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In this paper, we address the probabilistic error quantification of a general class of prediction methods. We consider a given prediction model and show how to obtain, through a sample-based approach, a probabilistic upper bound on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Victor Mirasierra , Martina Mammarella , Fabrizio Dabbene , Teodoro Alamo

In this paper, we introduce a method for approximating the solution to inference and optimization tasks in uncertain and deterministic reasoning. Such tasks are in general intractable for exact algorithms because of the large number of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 David Ephraim Larkin

Even competent programmers make mistakes. Automatic verification can detect errors, but leaves the frustrating task of finding the erroneous line of code to the user. This paper presents an automatic approach for identifying potential error…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-09-17 Robert Koenighofer , Ronald Toegl , Roderick Bloem

The focus of this paper is on reducing the complexity in verification by exploiting modularity at various levels: in specification, in verification, and structurally. For specifications, we use the modular language CSP-OZ-DC, which allows…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-05-20 Johannes Faber , Carsten Ihlemann , Swen Jacobs , Viorica Sofronie-Stokkermans

Almost every numerical task can be cast as extrapolation with respect to the fidelity or tolerance parameters of a consistent numerical method. This perspective enables probabilistic uncertainty quantification and optimal experimental…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Chris. J. Oates , Richard Howey , Toni Karvonen

Properties such as provable security and correctness for randomized programs are naturally expressed relationally as approximate equivalences. As a result, a number of relational program logics have been developed to reason about such…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Philipp G. Haselwarter , Kwing Hei Li , Alejandro Aguirre , Simon Oddershede Gregersen , Joseph Tassarotti , Lars Birkedal

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely employed in control and learning because of their principled treatment of uncertainty. However, tracking uncertainty for iterative, multi-step predictions in general leads to an analytically intractable…

In this paper we examine the potential of computer-assisted proof methods to be applied much more broadly than commonly recognized. More specifically, we contend that there are vast opportunities to derive useful mathematical results and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-05-27 Jeffrey Uhlmann , Jie Wang

Craig interpolation is a widespread method in verification, with important applications such as Predicate Abstraction, CounterExample Guided Abstraction Refinement and Lazy Abstraction With Interpolants. Most state-of-the-art model checking…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-04-16 Arie Gurfinkel , Simone Fulvio Rollini , Natasha Sharygina

Markov decision processes are a ubiquitous formalism for modelling systems with non-deterministic and probabilistic behavior. Verification of these models is subject to the famous state space explosion problem. We alleviate this problem by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Sebastian Junges , Matthijs T. J. Spaan

We address the problem of analyzing asynchronous event-driven programs, in which concurrent agents communicate via unbounded message queues. The safety verification problem for such programs is undecidable. We present in this paper a…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-05-27 Peizun Liu , Thomas Wahl , Akash LaL

Many statistical models can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihoods. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are used to infer properties of these models from data. Traditionally these methods approximate the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-03 George Papamakarios , Iain Murray

Compared to the wide array of advanced Monte Carlo methods supported by modern probabilistic programming languages (PPLs), PPL support for variational inference (VI) is less developed: users are typically limited to a predefined selection…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-06-25 McCoy R. Becker , Alexander K. Lew , Xiaoyan Wang , Matin Ghavami , Mathieu Huot , Martin C. Rinard , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Data analytics often involves hypothetical reasoning: repeatedly modifying the data and observing the induced effect on the computation result of a data-centric application. Previous work has shown that fine-grained data provenance can help…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Daniel Deutch , Yuval Moskovitch , Noam Rinetzky

Autonomous robots operating in dynamic environments must maintain beliefs over a hypothesis space that is rich enough to represent the activities of interest at different scales. This is important both in order to accommodate the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-26 Majd Hawasly , Florian T. Pokorny , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

Multifidelity uncertainty propagation combines the efficiency of low-fidelity models with the accuracy of a high-fidelity model to construct statistical estimators of quantities of interest. It is well known that the effectiveness of such…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-06 James E. Warner , Geoffrey F. Bomarito , Gianluca Geraci , Michael S. Eldred

Providing compact and understandable counterexamples for violated system properties is an essential task in model checking. Existing works on counterexamples for probabilistic systems so far computed either a large set of system runs or a…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-11-26 Ralf Wimmer , Nils Jansen , Erika Ábrahám , Joost-Pieter Katoen

We consider the satisfiability problem for the two-variable fragment of the first-order logic extended with modulo counting quantifiers and interpreted over finite words or trees. We prove a small-model property of this logic, which gives a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-10-17 Bartosz Bednarczyk , Witold Charatonik

Automatic techniques for program verification usually suffer the well-known state explosion problem. Most of the classical approaches are based on browsing the structure of some form of model (which represents the behavior of the program)…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Marco Comini , Laura Titolo , Alicia Villanueva

Business process enactment is generally supported by information systems that record data about process executions, which can be extracted as event logs. Predictive process monitoring is concerned with exploiting such event logs to predict…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-06-05 Chiara Di Francescomarino , Marlon Dumas , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Irene Teinemaa