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While LLMs have seen substantial improvement in reasoning capabilities, they also sometimes overthink, generating unnecessary reasoning steps, particularly under uncertainty, given ill-posed or ambiguous queries. We introduce statistically…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Yangxinyu Xie , Tao Wang , Soham Mallick , Yan Sun , Georgy Noarov , Mengxin Yu , Tanwi Mallick , Weijie J. Su , Edgar Dobriban

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

Fixed-budget theory is concerned with computing or bounding the fitness value achievable by randomized search heuristics within a given budget of fitness function evaluations. Despite recent progress in fixed-budget theory, there is a lack…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Timo Kötzing , Carsten Witt

We study discrete probabilistic programs with potentially unbounded looping behaviors over an infinite state space. We present, to the best of our knowledge, the first decidability result for the problem of determining whether such a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Mingshuai Chen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Lutz Klinkenberg , Tobias Winkler

The expectation that scientific productivity follows regular patterns over a career underpins many scholarly evaluations. However, recent studies of individual productivity patterns reveal a puzzle: the average number of papers published…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-13 Sam Zhang , Nicholas LaBerge , Samuel F. Way , Daniel B. Larremore , Aaron Clauset

Modern scientific research has become largely a cooperative activity in the Internet age. We build a simulation model to understand the population-level creativity based on the heuristic ant colony algorithm. Each researcher has two…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Zhuoran He , Tingtao Zhou

This contribution examines the current controversy over research productivity. There are two sides in this controversy. Using extensive data from several industries and areas of research, one side argues that research productivity is…

General Economics · Economics 2022-03-03 Gennady Shkliarevsky

The study of intelligent systems explains behaviour in terms of economic rationality. This results in an optimization principle involving a function or utility, which states that the system will evolve until the configuration of maximum…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Pedro Hack

This paper examines the foundational concept of random variables in probability theory and statistical inference, demonstrating that their mathematical definition requires no reference to randomization or hypothetical repeated sampling. We…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-02-11 Paul W. Vos

This work proposes a dependent type theory that combines functions and session-typed processes (with value dependencies) through a contextual monad, internalising typed processes in a dependently-typed lambda-calculus. The proposed…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2018-01-25 Bernardo Toninho , Nobuko Yoshida

In the recent years, scientific workflows gained more and more popularity. In scientific workflows, tasks are typically treated as black boxes. Dealing with their complex interrelations to identify optimization potentials and bottlenecks is…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Ansgar Lößer , Joel Witzke , Florian Schintke , Björn Scheuermann

Over the last few decades, the nature of scientific research has changed in response to external influences. Firstly, powerful networked computers have become a standard tool. Secondly, society presses ever harder for research to deliver…

Physics Education · Physics 2017-11-27 Philip G Judge , Isabel Lipartito , Roberto Casini

Finding an effective medical treatment often requires a search by trial and error. Making this search more efficient by minimizing the number of unnecessary trials could lower both costs and patient suffering. We formalize this problem as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-18 Samuel Håkansson , Viktor Lindblom , Omer Gottesman , Fredrik D. Johansson

Peer prediction mechanisms incentivize agents to truthfully report their signals even in the absence of verification by comparing agents' reports with those of their peers. In the detail-free multi-task setting, agents respond to multiple…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Grant Schoenebeck , Fang-Yi Yu

We develop a novel data-driven approach to the inverse problem of classical statistical mechanics: given experimental data on the collective motion of a classical many-body system, how does one characterise the free energy landscape of that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-01 Peter Yatsyshin , Serafim Kalliadasis , Andrew B. Duncan

Theoretical computer science discusses foundational issues about computations. It asks and answers questions such as "What is a computation?", "What is computable?", "What is efficiently computable?","What is information?", "What is…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-10-10 Noson S. Yanofsky

Despite persistent efforts to understand the dynamics of creativity of scientists over careers in terms of productivity, impact, and prize, little is known about the dynamics of scientists' disruptive efforts that affect individual academic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-28 Shuang Zhang , Feifan Liu , Haoxiang Xia

This paper presents some ideas to reduce the computational cost of evidence-based robust design optimization. Evidence Theory crystallizes both the aleatory and epistemic uncertainties in the design parameters, providing two quantitative…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2012-07-17 Massimiliano Vasile , Edmondo Minisci , Quirien Wijnands

Expanding the ideas of the author's paper 'Nonexpansive maps and option pricing theory' (Kibernetica 34:6 (1998), 713-724) we develop a pure game-theoretic approach to option pricing, by-passing stochastic modeling. Risk neutral…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Vassili Kolokoltsov

In this paper, we demonstrate how to do automated theorem proving in the presence of a large knowledge base of potential premises without learning from human proofs. We suggest an exploration mechanism that mixes in additional premises…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Kshitij Bansal , Christian Szegedy , Markus N. Rabe , Sarah M. Loos , Viktor Toman
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