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We study neural networks as nonparametric estimation tools for the hedging of options. To this end, we design a network, named HedgeNet, that directly outputs a hedging strategy. This network is trained to minimise the hedging error instead…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-15 Johannes Ruf , Weiguan Wang

Sparse regression has been a popular approach to perform variable selection and enhance the prediction accuracy and interpretability of the resulting statistical model. Existing approaches focus on offline regularized regression, while the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-03 Shuoguang Yang , Yuhao Yan , Xiuneng Zhu , Qiang Sun

Decision-makers often have access to machine-learned predictions about future demand that can help guide online resource allocation decisions. However, such predictions may be inaccurate. We develop a framework for online resource…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Negin Golrezaei , Patrick Jaillet , Zijie Zhou

We study a systematic approach to a popular Statistical Arbitrage technique: Pairs Trading. Instead of relying on two highly correlated assets, we replace the second asset with a replication of the first using risk factor representations.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-03 Marek Adamczyk , Michał Dąbrowski

A frequently studied performance measure in online optimization is competitive analysis. It corresponds to the worst-case ratio, over all possible inputs of an algorithm, between the performance of the algorithm and the optimal offline…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-30 Antoine Lhomme , Nicolas Catusse , Nadia Brauner

Pair trading is one of the most effective statistical arbitrage strategies which seeks a neutral profit by hedging a pair of selected assets. Existing methods generally decompose the task into two separate steps: pair selection and trading.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-26 Weiguang Han , Boyi Zhang , Qianqian Xie , Min Peng , Yanzhao Lai , Jimin Huang

Boosting is a popular ensemble algorithm that generates more powerful learners by linearly combining base models from a simpler hypothesis class. In this work, we investigate the problem of adapting batch gradient boosting for minimizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-02 Hanzhang Hu , Wen Sun , Arun Venkatraman , Martial Hebert , J. Andrew Bagnell

This paper describes a new parameter-free online learning algorithm for changing environments. In comparing against algorithms with the same time complexity as ours, we obtain a strongly adaptive regret bound that is a factor of at least…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-08 Kwang-Sung Jun , Francesco Orabona , Rebecca Willett , Stephen Wright

Offline reinforcement learning (RL) presents distinct challenges as it relies solely on observational data. A central concern in this context is ensuring the safety of the learned policy by quantifying uncertainties associated with various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Xiaocong Chen , Siyu Wang , Tong Yu , Lina Yao

We consider online learning of ensembles of portfolio selection algorithms and aim to regularize risk by encouraging diversification with respect to a predefined risk-driven grouping of stocks. Our procedure uses online convex optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-13 Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

In this work, we introduce a learning model designed to meet the needs of applications in which computational resources are limited, and robustness and interpretability are prioritized. Learning problems can be formulated as constrained…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-26 Christos Mavridis , John Baras

Learning, whether natural or artificial, is a process of selection. It starts with a set of candidate options and selects the more successful ones. In the case of machine learning the selection is done based on empirical estimates of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Yevgeny Seldin

Despite significant recent advances in deep neural networks, training them remains a challenge due to the highly non-convex nature of the objective function. State-of-the-art methods rely on error backpropagation, which suffers from several…

Stable matching, a classical model for two-sided markets, has long been studied with little consideration for how each side's preferences are learned. With the advent of massive online markets powered by data-driven matching platforms, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Lydia T. Liu , Horia Mania , Michael I. Jordan

We present data-dependent learning bounds for the general scenario of non-stationary non-mixing stochastic processes. Our learning guarantees are expressed in terms of a data-dependent measure of sequential complexity and a discrepancy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-16 Vitaly Kuznetsov , Mehryar Mohri

We consider the problem of on-line prediction of real-valued labels, assumed bounded in absolute value by a known constant, of new objects from known labeled objects. The prediction algorithm's performance is measured by the squared…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Vladimir Vovk

We explore the role that random arbitrage opportunities play in hedging financial derivatives. We extend the asymptotic pricing theory presented by Fedotov and Panayides [Stochastic arbitrage return and its implication for option pricing,…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Stephanos Panayides

We apply the method of defensive forecasting, based on the use of game-theoretic supermartingales, to prediction with expert advice. In the traditional setting of a countable number of experts and a finite number of outcomes, the Defensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-03-12 Alexey Chernov , Yuri Kalnishkan , Fedor Zhdanov , Vladimir Vovk

In recent years, a wide range of investment models have been created using artificial intelligence. Automatic trading by artificial intelligence can expand the range of trading methods, such as by conferring the ability to operate 24 hours…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-17 Koya Ishikawa , Kazuhide Nakata

This paper presents machine learning techniques and deep reinforcement learningbased algorithms for the efficient resolution of nonlinear partial differential equations and dynamic optimization problems arising in investment decisions and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-19 Maximilien Germain , Huyên Pham , Xavier Warin