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We study a Schilder-type large deviation principle for sticky-reflected Brownian motion with boundary diffusion, both at the static and sample path level in the short-time limit. A sharp transition for the rate function occurs, depending on…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Jean-Baptiste Casteras , Leonard Monsaingeon , Luca Nenna

We identify the upper large deviation probability for the number of edges in scale-free geometric random graph models as the space volume goes to infinity. Our result covers the models of scale-free percolation, the Boolean model with…

Branching Processes in a Random Environment (BPREs) $(Z_n:n\geq0)$ are a generalization of Galton Watson processes where in each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly in an i.i.d. manner. We determine here the upper large…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-09 Vincent Bansaye , Christian Boeinghoff

We study the distribution of the maximal height of the outermost path in the model of $N$ nonintersecting Brownian motions on the half-line as $N\to \infty$, showing that it converges in the proper scaling to the Tracy-Widom distribution…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-03 Karl Liechty

We show that the tail probability of the rough line integral $\int_{0}^{1}\phi(X_{t})dY_{t}$, where $(X,Y)$ is a 2D fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(1/4,1/2)$ and $\phi$ is a $C_{b}^{\infty}$-function satisfying a mild…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-07 Horatio Boedihardjo , Xi Geng

We explore the use of higher-order tail area approximations for Bayesian simulation. These approximations give rise to an alternative simulation scheme to MCMC for Bayesian computation of marginal posterior distributions for a scalar…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-23 Erlis Ruli , Nicola Sartori , Laura Ventura

A law of the iterated logarithm is established for the last passage times of directed percolation on rectangles in the plane over exponential or geometric independent random variables, rescaled to converge to the Tracy-Widom distribution.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-07 Michel Ledoux

For a fixed positive integer $\;k,\;$ limit laws of linearly normalized $\;k$-th upper order statistics are well known. In this article, a comprehensive study of tail behaviours of limit laws of normalized $k$-th upper order statistics…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-11 Sreenivasan Ravi , Mandagere Chandrashekhar Manohar

This paper studies a problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for a sequence of scaled counting processes whose weak limit is a Brownian motion with an unknown drift. The main result of the paper is that the limit of the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Asaf Cohen

Concentration inequalities are obtained on Poisson space, for random functionals with finite or infinite variance. In particular, dimension free tail estimates and exponential integrability results are given for the Euclidean norm of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 J. C. Breton , C. Houdré , N. Privault

We study Brownian motion in a drifted Brownian potential in the subexponential regime. We prove that the annealed probability of deviating below the almost sure speed has a polynomial rate of decay and compute the exponent in this power…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marina Talet

Starting from the recently derived conservative tail-of-tail action [D. Bini and T. Damour, arXiv:2504.20204 [hep-th]] we compute several dynamical observables of binary systems (Delaunay Hamiltonian, scattering angle), at the 6.5…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-07-14 Donato Bini , Thibault Damour , Andrea Geralico

We prove large deviations principles for spectral measures of perturbed (or spiked) matrix models in the direction of an eigenvector of the perturbation. In each model under study, we provide two approaches, one of which relying on large…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Nathan Noiry , Alain Rouault

We study the large deviation function for the empirical measure of diffusing particles at one fixed position. We find that the large deviation function exhibits anomalous system size dependence in systems that satisfy the following…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-20 Naoto Shiraishi

We present large deviations estimates in the supremum norm for a system of independent random walks superposed with a birth-and-death dynamics evolving on the discrete torus with $N$ sites. The scaling limit considered is the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Tertuliano Franco , Luana A. Gurgel , Bernardo N. B. de Lima

We obtain an uniform tail estimates for natural normed sums of independent random variables (r.v.) with regular varying tails of distributions. We give also many examples on order to show the exactness of offered estimates and discuss some…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-22 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We study the fluctuations, in the large deviations regime, of the longest increasing subsequence of a random i.i.d. sample on the unit square. In particular, our results yield the precise upper and lower exponential tails for the length of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. D. Deuschel , O. Zeitouni

We study the finite-time behaviour of the popular temporal difference (TD) learning algorithm when combined with tail-averaging. We derive finite time bounds on the parameter error of the tail-averaged TD iterate under a step-size choice…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Gandharv Patil , Prashanth L. A. , Dheeraj Nagaraj , Doina Precup

We investigate the moderate and large deviations in first-passage percolation (FPP) with bounded weights on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ for $d \geq 2$. Write $T(\mathbf{x}, \mathbf{y})$ for the first-passage time and denote by $\mu(\mathbf{u})$ the time…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-04 Wai-Kit Lam , Shuta Nakajima

We study the large deviations of the time-integrated current for a driven diffusion on the circle, often used as a model of nonequilibrium systems. We obtain the large deviation functions describing the current fluctuations using a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-28 Pelerine Tsobgni Nyawo , Hugo Touchette
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