English
Related papers

Related papers: The Duration of Optimal Stopping Problems

200 papers

Standard procurement models assume that the buyer knows the quality of the good at the time of procurement; however, in many settings, the quality is learned only long after the transaction. We study procurement problems in which the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-03 Kun Zhang

We consider a new type of optimal stopping problems where the absorbing boundary moves as the state process X attains new maxima S. More specifically, we set the absorbing boundary as S-b where b is a certain constant. This problem is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Masahiko Egami , Tadao Oryu

We propose information-directed sampling -- a new approach to online optimization problems in which a decision-maker must balance between exploration and exploitation while learning from partial feedback. Each action is sampled in a manner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-10 Daniel Russo , Benjamin Van Roy

In this paper, problems of optimal control are considered where in the objective function, in addition to the control cost there is a tracking term that measures the distance to a desired stationary state. The tracking term is given by some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-15 Martin Gugat , Michael Schuster , Enrique Zuazua

Motivated by online platforms such as job markets, we study an agent choosing from a list of candidates, each with a hidden quality that determines match value. The agent observes only a noisy ranking of the candidates plus a binary signal…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Kate Donahue , Nicole Immorlica , Brendan Lucier

A novel quickest detection setting is proposed which is a generalization of the well-known Bayesian change-point detection model. Suppose \{(X_i,Y_i)\}_{i\geq 1} is a sequence of pairs of random variables, and that S is a stopping time with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Urs Niesen , Aslan Tchamkerten

Sequential Bayesian experimental design typically assumes that the number of experiments is fixed before data collection begins. In practical campaigns, however, experimentation may need to terminate early because additional measurements…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Chen Cheng , Xun Huan

We consider the best-choice problem for independent (not necessarily iid) observations $X_1, \cdots, X_n$ with the aim of selecting the sample minimum. We show that in this full generality the monotone case of optimal stopping holds and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Alexander Gnedin , Patryk Kozieł , Małgorzata Sulkowska

Selective labels are a common feature of consequential decision-making applications, referring to the lack of observed outcomes under one of the possible decisions. This paper reports work in progress on learning decision policies in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Dennis Wei

We consider the optimal stopping time problem under model uncertainty $R(v)= {\text{ess}\sup\limits}_{ \mathbb{P} \in \mathcal{P}} {\text{ess}\sup\limits}_{\tau \in \mathcal{S}_v} E^\mathbb{P}[Y(\tau) \vert \mathcal{F}_v]$, for every…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Ihsan Arharas , Siham Bouhadou , Astrid Hilbert , Youssef Ouknine

In this work we consider optimal stopping problems with conditional convex risk measures called optimised certainty equivalents. Without assuming any kind of time-consistency for the underlying family of risk measures, we derive a novel…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-16 Denis Belomestny , Volker Kraetschmer

Text retrieval systems often return large sets of documents, particularly when applied to large collections. Stopping criteria can reduce the number of these documents that need to be manually evaluated for relevance by predicting when a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-09-16 Alison Sneyd , Mark Stevenson

In this paper, we propose a new framework for solving a general dynamic optimal stopping problem without time consistency. A sophisticated solution is proposed and is well-defined for any time setting with general flows of objectives. A…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Hanqing Jin , Yanzhao Yang

Stochastic processes that are randomly reset to an initial condition serve as a showcase to investigate non-equilibrium steady states. However, all existing results have been restricted to the special case of memoryless resetting protocols.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-23 Stephan Eule , Jakob Metzger

We register a random sequence which has the following properties: it has three segments being the homogeneous Markov processes. Each segment has his own one step transition probability law and the length of the segment is unknown and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-21 Krzysztof Szajowski

Early stopping is a simple and widely used method to prevent over-training neural networks. We develop theoretical results to reveal the relationship between the optimal early stopping time and model dimension as well as sample size of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-25 Ruoqi Shen , Liyao Gao , Yi-An Ma

We study the obstacle problem associated with the American chooser option. The obstacle is given by the maximum of an American call option and an American put option, which, in turn, can be expressed as the maximum of the solutions to the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Gugyum Ha , Junkee Jeon , Jihoon Ok

We study a variation of the game of best choice (also known as the secretary problem or game of googol) under an additional assumption that the ranks of interview candidates are restricted using permutation pattern-avoidance. We develop…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Brant Jones

We consider the problem of choosing the best of $n$ samples, out of a large random pool, when the sampling of each member is associated with a certain cost. The quality (worth) of the best sample clearly increases with $n$, but so do the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Joseph D. Skufca , Daniel ben-Avraham

We study a class of infinite-horizon impulse control problems with execution delay in discrete time. Using probabilistic methods, particularly the notion of the Snell envelope of processes, we construct an optimal strategy among all…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Said Hamadène , Boualem Djehiche