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We investigate the almost sure asymptotic properties of vector martingale transforms. Assuming some appropriate regularity conditions both on the increasing process and on the moments of the martingale, we prove that normalized moments of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Bernard Bercu , Peggy Cénac , Guy Fayolle

We study the properties of the set of marginal distributions of infinite translation-invariant systems in the 2D square lattice. In cases where the local variables can only take a small number $d$ of possible values, we completely solve the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-09-26 Zizhu Wang , Miguel Navascués

We improve a theoretical result of the article "On Exploiting Spectral Properties for Solving MDP with Large State Space" showing that their algorithm, which was proved to converge under some unrealistic assumptions, is actually guaranteed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 D. Maran

The question of the local stability of the (replica-symmetric) amorphous solid state is addressed for a class of systems undergoing a continuous liquid to amorphous-solid phase transition driven by the effect of random constraints. The…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Horacio E. Castillo , Paul M. Goldbart , Annette Zippelius

We give a bare-hands approach to the martingale representation theorem for integer valued random measures, which allows for a wide class of infinite activity jump processes, as well as all processes with well-ordered jumps.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-24 Samuel N. Cohen

We study a set of Run-and-tumble particle (RTP) dynamics in two spatial dimensions. In the first case of the orientation {\theta} of the particle can assume a set of n possible discrete values while in the second case {\theta} is a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-06-17 Ion Santra , Urna Basu , Sanjib Sabhapandit

We develop the fundamental theorem of asset pricing in a probability-free infinite-dimensional setup. We replace the usual assumption of a prior probability by a certain continuity property in the state variable. Probabilities enter then…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-07 Frank Riedel

We present statistical tests for the continuous martingale hypothesis. That is, whether an observed process is a continuous local martingale, or equivalently a continuous time-changed Brownian motion. Our technique is based on the concept…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-30 Owen D. Jones , David A. Rolls

The hypothesis of randomness is fundamental in statistical machine learning and in many areas of nonparametric statistics; it says that the observations are assumed to be independent and coming from the same unknown probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Vladimir Vovk

In this paper we define a new type of quadratic variation for cylindrical continuous local martingales on an infinite dimensional spaces. It is shown that a large class of cylindrical continuous local martingales has such a quadratic…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-11 Mark Veraar , Ivan Yaroslavtsev

Let $(X_t)_{t \geq 0}$ be a continuous time Markov process on some metric space $M,$ leaving invariant a closed subset $M_0 \subset M,$ called the {\em extinction set}. We give general conditions ensuring either "Stochastic persistence"…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-26 Michel Benaim

In this paper, we develop a general theory on the coverage probability of random intervals defined in terms of discrete random variables with continuous parameter spaces. The theory shows that the minimum coverage probabilities of random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-12 Xinjia Chen

Motivated by recent advances in solution methods for mixed-integer convex optimization (MICP), we study the fundamental and open question of which sets can be represented exactly as feasible regions of MICP problems. We establish several…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Miles Lubin , Juan Pablo Vielma , Ilias Zadik

In this paper we will give a categorical proof of the Radon-Nikodym theorem. We will do this by describing the trivial version of the result on finite probability spaces as a natural isomorphism. We then proceed to Kan extend this…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Ruben Van Belle

Markov decision processes (MDP) are a well-established model for sequential decision-making in the presence of probabilities. In robust MDP (RMDP), every action is associated with an uncertainty set of probability distributions, modelling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Tobias Meggendorfer , Maximilian Weininger , Patrick Wienhöft

Motivated by a problem posed by Aldous, our goal is to find the maximal-entropy win-martingale: In a sports game between two teams, the chance the home team wins is initially $x_0 \in (0,1)$ and finally 0 or 1. As an idealization we take a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Julio Backhoff-Veraguas , Mathias Beiglboeck

The subject of this work is to study martingales in a reductive homogeneous space with respect to a symmetric connection. Our basic idea is to view homogenous spaces as principal fiber bundles and, thus, to study martingales on homogeneous…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-04 S. N. Stelmastchuk

The classic model of computable randomness considers martingales that take real or rational values. Recent work by Bienvenu et al. (2012) and Teutsch (2014) shows that fundamental features of the classic model change when the martingales…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-04-16 Ron Peretz

We explore various combinatorial problems mostly borrowed from physics, that share the property of being continuously or discretely integrable, a feature that guarantees the existence of conservation laws that often make the problems…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-11-22 Philippe Di Francesco

The present paper is devoted to the second part of our project on asymmetric maximal inequalities, where we consider martingales in continuous time. Let $(\mathcal M,\tau)$ be a noncommutative probability space equipped with a continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-07 Guixiang Hong , Marius Junge , Javier Parcet
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