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Standard estimators in information provision experiments place more weight on individuals who update their beliefs more in response to new information. This paper shows that, in practice, these individuals who update the most have the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Dylan Balla-Elliott

In this paper we study a class of weighted estimands, which we define as parameters that can be expressed as weighted averages of the underlying heterogeneous treatment effects. The popular ordinary least squares (OLS), two-stage least…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-14 Alexandre Poirier , Tymon Słoczyński

In this article we study post-model selection estimators that apply ordinary least squares (OLS) to the model selected by first-step penalized estimators, typically Lasso. It is well known that Lasso can estimate the nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov

We present a result according to which certain functions of covariance matrices are maximized at scalar multiples of the identity matrix. In a statistical context in which such functions measure loss, this says that the least favourable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Douglas P. Wiens

The presence of units with extreme values in the dependent and/or independent variables (i.e., vertical outliers, leveraged data) has the potential to severely bias regression coefficients and/or standard errors. This is common with short…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-12 Annalivia Polselli

We present a comprehensive framework for applying rigorous statistical techniques from econometrics to analyze and improve machine learning systems. We introduce key statistical methods such as Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Michaël Soumm

Two-stage least squares (TSLS) estimators and variants thereof are widely used to infer the effect of an exposure on an outcome using instrumental variables (IVs). They belong to a wider class of two-stage IV estimators, which are based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-08 Stijn Vansteelandt , Vanessa Didelez

When data are clustered, common practice has become to do OLS and use an estimator of the covariance matrix of the OLS estimator that comes close to unbiasedness. In this paper we derive an estimator that is unbiased when the random-effects…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-22 Tom Boot , Gianmaria Niccodemi , Tom Wansbeek

Ordinal regression with anchored reference samples (ORARS) has been proposed for predicting the subjective Mean Opinion Score (MOS) of input stimuli automatically. The ORARS addresses the MOS prediction problem by pairing a test sample with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Bin Su , Shaoguang Mao , Frank Soong , Zhiyong Wu

In this study, we focus on a generalized nonparametric scalar-on-function regression model for heterogeneously distributed and strongly mixing data. We provide almost complete convergence rates for the local linear estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Danilo Hiroshi Matsuoka , Hudson da Silva Torrent

This article proposes a novel estimator for regression coefficients in clustered data that explicitly accounts for within-cluster dependence. We study the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator under both finite and infinite…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Subhodeep Dey , Gopal K. Basak , Samarjit Das

We analyze linear panel regression models with interactive fixed effects and predetermined regressors, for example lagged-dependent variables. The first-order asymptotic theory of the least squares (LS) estimator of the regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-04 Hyungsik Roger Moon , Martin Weidner

It is well known that individual parameters of strongly correlated predictor variables in a linear model cannot be accurately estimated by the least squares regression due to multicollinearity generated by such variables. Surprisingly, an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Min Tsao

Concerning bivariate least squares linear regression, the classical results obtained for extreme structural models in earlier attempts are reviewed using a new formalism in terms of deviation (matrix) traces which, for homoscedastic data,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-17 R. Caimmi

We consider the problem of variable selection when the response is ordinal, that is an ordered categorical variable. In particular, we are interested in selecting quantitative explanatory variables linked with the ordinal response variable…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-19 Aurélie Deveau , Anne Gégout-Petit , Clémence Karmann

Ordinary least square (OLS) estimation of a linear regression model is well-known to be highly sensitive to outliers. It is common practice to (1) identify and remove outliers by looking at the data and (2) to fit OLS and form confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Shuxiao Chen , Jacob Bien

In Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) it is assumed that there is a linear effect of the predictor variables on the outcome. However, this assumption is often too strict, because in many applications predictors have a nonlinear relation with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 S. J. W. Willems , A. J. van der Kooij , J. J. Meulman

We study the estimation of causal effects on group-level parameters identified from microdata (e.g., child penalties). We demonstrate that standard one-step methods (such as pooled OLS and IV regressions) are generally inconsistent due to…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-13 Dmitry Arkhangelsky , Kazuharu Yanagimoto , Tom Zohar

Leave-one-out (LOO) prediction provides a principled, data-dependent measure of generalization, yet guarantees in fully transductive settings remain poorly understood beyond specialized models. We introduce Median of Level-Set Aggregation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Jian Qian , Jiachen Xu

The partial least squares algorithm for dependent data realisations is considered. Consequences of ignoring the dependence for the algorithm performance are studied both theoretically and in simulations. It is shown that ignoring certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-07 Marco Singer , Tatyana Krivobokova , Bert L. de Groot , Axel Munk