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Recurrent binary outcomes within individuals, such as hospital readmissions, often reflect latent risk processes that evolve over time. Conventional methods like generalized linear mixed models and generalized estimating equations estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Niloofar Ramezani , Lori P. Selby , Pascal Nitiema , Jeffrey R. Wilson

This study proposes a point estimator of the break location for a one-time structural break in linear regression models. If the break magnitude is small, the least-squares estimator of the break date has two modes at the ends of the finite…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-04 Yaein Baek

We present a least squares method for estimating parameters from measurements of event yields in the presence of background and crossfeed. We adopt a unified approach to incorporating the statistical and systematic uncertainties on the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 Werner M. Sun

Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) are fundamental tools in statistical and data sciences. We study the moments of multivariate Gaussians and GMMs. The $d$-th moment of an $n$-dimensional random variable is a symmetric $d$-way tensor of size…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-23 João M. Pereira , Joe Kileel , Tamara G. Kolda

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

Mixtures of Linear Regressions (MLR) is an important mixture model with many applications. In this model, each observation is generated from one of the several unknown linear regression components, where the identity of the generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Yuanzhi Li , Yingyu Liang

We derive an asymptotic expansion for the log likelihood of Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) with equal covariance matrices in the low signal-to-noise regime. The expansion reveals an intimate connection between two types of algorithms for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-30 Anya Katsevich , Afonso Bandeira

For many probability laws, in parametric models, the estimation of the parameters can be done in the frame of the maximum likelihood method, or in the frame of moment estimation methods, or by using the plug-in method, etc. Usually, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-10 Gorgui Gning , Aladji Babacar Niang , Modou Ngom , Gane Samb Lo

Multivariate linear regression models often face the problem of heteroscedasticity caused by multiple explanatory variables. The weighted least squares estimation with univariate-dependent weights has limitations in constructing weight…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Lei Huang , Chengyue Liu , Li Wang

This book is meant to provide an introduction to linear models and the theories behind them. Our goal is to give a rigorous introduction to the readers with prior exposure to ordinary least squares. In machine learning, the output is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Jun Lu

We study convex empirical risk minimization for high-dimensional inference in binary models. Our first result sharply predicts the statistical performance of such estimators in the linear asymptotic regime under isotropic Gaussian features.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-27 Hossein Taheri , Ramtin Pedarsani , Christos Thrampoulidis

We propose to address the common problem of linear estimation in linear statistical models by using a model selection approach via penalization. Depending then on the framework in which the linear statistical model is considered namely the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-11 Ikhlef Bechar

We consider the problem of learning a mixture of linear regressions (MLRs). An MLR is specified by $k$ nonnegative mixing weights $p_1, \ldots, p_k$ summing to $1$, and $k$ unknown regressors $w_1,...,w_k\in\mathbb{R}^d$. A sample from the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-12-18 Sitan Chen , Jerry Li , Zhao Song

We consider the problem of robustly predicting as well as the best linear combination of $d$ given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

In this article, we study the limit distribution of the least square estimator, properly normalized, from a regression model in which observations are assumed to be finite ($\alpha N$) and sampled under two different random times. Based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-17 Tania Roa , Soledad Torres , Ciprian tudor

In this paper, we construct an estimator of an errors-in-variables linear regression model. The regression model leads to a constrained total least squares problems with row and column constraints. Although this problem can be numerically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Kensuke Aishima

We describe a general technique that yields the first {\em Statistical Query lower bounds} for a range of fundamental high-dimensional learning problems involving Gaussian distributions. Our main results are for the problems of (1) learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-18 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Alistair Stewart

This work provides a computationally efficient and statistically consistent moment-based estimator for mixtures of spherical Gaussians. Under the condition that component means are in general position, a simple spectral decomposition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-30 Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade

The analysis of longitudinal data gives the chance to observe how unit behaviors change over time, but it also poses a series of issues. These have been the focus of an extensive literature in the context of linear and generalized linear…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-20 Marco Alfó , Maria Francesca Marino , Maria Giovanna Ranalli , Nicola Salvati

Finite mixture models have long been used across a variety of fields in engineering and sciences. Recently there has been a great deal of interest in quantifying the convergence behavior of the \emph{mixing measure}, a fundamental object…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-05 Yun Wei , Sayan Mukherjee , XuanLong Nguyen