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We introduce a family of stochastic models motivated by the study of nonequilibrium steady states of fluid equations. These models decompose the deterministic dynamics of interest into fundamental building blocks, i.e., minimal vector…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Andrea Agazzi , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Omar Melikechi

This paper exposes a novel exploratory formalism, which end goal is the numerical simulation of the dynamics of a cloud of particles weakly or strongly coupled with a turbulent fluid. Giventhe large panel of expertise of the list of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Ludovic Goudenège , Adam Larat , Julie Llobell , Marc Massot , David Mercier , Olivier Thomine , Aymeric Vié

The purpose of this contribution is to summarize and discuss recent advances regarding the onset of turbulence in shear flows. The absence of a clear cut instability mechanism, the spatio-temporal intermittent character and extremely long…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2014-03-19 Baofang Song , Björn Hof

The dynamics of a one-dimensional stochastic system of classical particles consisting of asymmetric death and branching processes is studied. The dynamical activity, defined as the number of configuration changes in a dynamical trajectory,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Pegah Torkaman , Farhad H. Jafarpour

We investigate the large-scale intermittency of vertical velocity and temperature, and the mixing properties of stably stratified turbulent flows using both Lagrangian and Eulerian fields from direct numerical simulations, in a parameter…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-09-19 F. Feraco , R. Marino , A. Pumir , L. Primavera , P. D. Mininni , A. Pouquet , D. Rosenberg

In this paper, we consider an importance sampling problem for a certain rare-event simulations involving the behavior of a diffusion process pertaining to a chain of distributed systems with random perturbations. We also assume that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Getachew K. Befekadu

The transition from laminar to turbulent fluid motion occurring at large Reynolds numbers is generally associated with the instability of the laminar flow. On the other hand, since the turbulent flow characteristically appears in the form…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2013-09-27 Sergei F. Chekmarev

From Physics and Biology to Seismology and Economics, the behaviour of countless systems is determined by impactful yet unlikely transitions between metastable states known as \emph{rare events}, the study of which is essential for…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-07-22 Solomon Asghar , Qing-Xiang Pei , Giorgio Volpe , Ran Ni

We address the issue of resilience of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) given the many indications that this dynamical system is in a multi-stable regime. A novel approach to resilience based on rare event techniques is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-09 Valérian Jacques-Dumas , Henk A. Dijkstra , Christian Kuehn

Rare transitions between long-lived stable states are often analyzed in terms of free energy landscapes computed as functions of a few collective variables. Here, using transitions between geometric phases as example, we demonstrate that…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-08-11 Clemens Moritz , Andreas Tröster , Christoph Dellago

Recent investigations of turbulent circulation fluctuations have uncovered substantial insights into the statistical organization of flow structures and revealed unexpected geometric features of turbulent intermittency. Of particular…

In many dynamical systems there is a large separation of time scales between typical events and "rare" events which can be the cases of interest. Rare-event rates are quite difficult to compute numerically, but they are of considerable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 David A. Adams , Leonard M. Sander , Robert M. Ziff

This work proposes an innovative approach using machine learning to predict extreme events in time series of chaotic dynamical systems. The research focuses on the time series of the H\'enon map, a two-dimensional model known for its…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-11 Alexandre C. Andreani , Bruno R. R. Boaretto , Elbert E. N. Macau

Hot Jupiters are Jupiter-sized exoplanets with close-in orbits, characterized by extreme day-night temperature contrasts due to synchronous rotation. These planets offer unique observational opportunities through transit photometry,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-08 W. Dietrich , J. Wicht

Due to the deterministic nature of chaotic systems, fluctuations in their trajectories arise solely from the choice of initial conditions. Some of these dynamical fluctuations may lead to extremely unlikely scenarios. Understanding the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-23 Yllari K. González-Koda , Ricardo Gutiérrez , Carlos Pérez-Espigares

The efficient calculation of rare-event kinetics in complex dynamical systems, such as the rate and pathways of ligand dissociation from a protein, is a generally unsolved problem. Markov state models can systematically integrate ensembles…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2016-02-03 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Frank Noe

Turbulence is prevalent in nature and industry, from large-scale wave dynamics to small-scale combustion nozzle sprays. In addition to the multi-scale nonlinear complexity and both randomness and coherent structures in its dynamics,…

The climate is a forced and dissipative nonlinear system featuring non-trivial dynamics of a vast range of spatial and temporal scales. The understanding of the climate's structural and multiscale properties is crucial for the provision of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 Valerio Lucarini , Richard Blender , Corentin Herbert , Salvatore Pascale , Francesco Ragone , Jeroen Wouters

Modelling the sudden depressurisation of superheated liquids through nozzles is a challenge because the pressure drop causes rapid flash boiling of the liquid. The resulting jet usually demonstrates a wide range of structures, including…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-12-15 David Schmidt , Romit Maulik , Konstantinos G. Lyras

The average time between two occurrences of the same event, referred to as its return time (or return period), is a useful statistical concept for practical applications. For instance insurances or public agency may be interested by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-13 Thibault Lestang , Francesco Ragone , Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet