However, many existing formulations focus primarily on tracking error convergence, often neglecting the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-19 Rebecca G. Hart , Omkar Sudhir Patil , Zachary I. Bell , Warren E. Dixon

Deep reinforcement learning (deep RL) has been successful in learning sophisticated behaviors automatically; however, the learning process requires a huge number of trials. In contrast, animals can learn new tasks in just a few trials,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-11 Yan Duan , John Schulman , Xi Chen , Peter L. Bartlett , Ilya Sutskever , Pieter Abbeel

A wide variety of deep reinforcement learning (DRL) models have recently been proposed to learn profitable investment strategies. The rules learned by these models outperform the previous strategies specially in high frequency trading…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-12 Mehran Taghian , Ahmad Asadi , Reza Safabakhsh

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

Continuous double auctions such as the limit order book employed by exchanges are widely used in practice to match buyers and sellers of a variety of financial instruments. In this work, we develop an agent-based model for trading in a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-01 Mahmoud Mahfouz , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso , Danilo Mandic