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When the body gets infected by a pathogen or receives a vaccine dose, the immune system develops pathogen-specific immunity. Induced immunity decays in time and years after recovery/vaccination the host might become susceptible again.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-15 Maria Vittoria Barbarossa , Gergely Röst

This paper investigates model robustness in reinforcement learning (RL) to reduce the sim-to-real gap in practice. We adopt the framework of distributionally robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs), aimed at learning a policy that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Laixi Shi , Gen Li , Yuting Wei , Yuxin Chen , Matthieu Geist , Yuejie Chi

Reconstructing past events requires reasoning across long time horizons. To figure out what happened, we need to use our prior knowledge about the world and human behavior and draw inferences from various sources of evidence including…

Numerous safety- or security-critical systems depend on cameras to perceive their surroundings, further allowing artificial intelligence (AI) to analyze the captured images to make important decisions. However, a concerning attack vector…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Youqian Zhang , Michael Cheung , Chunxi Yang , Xinwei Zhai , Zitong Shen , Xinyu Ji , Eugene Y. Fu , Sze-Yiu Chau , Xiapu Luo

The dynamics of infection spread in populations has received popular attention since the outbreak of Covid-19 and many statistical models have been developed. One of the interesting areas of research is short-time dynamics in confined,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-22 Rahul Sheshanarayana , Prateek K. Jha

We model a vehicle equipped with an autonomous cyber-defense system in addition to its inherent physical resilience features. When attacked, this ensemble of cyber-physical features (i.e., ``bonware'') strives to resist and recover from the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Michael J. Weisman , Alexander Kott , Joachim Vandekerckhove

The COVID-19 outbreak has stimulated the interest in the proposal of novel epidemiological models to predict the course of the epidemic so as to help planning effective control strategies. In particular, in order to properly interpret the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Andrea Zugarini , Enrico Meloni , Alessandro Betti , Andrea Panizza , Marco Corneli , Marco Gori

The interevent time of terrorism attack events is investigated by empirical data and model analysis. Empirical evidence shows it follows a scale-free property. In order to understand the dynamic mechanism of such statistic feature, an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-15 Jun-Fang Zhu , Xiao-Pu Han , Bing-Hong Wang

The interpretation of sampling data plays a crucial role in policy response to the spread of a disease during an epidemic, such as the COVID-19 epidemic of 2020. However, this is a non-trivial endeavor due to the complexity of real world…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-30 James D. Brunner , Nicholas Chia

Adversarial examples are malicious inputs to machine learning models that trigger a misclassification. This type of attack has been studied for close to a decade, and we find that there is a lack of study and formalization of adversary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Lucas Fenaux , Florian Kerschbaum

We investigate the optimal control of large-scale autonomous systems under explicitly adversarial conditions, incorporating the probabilistic destruction of agents over time. In many such systems, adversarial interactions arise as different…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Claire Walton , Isaac Kaminer , Qi Gong , Abram H. Clark , Theodoros Tsatsanifos

Multi-agent reinforcement learning for incomplete information environments has attracted extensive attention from researchers. However, due to the slow sample collection and poor sample exploration, there are still some problems in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Shuhan Qi , Shuhao Zhang , Xiaohan Hou , Jiajia Zhang , Xuan Wang , Jing Xiao

Mathematical models are formal and simplified representations of the knowledge related to a phenomenon. In classical epidemic models, a neglected aspect is the heterogeneity of disease transmission and progression linked to the viral load…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-10 Rossella Della Marca , Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

Understanding the dynamics of antibody levels is crucial for characterizing the time-dependent response to immune events: either infections or vaccinations. The sequence and timing of these events significantly influence antibody level…

Deep neural network architectures are considered to be robust to random perturbations. Nevertheless, it was shown that they could be severely vulnerable to slight but carefully crafted perturbations of the input, termed as adversarial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Omer Faruk Tuna , Ferhat Ozgur Catak , M. Taner Eskil

Machine Learning has been applied to pathology images in research and clinical practice with promising outcomes. However, standard ML models often lack the rigorous evaluation required for clinical decisions. Machine learning techniques for…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-19 Syed Ashar Javed , Dinkar Juyal , Zahil Shanis , Shreya Chakraborty , Harsha Pokkalla , Aaditya Prakash

The effect of public health interventions on an epidemic are often estimated by adding the intervention to epidemic models. During the Covid-19 epidemic, numerous papers used such methods for making scenario predictions. The majority of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Heejong Bong , Valérie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

We present a Monte Carlo simulation model of an epidemic spread inspired on physics variables such as temperature, cross section and interaction range, which considers the Plank distribution of photons in the black body radiation to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-11 José Enrique Amaro , José Nicolás Orce

Mathematical models are essential for understanding and making predictions about systems arising in nature and engineering. Yet, mathematical models are a simplification of true phenomena, thus making predictions subject to uncertainty.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Mark Hobbs , Hussein Rappel , Tim Dodwell

The deployment of reinforcement learning (RL) in the real world comes with challenges in calibrating user trust and expectations. As a step toward developing RL systems that are able to communicate their competencies, we present a method of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-19 Aastha Acharya , Rebecca Russell , Nisar R. Ahmed
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