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We consider online prediction of a binary sequence with expert advice. For this setting, we devise label-efficient forecasting algorithms, which use a selective sampling scheme that enables collecting much fewer labels than standard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-23 Rui M. Castro , Fredrik Hellström , Tim van Erven

Given $k$ pre-trained classifiers and a stream of unlabeled data examples, how can we actively decide when to query a label so that we can distinguish the best model from the rest while making a small number of queries? Answering this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Mohammad Reza Karimi , Nezihe Merve Gürel , Bojan Karlaš , Johannes Rausch , Ce Zhang , Andreas Krause

In the online (time-series) search problem, a player is presented with a sequence of prices which are revealed in an online manner. In the standard definition of the problem, for each revealed price, the player must decide irrevocably…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Spyros Angelopoulos , Shahin Kamali , Dehou Zhang

We revisit the foundations of fairness and its interplay with utility and efficiency in settings where the training data contain richer labels, such as individual types, rankings, or risk estimates, rather than just binary outcomes. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Noga Amit , Omer Reingold , Guy N. Rothblum

We consider the problem of sequential decision making under uncertainty in which the loss caused by a decision depends on the following binary observation. In competitive on-line learning, the goal is to design decision algorithms that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Vladimir Vovk

We consider a learning system based on the conventional multiplicative weight (MW) rule that combines experts' advice to predict a sequence of true outcomes. It is assumed that one of the experts is malicious and aims to impose the maximum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-21 S. Rasoul Etesami , Negar Kiyavash , Vincent Leon , H. Vincent Poor

Automated decision making systems are increasingly being used in real-world applications. In these systems for the most part, the decision rules are derived by minimizing the training error on the available historical data. Therefore, if…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-31 AmirEmad Ghassami , Sajad Khodadadian , Negar Kiyavash

Classification, the process of assigning a label (or class) to an observation given its features, is a common task in many applications. Nonetheless in most real-life applications, the labels can not be fully explained by the observed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-07 Johan Barthélemy , Morgane Dumont , Timoteo Carletti

This paper proposes a way of protecting probabilistic prediction models against changes in the data distribution, concentrating on the case of classification and paying particular attention to binary classification. This is important in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Vladimir Vovk , Ivan Petej , Alex Gammerman

We study a sequential prediction problem in which an adversary is allowed to inject arbitrarily many adversarial instances in a stream of i.i.d. instances, but at each round, the learner may also abstain from making a prediction without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Jialin Yu , Moïse Blanchard

We study the problem of post-processing a supervised machine-learned regressor to maximize fair binary classification at all decision thresholds. By decreasing the statistical distance between each group's score distributions, we show that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Kweku Kwegyir-Aggrey , A. Feder Cooper , Jessica Dai , John Dickerson , Keegan Hines , Suresh Venkatasubramanian

We study how we can adapt a predictor to a non-stationary environment with advises from multiple experts. We study the problem under complete feedback when the best expert changes over time from a decision theoretic point of view. Proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Vishnu Raj , Sheetal Kalyani

Online classification is a central problem in optimization, statistical learning and data science. Classical algorithms such as the perceptron offer efficient updates and finite mistake guarantees on linearly separable data, but they do not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Nam Ho-Nguyen , Fatma Kılınç-Karzan , Ellie Nguyen , Lingqing Shen

We consider a cooperative learning scenario where a collection of networked agents with individually owned classifiers dynamically update their predictions, for the same classification task, through communication or observations of each…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Shahrzad Haddadan , Cheng Xin , Jie Gao

Local decision rules are commonly understood to be more explainable, due to the local nature of the patterns involved. With numerical optimization methods such as gradient boosting, ensembles of local decision rules can gain good predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Xin Du , Subramanian Ramamoorthy , Wouter Duivesteijn , Jin Tian , Mykola Pechenizkiy

Many practical learning systems aggregate data across many users, while learning theory traditionally considers a single learner who trusts all of their observations. A case in point is the foundational learning problem of prediction with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-11 Paul Christiano

We show how well known rules of back propagation arise from a weighted combination of finite automata. By redefining a finite automata as a predictor we combine the set of all $k$-state finite automata using a weighted majority algorithm.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-30 Finn Macleod

We study the prediction with expert advice setting, where the aim is to produce a decision by combining the decisions generated by a set of experts, e.g., independently running algorithms. We achieve the min-max optimal dynamic regret under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Hakan Gokcesu , Suleyman S. Kozat

When eliciting forecasts from a group of experts, it is important to reward predictions so that market participants are incentivized to tell the truth. Existing mechanisms partially accomplish this but remain susceptible to groups of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-26 Jack Edwards

We investigate online algorithms for maximum (weight) independent set on graph classes with bounded inductive independence number like, e.g., interval and disk graphs with applications to, e.g., task scheduling and spectrum allocation. In…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-07-12 Oliver Göbel , Martin Hoefer , Thomas Kesselheim , Thomas Schleiden , Berthold Vöcking
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