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We consider a Brownian particle moving on a ring. We study the probability distributions of the total number of turns and the net number of counter-clockwise turns the particle makes till time t. Using a method based on the renewal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-11-03 Anupam Kundu , Alain Comtet , Satya N. Majumdar

The result provided in this paper helps complete a unified picture of the scaling behavior in heavy-tailed stochastic models for transmission of packet traffic on high-speed communication links. Popular models include infinite source…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-17 Clément Dombry , Ingemar Kaj

In this work we consider the steady state scaling behavior of directed percolation around the upper critical dimension. In particular we determine numerically the order parameter, its fluctuations as well as the susceptibility as a function…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 S. Lubeck , R. D. Willmann

We study wide Bayesian neural networks focusing on the rare but statistically dominant fluctuations that govern posterior concentration, beyond Gaussian-process limits. Large-deviation theory provides explicit variational objectives-rate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-27 Katerina Papagiannouli , Dario Trevisan , Giuseppe Pio Zitto

In this paper we present a novel methodology to perform Bayesian model selection in linear models with heavy-tailed distributions. We consider a finite mixture of distributions to model a latent variable where each component of the mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-21 Flávio B Gonçalves , Marcos O. Prates , Victor H. Lachos

We study the asymptotic behaviour of a class of small-noise diffusions driven by fractional Brownian motion, with random starting points. Different scalings allow for different asymptotic properties of the process (small-time and tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 B. Horvath , A. Jacquier , C. Lacombe

We study a system of hard rods of finite size in one space dimension, which move by Brownian noise while avoiding overlap. We consider a scaling in which the number of particles tends to infinity while the volume fraction of the rods…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-05-18 Nir Gavish , Pierre Nyquist , Mark Peletier

In this paper we prove exact forms of large deviations for local times and intersection local times of fractional Brownian motions and Riemann-Liouville processes. We also show that a fractional Brownian motion and the related…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-31 Xia Chen , Wenbo V. Li , Jan Rosinski , Qi-Man Shao

We establish a strong Gaussian approximation for high-dimensional non-degenerate U-statistics with diverging dimension. Under mild assumptions, we construct, on a sufficiently rich probability space, a Gaussian process that uniformly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Weijia Li , Leheng Cai , Qirui Hu

We prove large deviation principles for $\int_0^t \gamma(X_s)ds$, where $X$ is a $d$-dimensional self-similar Gaussian process and $\gamma(x)$ takes the form of the Dirac delta function $\delta(x)$, $|x|^{-\beta}$ with $\beta\in (0,d)$, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Xiaoming Song

We calculate analytically the probability density $P(t_m)$ of the time $t_m$ at which a continuous-time Brownian motion (with and without drift) attains its maximum before passing through the origin for the first time. We also compute the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-02-25 Julien Randon-Furling , Satya N. Majumdar

In this article we establish a large deviation principle for the family {\nu_{\epsilon}:\epsilon \in (0,1)} of distributions of the scaled stochastic processes {P_{-\log\sqrt{\epsilon}}Z_t}_{t\leq 1}, where (Z_t)_{t\in \lbrack 0,1]} is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-06 Z. Qian , C. Xu

We revisit the problem of Brownian diffusion with drift in order to study finite-size effects in the geometric Galton-Watson branching process. This is possible because of an exact mapping between one-dimensional random walks and geometric…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-07-04 Alvaro Corral , Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Nicholas R. Moloney , Francesc Font-Clos

In this article we study the tail probability of the mass of Gaussian multiplicative chaos. With the novel use of a Tauberian argument and Goldie's implicit renewal theorem, we provide a unified approach to general log-correlated Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Mo Dick Wong

In this paper, we first briefly review some recent results on the distribution of the maximal eigenvalue of a $(N\times N)$ random matrix drawn from Gaussian ensembles. Next we focus on the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble (GUE) and by suitably…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-30 Celine Nadal , Satya N. Majumdar

We study the lower deviation probability of the position of the rightmost particle in a branching Brownian motion and obtain its large deviation function

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-01 Bernard Derrida , Zhan Shi

In this paper, we obtain some results on precise large deviations for non-random and random sums of widely dependent random variables with common dominatedly varying tail distribution or consistently varying tail distribution on…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

Consider the continuous greedy paths model: given a $d$-dimensional Poisson point process with positive marks interpreted as masses, let $\mathrm P(\ell)$ denote the maximum mass gathered by a path of length $\ell$ starting from the origin.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Julien Verges

We present a systematic short time expansion for the generating function of the one point height probability distribution for the KPZ equation with droplet initial condition, which goes much beyond previous studies. The expansion is checked…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-11-21 Alexandre Krajenbrink , Pierre Le Doussal , Sylvain Prolhac

We consider a multivariate heavy-tailed stochastic volatility model and analyze the large-sample behavior of its sample covariance matrix. We study the limiting behavior of its entries in the infinite-variance case and derive results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Anja Janßen , Thomas Mikosch , Mohsen Rezapour , Xiaolei Xie