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Learning stochastic models of dynamical systems from observed data is of interest in many scientific fields. Here, we propose a new method for this task within the family of dynamical variational autoencoders. The proposed double projection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Viktor Sip , Martin Breyton , Spase Petkoski , Viktor Jirsa

The use of factor stochastic volatility models requires choosing the number of latent factors used to describe the dynamics of the financial returns process; however, empirical evidence suggests that the number and makeup of pertinent…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-06 Taylor R. Brown

We analyse the matrix factorization problem. Given a noisy measurement of a product of two matrices, the problem is to estimate back the original matrices. It arises in many applications such as dictionary learning, blind matrix…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-07-19 Yoshiyuki Kabashima , Florent Krzakala , Marc Mézard , Ayaka Sakata , Lenka Zdeborová

We address a core problem in causal inference: estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using panel data with general treatment patterns. Many existing methods either do not utilize the potential underlying structure in panel data or have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-11 Retsef Levi , Elisabeth Paulson , Georgia Perakis , Emily Zhang

We develop a structural framework for modeling and inferring unobserved heterogeneity in dynamic panel-data models. Unlike methods treating clustering as a descriptive device, we model heterogeneity as arising from a latent clustering…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-29 Jean-Pierre Florens , Anna Simoni

A new way to design parameter estimators with enhanced performance is proposed in the paper. The procedure consists of two stages, first, the generation of new regression forms via the application of a dynamic operator to the original…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Aranovskiy Stanislav , Bobtsov Alexey , Ortega Romeo , Pyrkin Anton

It is known that the common factors in a large panel of data can be consistently estimated by the method of principal components, and principal components can be constructed by iterative least squares regressions. Replacing least squares…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-16 Jushan Bai , Serena Ng

This paper introduces a new fixed effects estimator for linear panel data models with clustered time patterns of unobserved heterogeneity. The method avoids non-convex and combinatorial optimization by combining a preliminary consistent…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-21 Martin Mugnier

We consider a re-sampling scheme for estimation of the population parameters in the mixed effects nonlinear regression models of the type use for example in clinical pharmacokinetics, say. We provide an estimation procedure which {\it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Benzion Boukai , Yue Zhang

In this paper, we consider the nonstationary matrix-valued time series with common stochastic trends. Unlike the traditional factor analysis which flattens matrix observations into vectors, we adopt a matrix factor model in order to fully…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-25 Degui Li , Yayi Yan , Qiwei Yao

In this study, we propose a projection estimation method for large-dimensional matrix factor models with cross-sectionally spiked eigenvalues. By projecting the observation matrix onto the row or column factor space, we simplify factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-04 Long Yu , Yong He , Xin-bing Kong , Xinsheng Zhang

Modern empirical analysis often relies on high-dimensional panel datasets with non-negligible cross-sectional and time-series correlations. Factor models are natural for capturing such dependencies. A tensor factor model describes the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-10 Andrii Babii , Eric Ghysels , Junsu Pan

In high-dimensional data, structured noise caused by observed and unobserved factors affecting multiple target variables simultaneously, imposes a serious challenge for modeling, by masking the often weak signal. Therefore, (1) explaining…

Aging is considered as the property of the elements of a system to be less prone to change states as they get older. We incorporate aging into the noisy voter model, a stochastic model in which the agents modify their binary state by means…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-06 Oriol Artime , Antonio F. Peralta , Raúl Toral , José J. Ramasco , Maxi San Miguel

This paper introduces estimation methods for grouped latent heterogeneity in panel data quantile regression. We assume that the observed individuals come from a heterogeneous population with a finite number of types. The number of types and…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-08-07 Jiaying Gu , Stanislav Volgushev

We propose an estimation methodology for a semiparametric quantile factor panel model. We provide tools for inference that are robust to the existence of moments and to the form of weak cross-sectional dependence in the idiosyncratic error…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-01 Shujie Ma , Oliver Linton , Jiti Gao

A factor copula model is proposed in which factors are either simulable or estimable from exogenous information. Point estimation and inference are based on a simulated methods of moments (SMM) approach with non-overlapping simulation…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-02 Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

Flexible estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects lies at the heart of many statistical challenges, such as personalized medicine and optimal resource allocation. In this paper, we develop a general class of two-step algorithms for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Xinkun Nie , Stefan Wager

The paper considers two-phase random design linear regression models. The errors and the regressors are stationary long-range dependent Gaussian. The regression parameters, the scale parameters and the change-point are estimated using a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-10 Gabriela Ciuperca

In this paper we study a bootstrap strategy for estimating the variance of a mean taken over large multifactor crossed random effects data sets. We apply bootstrap reweighting independently to the levels of each factor, giving each…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Art B. Owen , Dean Eckles
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