Related papers: Hitting Times and Positions in Rare Events

We establish abstract local limit theorems for hitting times and return-times of suitable sequences (A_{l}) of asymptotically rare events in ergodic probability preserving dynamical systems, including versions for tuples of consecutive…

Understanding rare events is critical across domains ranging from signal processing to reliability and structural safety, extreme-weather forecasting, and insurance. The analysis of rare events is a computationally challenging problem,…

We discuss limit distributions for hitting-time functions of certain exceptional families of asymptotically rare events for ergodic probability preserving transformations. The abstract core is an inducing argument. The latter applies, for…

We study the process of suitably normalized successive return times to rare events in the setting of infinite-measure preserving dynamical systems. Specifically, we consider small neighborhoods of points whose measure tends to zero. We…

We study discrete dynamical systems through the topological concepts of limit set, which consists of all points that can be reached arbitrarily late, and asymptotic set, which consists of all adhering values of orbits. In particular, we…

The aim of this article is to prove asymptotic shape theorems for the contact process in stationary random environment. These theorems generalize known results for the classical contact process. In particular, if H_t denotes the set of…

The article studies the almost surely asymptotics of extreme values $\bar{\xi}_n = \max_{1\leq i \leq n} \xi_i$, where $ \xi , \xi_1 , \xi_2 , \ldots$ are discrete identically distributed random variables. One of the main results on this…

The aim of this article is to prove asymptotic shape theorems for the contact process in stationary random environment. These theorems generalize known results for the classical contact process. In particular, if H_t denotes the set of…

The aim of this paper is to use non asymptotic bounds for the probability of rare events in the Sanov theorem, in order to study the asymptotics in conditional limit theorems (Gibbs conditioning principle for thin sets). Applications to…

We prove that certain asymptotic moments exist for some random distance expanding dynamical systems and Markov chains in random dynamical environment, and compute them in terms of the derivatives at the $0$ of an appropriate pressure…

We obtain the law of large numbers (LLN) and the central limit theorem (CLT) for weakly dependent non-stationary arrays of random fields with asymptotically unbounded moments. The weak dependence condition for arrays of random fields is…

We study a class of discrete-time random walks in $\mathbb{R}^d$ whose conditional drift decays polynomially in time and grows polynomially with the distance from the origin to the current position. This class is related to several models…

We establish the general equivalence between rare event process for arbitrary continuous functions whose maximal values are achieved on non-trivial sets, and the entry times distribution for arbitrary measure zero sets. We then use it to…

It is well known that random walks in one dimensional random environment can exhibit subdiffusive behavior due to presence of traps. In this paper we show that the passage times of different traps are asymptotically independent exponential…

Consider compound Poisson processes with negative drift and no negative jumps, which converge to some spectrally positive L\'evy process with non-zero L\'evy measure. In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the local time process,…

Drees and Rootz\'en (2010) have established limit theorems for a general class of empirical processes of statistics that are useful for the extreme value analysis of time series, but do not apply to statistics of sliding blocks, including…

We study the asymptotic behaviour of occupation times of a transient random walk in quenched random environment on a strip in a sub-diffusive regime. The asymptotic behaviour of hitting times, which is a more traditional object of study, is…

Partial differential equations with random inputs have become popular models to characterize physical systems with uncertainty coming from, e.g., imprecise measurement and intrinsic randomness. In this paper, we perform asymptotic rare…

We show that a uniformly continuous random perturbation of a transitive map defines an aperiodic Harris chain which also satisfies Doeblin's condition. As a result, we get exponential decay of correlations for suitable random perturbations…

For many measure preserving dynamical systems $(\Omega,T,m)$ the successive hitting times to a small set is well approximated by a Poisson process on the real line. In this work we define a new process obtained from recording not only the…