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A small-time Edgeworth expansion of the density of an asset price is given under a general stochastic volatility model, from which asymptotic expansions of put option prices and at-the-money implied volatilities follow. A limit theorem for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-25 Omar El Euch , Masaaki Fukasawa , Jim Gatheral , Mathieu Rosenbaum

State-space models are pivotal for dynamic system analysis but often struggle with outlier data that deviates from Gaussian distributions, frequently exhibiting skewness and heavy tails. This paper introduces a robust extension utilizing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-31 Yifan Yu , Shengjie Xiu , Daniel P. Palomar

The linearised Laplace method for estimating model uncertainty has received renewed attention in the Bayesian deep learning community. The method provides reliable error bars and admits a closed-form expression for the model evidence,…

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

In this paper, we price European Call three different option pricing models, where the volatility is dynamically changing i.e. non constant. In stochastic volatility (SV) models for option pricing a closed form approximation technique is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-19 Natasha Latif , Shafqat Ali Shad , Muhammad Usman , Chandan Kumar , Bahman B Motii , MD Mahfuzer Rahman , Khuram Shafi , Zahra Idrees

To verify theoretical results it is sometimes important to use a numerical example where the solution has a particular regularity. The paper describes one approach to construct such examples. It is based on the regularity theory for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Thomas Apel , Katharina Lorenz , Serge Nicaise

Using spectral decomposition techniques and singular perturbation theory, we develop a systematic method to approximate the prices of a variety of options in a fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility setting. Four examples are provided in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-15 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Sebastian Jaimungal , Matthew Lorig

We consider the problem of estimating stochastic volatility for a class of second-order parabolic stochastic PDEs. Assuming that the solution is observed at a high temporal frequency, we use limit theorems for multipower variations and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Carsten Chong

We study two complementary methodologies for calibrating implied volatility surfaces: analytical approximations and data-driven models based on rough path theory. On the analytical side, we revisit a second-order asymptotic expansion for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-11 Elisa Alòs , Òscar Burés , Rafael de Santiago , Josep Vives

We consider a fractional version of the Heston volatility model which is inspired by [16]. Within this model we treat portfolio optimization problems for power utility functions. Using a suitable representation of the fractional part,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-17 Nicole Bäuerle , Sascha Desmettre

Variational inference is a general framework to obtain approximations to the posterior distribution in a Bayesian context. In essence, variational inference entails an optimization over a given family of probability distributions to choose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Janis Keck

We provide a simple explicit estimator for discretely observed Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models, prove rigorously consistency and asymptotic normality based on the single assumption that all moments of the stationary distribution of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Friedrich Hubalek , Petra Posedel

In this paper new analytical and numerical approaches to valuating path-dependent options of European type have been developed. The model of stochastic volatility as a basic model has been chosen. For European options we could improve the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-24 Yu. A. Kuperin , P. A. Poloskov

We develop a nonparametric test for deciding whether volatility of an asset follows a standard semimartingale process, with paths of finite quadratic variation, or a rough process with paths of infinite quadratic variation. The test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

We consider rough stochastic volatility models where the driving noise of volatility has fractional scaling, in the "rough" regime of Hurst parameter $H < 1/2$. This regime recently attracted a lot of attention both from the statistical and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-12 Christian Bayer , Peter K. Friz , Archil Gulisashvili , Blanka Horvath , Benjamin Stemper

This paper derives a new semi closed-form approximation formula for pricing an up-and-out barrier option under a certain type of stochastic volatility model including SABR model by applying a rigorous asymptotic expansion method developed…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-16 Takashi Kato , Akihiko Takahashi , Toshihiro Yamada

In recent years, there has been a substantive interest in rough volatility models. In this class of models, the local behavior of stochastic volatility is much more irregular than semimartingales and resembles that of a fractional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

In this paper we study the short-time behavior of the at-the-money implied volatility for arithmetic Asian options with fixed strike price. The asset price is assumed to follow the Black-Scholes model with a general stochastic volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Elisa Alòs , Eulalia Nualart , Makar Pravosud

We introduce an asymptotic small noise expansion, a so called vol-of-vol expansion, for potentially infinite dimensional and rough stochastic volatility models. Thereby we extend the scope of existing results for finite dimensional models…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-06 Ozan Akdogan

High-frequency data observed on the prices of financial assets are commonly modeled by diffusion processes with micro-structure noise, and realized volatility-based methods are often used to estimate integrated volatility. For problems…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-26 Yazhen Wang , Jian Zou