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We consider adaptive decision-making problems where an agent optimizes a cumulative performance objective by repeatedly choosing among a finite set of options. Compared to the classical prediction-with-expert-advice set-up, we consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-10 Michael Muehlebach

Diffusion language models (DLMs) have recently emerged as a promising alternative to autoregressive (AR) approaches, enabling parallel token generation beyond a rigid left-to-right order. Despite growing empirical success, the theoretical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Yunxiao Zhao , Changxiao Cai

An adaptive filter is defined as a digital filter that has the capability of self adjusting its transfer function under the control of some optimizing algorithms. Most common optimizing algorithms are Least Mean Square (LMS) and Recursive…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-06-06 Saurabh R. Prasad , Bhalchandra B. Godbole

For many nonlinear Bayesian state estimation problems, the posterior recursion is not analytically tractable, leading to algorithms that are influenced by numerical approximation errors. These algorithms depend on parameters that affect the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-14 Ondrej Straka , Felipe Giraldo-Grueso , Renato Zanetti

The derivation of statistical properties for Partial Least Squares regression can be a challenging task. The reason is that the construction of latent components from the predictor variables also depends on the response variable. While this…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-13 Nicole Kraemer , Masashi Sugiyama

In this paper we derive the asymptotic properties of the least squares estimator (LSE) of autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models with regime changes under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-11 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Landy Rabehasaina

This paper considers probabilistic estimation of a low-rank matrix from non-linear element-wise measurements of its elements. We derive the corresponding approximate message passing (AMP) algorithm and its state evolution. Relying on…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-19 Thibault Lesieur , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

The diffusion least-mean square (dLMS) algorithms have attracted much attention owing to its robustness for distributed estimation problems. However, the performance of such filters may change when they are implemented for suppressing…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-08-09 Lu Lu , Haiquan Zhao

In this paper we derive the asymptotic properties of the least squares estimator (LSE) of fractionally integrated autoregressive moving-average (FARIMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-19 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Youssef Esstafa , Bruno Saussereau

The main purpose of this article is to prove that, under certain assumptions in a linear prediction setting, optimal methods based upon model reduction and even an optimal predictor can be provided. The optimality is formulated in terms of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Inge S. Helland

In this technical note, we study the mean square stability-based analysis of stochastic continuous-time linear networked systems. The stochastic uncertainty is assumed to enter multiplicatively in system dynamics through input and output…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-09 Sai Pushpak , Amit Diwadkar , Umesh Vaidya

We investigate the theoretical foundations of a recently introduced entropy-based formulation of weighted least squares for the approximation of overdetermined linear systems, motivated by robust data fitting in the presence of sparse gross…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Felice Iavernaro , Monica Lazzo , Lorenzo Pisani

Networked systems usually face different random uncertainties that make the performance of the least-squares (LS) linear filter decline significantly. For this reason, great attention has been paid to the search for other kinds of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-26 Raquel Caballero-Águila , Josefa Linares-Pérez

This paper attempts to answer a "simple question" in building predictive models using machine learning algorithms. Although diagnostic and predictive models for various diseases have been proposed using data from large cohort studies and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Isao Goto

Solutions to the interval observation problem for delayed impulsive and switched systems with $L_1$-performance are provided. The approach is based on first obtaining stability and $L_1/\ell_1$-to-$L_1/\ell_1$ performance analysis…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Corentin Briat

The design of unknown-input decoupled observers and filters requires the assumption of an existence condition in the literature. This paper addresses an unknown input filtering problem where the existence condition is not satisfied. Instead…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Peng Lu , Erik-Jan van Kampen , Cornelis C. de Visser , Qiping Chu

In unsupervised ensemble learning, one obtains predictions from multiple sources or classifiers, yet without knowing the reliability and expertise of each source, and with no labeled data to assess it. The task is to combine these possibly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-24 Ariel Jaffe , Ethan Fetaya , Boaz Nadler , Tingting Jiang , Yuval Kluger

Deep stochastic state-space models enable Bayesian filtering in nonlinear, partially observed systems but typically assume a fixed latent structure. When this assumption is violated, parameter adaptation alone may result in persistent…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-10 Thanana Nuchkrua , Sudchai Boonto , Xiaoqi Liu

In this paper, a novel diffusion estimation algorithm is proposed from a probabilistic perspective by combining diffusion strategy and the probabilistic least-mean-squares (PLMS) at all agents. The proposed method diffusion probabilistic…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-27 Sihai Guan , Chun Meng , Bharat Biswal

Forecasting the evolution of complex systems is one of the grand challenges of modern data science. The fundamental difficulty lies in understanding the structure of the observed stochastic process. In this paper, we show that every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou