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We provide a complete description of possible covariance matrices consistent with a Gaussian latent tree model for any tree. We then present techniques for utilising these constraints to assess whether observed data is compatible with that…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-13 Nathaniel Shiers , Piotr Zwiernik , John A. D. Aston , Jim Q. Smith

Many statistical models are algebraic in that they are defined by polynomial constraints or by parameterizations that are polynomial or rational maps. This opens the door for tools from computational algebraic geometry. These tools can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Mathias Drton

We consider the problem of testing properties of graphs underlying high-dimensional graphical models. We adopt the model of covariance queries introduced by Lugosi, Truszkowski, Velona, and Zwiernik (2021). We study the case when the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Sofiya Burova , Francisco Calvillo , Gábor Lugosi , Piotr Zwiernik

In this paper we investigate the geometry of a discrete Bayesian network whose graph is a tree all of whose variables are binary and the only observed variables are those labeling its leaves. We provide the full geometric description of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-20 Piotr Zwiernik , Jim Q. Smith

We propose a novel algebraic framework for treating probability distributions represented by their cumulants such as the mean and covariance matrix. As an example, we consider the unsupervised learning problem of finding the subspace on…

Gaussian latent tree models, or more generally, Gaussian latent forest models have Fisher-information matrices that become singular along interesting submodels, namely, models that correspond to subforests. For these singularities, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-24 Mathias Drton , Shaowei Lin , Luca Weihs , Piotr Zwiernik

We study the regularity of densities of distributions that are polynomial images of the standard Gaussian measure on $\mathbb{R}^n$. We assume that the degree of a polynomial is fixed and that each variable enters to a power bounded by…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Egor Kosov

We consider the problem of testing a null hypothesis defined by equality and inequality constraints on a statistical parameter. Testing such hypotheses can be challenging because the number of relevant constraints may be on the same order…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-19 Nils Sturma , Mathias Drton , Dennis Leung

Learning high-dimensional distributions is a significant challenge in machine learning and statistics. Classical research has mostly concentrated on asymptotic analysis of such data under suitable assumptions. While existing works…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Sutanu Gayen , Sanket Kale , Sayantan Sen

We consider the problem of structure recovery in a graphical model of a tree where some variables are latent. Specifically, we focus on the Gaussian case, which can be reformulated as a well-studied problem: recovering a semi-labeled tree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Luc Devroye , Gabor Lugosi , Piotr Zwiernik

We study multivariate normal models that are described by linear constraints on the inverse of the covariance matrix. Maximum likelihood estimation for such models leads to the problem of maximizing the determinant function over a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-22 Bernd Sturmfels , Caroline Uhler

Testing whether a probability distribution is compatible with a given Bayesian network is a fundamental task in the field of causal inference, where Bayesian networks model causal relations. Here we consider the class of causal structures…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-04 Aditya Kela , Kai von Prillwitz , Johan Aberg , Rafael Chaves , David Gross

Conditional independence models in the Gaussian case are algebraic varieties in the cone of positive definite covariance matrices. We study these varieties in the case of Bayesian networks, with a view towards generalizing the recursive…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Seth Sullivant

We provide time- and sample-efficient algorithms for learning and testing latent-tree Ising models, i.e. Ising models that may only be observed at their leaf nodes. On the learning side, we obtain efficient algorithms for learning a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Davin Choo , Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

In this note, we define a Gaussian probability distribution over matrices. We prove some useful properties of this distribution, namely, the fact that marginalization, conditioning, and affine transformations preserve the matrix Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-22 Shane Barratt

Addressing selection bias in latent variable causal discovery is important yet underexplored, largely due to a lack of suitable statistical tools: While various tools beyond basic conditional independencies have been developed to handle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Haoyue Dai , Yiwen Qiu , Ignavier Ng , Xinshuai Dong , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

Many of the stochastic models used in inference of phylogenetic trees from biological sequence data have polynomial parameterization maps. The image of such a map --- the collection of joint distributions for a model --- forms the model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-07 Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes , Amelia Taylor

In many statistical applications, the dimension is too large to handle for standard high-dimensional machine learning procedures. This is particularly true for graphical models, where the interpretation of a large graph is difficult and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Luc Devroye , Gábor Lugosi , Piotr Zwiernik

Numerical nonlinear algebra is applied to maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian models defined by linear constraints on the covariance matrix. We examine the generic case as well as special models (e.g. Toeplitz, sparse, trees) that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-07 Bernd Sturmfels , Sascha Timme , Piotr Zwiernik

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei
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