English
Related papers

Related papers: Neural Likelihoods via Cumulative Distribution Fun…

200 papers

We present a novel Bayesian inference tool that uses a neural network to parameterise efficient Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) proposals. The target distribution is first transformed into a diagonal, unit variance Gaussian by a series of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-03 Adam Moss

This article describes a robust algorithm to estimate a conditional probability density f(t|x) as a non-parametric smooth regression function. It is based on a neural network and the Bayesian interpretation of the network output as a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Feindt

We consider the problem of deriving uniform confidence bands for the mean of a monotonic stochastic process, such as the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a random variable, based on a sequence of i.i.d.~observations. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Eugenio Clerico , Hamish E Flynn , Patrick Rebeschini

We introduce Neural Conditional Probability (NCP), an operator-theoretic approach to learning conditional distributions with a focus on statistical inference tasks. NCP can be used to build conditional confidence regions and extract key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Vladimir R. Kostic , Karim Lounici , Gregoire Pacreau , Pietro Novelli , Giacomo Turri , Massimiliano Pontil

Density regression models allow a comprehensive understanding of data by modeling the complete conditional probability distribution. While flexible estimation approaches such as normalizing flows (NF) work particularly well in multiple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-13 Marcel Arpogaus , Thomas Kneib , Thomas Nagler , David Rügamer

Deep learning has enjoyed tremendous success in a variety of applications but its application to quantile regressions remains scarce. A major advantage of the deep learning approach is its flexibility to model complex data in a more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Qixian Zhong , Jane-Ling Wang

We propose a new approach, called as functional deep neural network (FDNN), for classifying multi-dimensional functional data. Specifically, a deep neural network is trained based on the principle components of the training data which shall…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-19 Shuoyang Wang , Guanqun Cao , Zuofeng Shang

Continuous neural representations have recently emerged as a powerful and flexible alternative to classical discretized representations of signals. However, training them to capture fine details in multi-scale signals is difficult and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-06 Sifan Wang , Hanwen Wang , Jacob H. Seidman , Paris Perdikaris

The analysis of the joint cumulative distribution function (CDF) with bivariate event time data is a challenging problem both theoretically and numerically. This paper develops a tensor spline-based sieve maximum likelihood estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-26 Yuan Wu , Ying Zhang

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

For prediction of clustered time-to-event data, we propose a new deep neural network based gamma frailty model (DNN-FM). An advantage of the proposed model is that the joint maximization of the new h-likelihood provides maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-14 Hangbin Lee , IL DO HA , Youngjo Lee

Deep-learning density functional theory (DFT) shows great promise to significantly accelerate material discovery and potentially revolutionize materials research. However, current research in this field primarily relies on data-driven…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-08-14 Yang Li , Zechen Tang , Zezhou Chen , Minghui Sun , Boheng Zhao , He Li , Honggeng Tao , Zilong Yuan , Wenhui Duan , Yong Xu

We propose a novel deep learning approach to nonparametric statistical inference for the conditional hazard function of survival time with right-censored data. We use a deep neural network (DNN) to approximate the logarithm of a conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-24 Wen Su , Kin-Yat Liu , Guosheng Yin , Jian Huang , Xingqiu Zhao

The key distinguishing property of a Bayesian approach is marginalization, rather than using a single setting of weights. Bayesian marginalization can particularly improve the accuracy and calibration of modern deep neural networks, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Pavel Izmailov

We leverage probabilistic models of neural representations to investigate how residual networks fit classes. To this end, we estimate class-conditional density models for representations learned by deep ResNets. We then use these models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Michał Jamroż , Marcin Kurdziel

Although deep learning models have driven state-of-the-art performance on a wide array of tasks, they are prone to spurious correlations that should not be learned as predictive clues. To mitigate this problem, we propose a causality-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Xinyi Wang , Wenhu Chen , Michael Saxon , William Yang Wang

This paper proposes a nonparametric multivariate density forecast model based on deep learning. It not only offers the whole marginal distribution of each random variable in forecasting targets, but also reveals the future correlation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-28 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Wenjun Tang , Hongbin Sun

Likelihood-free methods perform parameter inference in stochastic simulator models where evaluating the likelihood is intractable but sampling synthetic data is possible. One class of methods for this likelihood-free problem uses a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-21 Conor Durkan , Iain Murray , George Papamakarios

Interpreting the inner workings of neural models is a key step in ensuring the robustness and trustworthiness of the models, but work on neural network interpretability typically faces a trade-off: either the models are too constrained to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Phong Le , Willem Zuidema

The statistical characterization of the sum of random variables (RVs) are useful for investigating the performance of wireless communication systems. We derive exact closed-form expressions for the probability density function (PDF) and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Hongyang Du , Jiayi Zhang , Julian Cheng , Bo Ai
‹ Prev 1 4 5 6 7 8 10 Next ›