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In various data settings, it is necessary to compare observations from disparate data sources. We assume the data is in the dissimilarity representation and investigate a joint embedding method that results in a commensurate representation…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-05 Sancar Adali , Carey E. Priebe

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chunyuan Li , Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Covariate imbalance between treatment groups makes it difficult to compare cumulative incidence curves in competing risk analyses. In this paper we discuss different methods to estimate adjusted cumulative incidence curves including inverse…

Survival models are used in various fields, such as the development of cancer treatment protocols. Although many statistical and machine learning models have been proposed to achieve accurate survival predictions, little attention has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Hrushikesh Loya , Pranav Poduval , Deepak Anand , Neeraj Kumar , Amit Sethi

Survival analysis serves as a fundamental component in numerous healthcare applications, where the determination of the time to specific events (such as the onset of a certain disease or death) for patients is crucial for clinical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Siqi Li , Yuqing Shang , Ziwen Wang , Qiming Wu , Chuan Hong , Yilin Ning , Di Miao , Marcus Eng Hock Ong , Bibhas Chakraborty , Nan Liu

The inverse probability weighting approach is popular for evaluating treatment effects in observational studies, but extreme propensity scores could bias the estimator and induce excessive variance. Recently, the overlap weighting approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Chao Cheng , Fan Li , Laine Thomas , Fan Li

Counterfactual explanations indicate the smallest change in input that can translate to a different outcome for a machine learning model. Counterfactuals have generated immense interest in high-stakes applications such as finance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Erfaun Noorani , Pasan Dissanayake , Faisal Hamman , Sanghamitra Dutta

Cardiovascular outcome trials commonly face competing risks when non-CV death prevents observation of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). While Cox proportional hazards models treat competing events as independent censoring,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Tuo Wang , Yu Du

Survival outcomes are common in comparative effectiveness studies and require unique handling because they are usually incompletely observed due to right-censoring. A ``once for all'' approach for causal inference with survival outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Shuxi Zeng , Fan Li , Liangyuan Hu , Fan Li

Epidemiologic studies often evaluate the association between an exposure and an event risk. When time-varying, exposure updates usually occur at discrete visits although changes are in continuous time and survival models require values to…

Where machine-learned predictive risk scores inform high-stakes decisions, such as bail and sentencing in criminal justice, fairness has been a serious concern. Recent work has characterized the disparate impact that such risk scores can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Nathan Kallus , Angela Zhou

For complex diseases, the interactions between genetic and environmental risk factors can have important implications beyond the main effects. Many of the existing interaction analyses conduct marginal analysis and cannot accommodate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-31 Yangguang Zang , Yinjun Zhao , Qingzhao Zhang , Hao Chai , Sanguo Zhang , Shuangge Ma

Mutual information is commonly used as a measure of similarity between competing labelings of a given set of objects, for example to quantify performance in classification and community detection tasks. As argued recently, however, the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Maximilian Jerdee , Alec Kirkley , M. E. J. Newman

Risk prediction models are widely used to guide real-world decision-making in areas such as healthcare and economics, and they also play a key role in estimating nuisance parameters in semiparametric inference. The super learner is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-05 Anders Munch , Thomas A. Gerds

In safety-critical applications data-driven models must not only be accurate but also provide reliable uncertainty estimates. This property, commonly referred to as calibration, is essential for risk-aware decision-making. In regression a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Jelke Wibbeke , Nico Schönfisch , Sebastian Rohjans , Andreas Rauh

In this paper, we discuss causal inference on the efficacy of a treatment or medication on a time-to-event outcome with competing risks. Although the treatment group can be randomized, there can be confoundings between the compliance and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-06 Cheng Zheng , Ran Dai , Parameswaran Hari , Mei-Jie Zhang

Uncertainty reduction is vital for improving system reliability and reducing risks. To identify the best target for uncertainty reduction, uncertainty importance measure is commonly used to prioritize the significance of input variable…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-12 Shi-Shun Chen , Xiao-Yang Li

Measuring uncertainty is a promising technique for detecting adversarial examples, crafted inputs on which the model predicts an incorrect class with high confidence. But many measures of uncertainty exist, including predictive en- tropy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-26 Lewis Smith , Yarin Gal

Fitting models with high predictive accuracy that include all relevant but no irrelevant or redundant features is a challenging task on data sets with similar (e.g. highly correlated) features. We propose the approach of tuning the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-23 Andrea Bommert , Jörg Rahnenführer , Michel Lang

Conformal prediction constructs a set of labels instead of a single point prediction, while providing a probabilistic coverage guarantee. Beyond the coverage guarantee, adaptiveness to example difficulty is an important property. It means…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Sooyong Jang , Insup Lee
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