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A discrete-time random process is described which can generate bursty sequences of events. A Bernoulli process, where the probability of an event occurring at time $t$ is given by a fixed probability $x$, is modified to include a memory…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-29 Ewan R. Colman , Danica Vukadinović Greetham

We report an empirical determination of the probability density functions P(r) of the number r of earthquakes in finite space-time windows for the California catalog, over fixed spatial boxes 5 x 5 km^2 and time intervals dt =1, 10, 100 and…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

It appeared recently that the underlying degree distribution of networks may play a crucial role concerning their robustness. Empiric and analytic results have been obtained, based on asymptotic and mean-field approximations. Previous work…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-08-24 Clemence Magnien , Matthieu Latapy , Jean-Loup Guillaume

Power-law distributions are widely recognized in complex systems physics as indicative of underlying complexity in interaction networks and critical macroscopic behavior. Previous studies, notably those of Newman and others, have emphasized…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-19 Tommaso Rondini , Gregorio Berselli , Mirko Degli Esposti , Armando Bazzani

Rank-ordering statistics provides a perspective on the rare, largest elements of a population, whereas the statistics of cumulative distributions are dominated by the more numerous small events. The exponent of a power law distribution can…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 Didier Sornette , Leon Knopoff , Yan Kagan , Christian Vanneste

This study examines how the fate of a perpetrator in a public mass shooting influences the fate of subsequent perpetrators. Using data from 1966 to 2024, we classify incidents according to whether the perpetrator died at the scene or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Youness Diouane , James Silver

Gamma-Ray Bursts (GRBs) have been conventionally bifurcated into two distinct categories dubbed "short" and "long", depending on whether their durations are less than or greater than two seconds respectively. However, many authors have…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2017-03-01 Soham Kulkarni , Shantanu Desai

We study sequences of partitions of the unit interval into subintervals, starting from the trivial partition, in which each partition is obtained from the one before by splitting its subintervals in two, according to a given rule, and then…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Serge Cohen , James Norris , Michel Pain , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We investigate scaling properties of human brain functional networks in the resting-state. Analyzing network degree distributions, we statistically test whether their tails scale as power-law or not. Initial studies, based on least-squares…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-03 Riccardo Zucca , Xerxes D. Arsiwalla , Hoang Le , Mikail Rubinov , Paul Verschure

One of the first steps to understand and forecast economic downturns is identifying their frequency distribution, but it remains uncertain. This problem is common in phenomena displaying power-law-like distributions. Power laws play a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-10-10 Salvador Pueyo

We analyze the temporal structure of long ((T_{90}>2sec)) and short ((T_{90}<2sec)) BATSE bursts. We find that: (i) In many short bursts (\delta t_{min}/T\ll 1) (where (\delta t_{min}) is the shortest pulse). This indicates that short…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 E. Nakar , T. Piran

A key feature of a sequential study is that the actual sample size is a random variable that typically depends on the outcomes collected. While hypothesis testing theory for sequential designs is well established, parameter and precision…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-21 Ben Berckmoes , Geert Molenberghs

The statistics of Lagrangian pair dispersion in a homogeneous isotropic flow is investigated by means of direct numerical simulations. The focus is on deviations from Richardson eddy-diffusivity model and in particular on the strong…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-11 Rehab Bitane , Holger Homann , Jeremie Bec

Families of symmetric simple random walks on Cayley graphs of Abelian groups with a bound on the number of generators are shown to never have sharp cut off in the sense of [1], [3], or [5]. Here convergence to the stationary distribution is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-21 Aaron Abrams , Eric Babson , Henry Landau , Zeph Landau , James Pommersheim

Patterns of deliberate human activity and behavior are of utmost importance in areas as diverse as disease spread, resource allocation, and emergency response. Because of its widespread availability and use, e-mail correspondence provides…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-01-08 R. Dean Malmgren , Daniel B. Stouffer , Adilson E. Motter , Luis A. N. Amaral

Power laws pervade statistical physics and complex systems, but, traditionally, researchers in these fields have paid little attention to properly fit these distributions. Who has not seen (or even shown) a log-log plot of a completely…

Applications · Statistics 2012-09-07 Alvaro Corral , Anna Deluca , Ramon Ferrer-i-Cancho

Following up on Barabasi's recent letter to Nature [435, 207--211 (2005)], we systematically investigate the time series of e-mail usage for 3,188 users at a university. We focus on two quantities for each user: the time interval between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Daniel B. Stouffer , R. Dean Malmgren , Luis A. N. Amaral

Accurate real time crime prediction is a fundamental issue for public safety, but remains a challenging problem for the scientific community. Crime occurrences depend on many complex factors. Compared to many predictable events, crime is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-12 Bao Wang , Duo Zhang , Duanhao Zhang , P. Jeffery Brantingham , Andrea L. Bertozzi

This study presents a comprehensive statistical analysis of criminal complaint data from the New York City Police Department (NYPD) spanning 47 years (1963-2025) [1]. Using a dataset of 438,556 complaint records, we employed exploratory…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-03 Fnu Gaurav

A network epidemic model is studied. The underlying social network has two different types of group structures, households and workplaces, such that each individual belongs to exactly one household and one workplace. The random network is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Peter Neal
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