Related papers: Precise asymptotics: robust stochastic volatility …
Freidlin-Wentzell theory of large deviations can be used to compute the likelihood of extreme or rare events in stochastic dynamical systems via the solution of an optimization problem. The approach gives exponential estimates that often…
We give an overview of basic methods that can be used for obtaining asymptotic expansions of integrals: Watson's lemma, Laplace's method, the saddle point method, and the method of stationary phase. Certain developments in the field of…
Regularly varying stochastic processes model extreme dependence between process values at different locations and/or time points. For such processes we propose a two-step parameter estimation of the extremogram, when some part of the domain…
Regression methods are fundamental for scientific and technological applications. However, fitted models can be highly unreliable outside of their training domain, and hence the quantification of their uncertainty is crucial in many of…
We present a general framework for studying regularized estimators; such estimators are pervasive in estimation problems wherein "plug-in" type estimators are either ill-defined or ill-behaved. Within this framework, we derive, under…
This paper explores the concept of random-time subordination in modelling stock-price dynamics, and We first present results on the Laplace distribution as a Gaussian variance-mixture, in particular a more efficient volatility estimation…
Optimization under uncertainty and risk is indispensable in many practical situations. Our paper addresses stability of optimization problems using composite risk functionals which are subjected to measure perturbations. Our main focus is…
In this paper, we analyze the robustness and sensitivity of various continuous-time rough Volterra stochastic volatility models in relation to the process of market calibration. Model robustness is examined from two perspectives: the…
We study stochastic volatility models in which the volatility process is a positive continuous function of a continuous Volterra stochastic process. We state some pathwise large deviation principles for the scaled log-price.
We introduce a method for learning provably stable deep neural network based dynamic models from observed data. Specifically, we consider discrete-time stochastic dynamic models, as they are of particular interest in practical applications…
In the present work, we propose a new multifactor stochastic volatility model in which slow factor of volatility is approximated by a parabolic arc. We retain ourselves to the perturbation technique to obtain approximate expression for…
This paper is concerned with the asymptotics for Greeks of European-style options and the risk-neutral density function calculated under the constant elasticity of variance model. Formulae obtained help financial engineers to construct a…
It has been recently shown that spot volatilities can be very well modeled by rough stochastic volatility type dynamics. In such models, the log-volatility follows a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter smaller than 1/2. This…
We compute a sharp small-time estimate for implied volatility under a general uncorrelated local-stochastic volatility model. For this we use the Bellaiche \cite{Bel81} heat kernel expansion combined with Laplace's method to integrate over…
We apply convex regularization techniques to the problem of calibrating the local volatility surface model of Dupire taking into account the practical requirement of discrete grids and noisy data. Such requirements are the consequence of…
In this paper we study short-time behavior of the at-the-money implied volatility for Inverse European options with fixed strike price. The asset price is assumed to follow a general stochastic volatility process. Using techniques of the…
Doubly robust estimators have gained widespread popularity in various fields due to their ability to provide unbiased estimates under model misspecification. However, the asymptotic theory for doubly robust estimators with continuous-time…
Capturing uncertainty in models of complex dynamical systems is crucial to designing safe controllers. Stochastic noise causes aleatoric uncertainty, whereas imprecise knowledge of model parameters leads to epistemic uncertainty. Several…
In this paper, we study the option pricing problems for rough volatility models. As the framework is non-Markovian, the value function for a European option is not deterministic; rather, it is random and satisfies a backward stochastic…
We present a study of the short-maturity asymptotics for VIX and European option prices in local-stochastic volatility models with compound Poisson jumps. Both out-of-the-money (OTM) and at-the-money (ATM) asymptotics are considered. The…