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Causal effect estimation aims at estimating the Average Treatment Effect as well as the Conditional Average Treatment Effect of a treatment to an outcome from the available data. This knowledge is important in many safety-critical domains,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Niki Kiriakidou , Ioannis E. Livieris , Christos Diou

California's wildfire season keeps getting worse over the years, overwhelming the emergency response teams. These fires cause massive destruction to both property and human life. Because of these reasons, there's a growing need for accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Shashank Bhardwaj

Accurate travel time estimation is essential for navigation and itinerary planning. While existing research employs probabilistic modeling to assess travel time uncertainty and account for correlations between multiple trips, modeling the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Chen Xu , Qiang Wang , Lijun Sun

Accurate forecasting of bus travel time and its uncertainty is critical to service quality and operation of transit systems; for example, it can help passengers make better decisions on departure time, route choice, and even transport mode…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-15 Xiaoxu Chen , Zhanhong Cheng , Jian Gang Jin , Martin Trepanier , Lijun Sun

This study evaluates three probabilistic forecasting strategies using LightGBM: global pooling, cluster-level pooling, and station-level modeling across a range of scenarios, from fully homogeneous simulated data to highly heterogeneous…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-11 Jiahe Ling , Wei Biao Wu

To compare alternative taxi schedules and to compute them, as well as to provide insights into an upcoming taxi trip to drivers and passengers, the duration of a trip or its Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) is predicted. To reach a high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Sören Schleibaum , Jörg P. Müller , Monika Sester

Travel time estimation is a critical task, useful to many urban applications at the individual citizen and the stakeholder level. This paper presents a novel hybrid algorithm for travel time estimation that leverages historical and sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Nikolaos Zygouras , Nikolaos Panagiotou , Yang Li , Dimitrios Gunopulos , Leonidas Guibas

We propose a novel tree-based ensemble method, named XGBoostPP, to nonparametrically estimate the intensity of a point process as a function of covariates. It extends the use of gradient-boosted regression trees (Chen & Guestrin, 2016) to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 C. Lu , Y. Guan , M. N. M. van Lieshout , G. Xu

Real-time traffic state estimation is essential for intelligent transportation systems. The NeurIPS 2022 Traffic4cast challenge provides an excellent testbed for benchmarking short-term traffic state estimation approaches. This technical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Yichao Lu

Travel time estimation is a fundamental problem in transportation science with extensive literature. The study of these techniques has intensified due to availability of many publicly available large trip datasets. Recently developed deep…

We developed a distributed data mining system to elaborate a decision concerning the cause of urban traffic congestion via emerging connected vehicle (CV) technology. We observe this complex phenomena through the interactions between…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-07 Al Mallah Ranwa , Farooq Bilal , Quintero Alejandro

Understanding city-scale vehicular mobility and trip patterns is essential to addressing many problems, from transportation and pollution to public safety, among others. Using spatio-temporal analysis of vehicular mobility, promising…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-11-12 Roozbeh Ketabi , Babak Alipour , Ahmed Helmy

Large amounts of traffic can lead to negative effects such as increased car accidents, air pollution, and significant time wasted. Understanding traffic speeds on any given road segment can be highly beneficial for traffic management…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Alexandru T. Cismaru

Short-term route prediction on road networks allows us to anticipate the future trajectories of road users, enabling various applications ranging from dynamic traffic control to personalized navigation. Despite recent advances in this area,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Yihong Tang , Zhan Zhao , Weipeng Deng , Shuyu Lei , Yuebing Liang , Zhenliang Ma

Most useful weather prediction for the public is near the surface. The processes that are most relevant for near-surface weather prediction are also those that are most interactive and exhibit positive feedback or have key role in energy…

Monitoring the dynamics of traffic in major corridors can provide invaluable insight for traffic planning purposes. An important requirement for this monitoring is the availability of methods to automatically detect major traffic events and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Sanaz Aliari , Kaveh F. Sadabadi

ICT systems provide detailed information on computer network traffic. However, due to storage limitations, some of the information on past traffic is often only retained in an aggregated form. In this paper we show that Linear Gaussian…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-19 Krzysztof Rusek , Mathias Drton

In this paper, we focus on addressing the challenges of detecting malicious attacks in networks by designing an advanced Explainable Intrusion Detection System (xIDS). The existing machine learning and deep learning approaches have…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Muhammad Adil , Mian Ahmad Jan , Safayat Bin Hakim , Houbing Herbert Song , Zhanpeng Jin

Providing the users of a dynamic tolling system with predictions of tolling prices and the travel time difference between the toll road and the alternative routes enables them to make their travel decisions before starting their trip. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Sara Zahedian , Amir Nohekhan , Kaveh Farokhi Sadabadi

In a typical car-following scenario, target vehicle speed fluctuations act as an external disturbance to the host vehicle and in turn affect its energy consumption. To control a host vehicle in an energy-efficient manner using model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-02 Sai Krishna Chada , Daniel Görges , Achim Ebert , Roman Teutsch