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In this paper, we propose machine learning solutions to predict the time of future trips and the possible distance the vehicle will travel. For this prediction task, we develop and investigate four methods. In the first method, we use long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Ebrahim Balouji , Jonas Sjöblom , Nikolce Murgovski , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani

Tree boosting is a highly effective and widely used machine learning method. In this paper, we describe a scalable end-to-end tree boosting system called XGBoost, which is used widely by data scientists to achieve state-of-the-art results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-14 Tianqi Chen , Carlos Guestrin

Increasing popularity of mobile route planning applications based on GPS technology provides opportunities for collecting traffic data in urban environments. One of the main challenges for travel time estimation and prediction in such a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Indre Zliobaite , Mikhail Khokhlov

Accurate and reliable bus travel time prediction in real-time is essential for improving the operational efficiency of public transportation systems. However, this remains a challenging task due to the limitations of existing models and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-11 Yuran Sun , James Spall , Wai Wong , Xilei Zhao

Accurate traffic flow forecasting is essential for intelligent transportation systems and urban traffic management. However, single model approaches often fail to capture the complex, nonlinear, and multi scale temporal patterns in traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Fujiang Yuan , Yangrui Fan , Xiaohuan Bing , Zhen Tian , Chunhong Yuan , Yankang Li

Effective congestion management along signalized corridors is essential for improving productivity and reducing costs, with arterial travel time serving as a key performance metric. Traditional approaches, such as Coordinated Signal Timing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Nooshin Yousefzadeh , Rahul Sengupta , Sanjay Ranka

The systems monitoring the location of public transport vehicles rely on wireless transmission. The location readings from GPS-based devices are received with some latency caused by periodical data transmission and temporal problems…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-02-28 Maciej Grzenda , Karolina Kwasiborska , Tomasz Zaremba

Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM) are hugely popular for solving tabular data problems. However, practitioners are not only interested in point predictions, but also in probabilistic predictions in order to quantify the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

Travel time estimation is one of the core tasks for the development of intelligent transportation systems. Most previous works model the road segments or intersections separately by learning their spatio-temporal characteristics to estimate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Guangyin Jin , Huan Yan , Fuxian Li , Jincai Huang , Yong Li

Road traffic congestion prediction is a crucial component of intelligent transportation systems, since it enables proactive traffic management, enhances suburban experience, reduces environmental impact, and improves overall safety and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-05 Eren Olug , Kiymet Kaya , Resul Tugay , Sule Gunduz Oguducu

Dynamic behavior of traffic adversely affect the performance of the prediction models in intelligent transportation applications. This study applies Gaussian processes (GPs) to traffic speed prediction. Such predictions can be used by…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-25 Gurcan Comert

In transportation applications such as real-time route guidance, ramp metering, congestion pricing and special events traffic management, accurate short-term traffic flow prediction is needed. For this purpose, this paper proposes several…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-19 Gurcan Comert , Negash Begashaw , Nathan Huynh

Accurate prediction of travel time is an essential feature to support Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). The non-linearity of traffic states, however, makes this prediction a challenging task. Here we propose to use dynamic linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Semin Kwak , Nikolas Geroliminis

Accurate prediction of food delivery times significantly impacts customer satisfaction, operational efficiency, and profitability in food delivery services. However, existing studies primarily utilize static historical data and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Ananya Garg , Mohmmad Ayaan , Swara Parekh , Vikranth Udandarao

Previous methods that predict system-wide travel time, predominantly grounded in graph neural networks, remain limited to typical and recurring demand patterns. While they successfully predict future congestion following daily commute, they…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Łukasz Gorczyca , Kacper Drozd , Michał Bujak , Rafał Kucharski

XGBoost, a scalable tree boosting algorithm, has proven effective for many prediction tasks of practical interest, especially using tabular datasets. Hyperparameter tuning can further improve the predictive performance, but unlike neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Sanyam Kapoor , Valerio Perrone

Advanced travel information and warning, if provided accurately, can help road users avoid traffic congestion through dynamic route planning and behavior change. It also enables traffic control centres mitigate the impact of congestion by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Wei Wang , Xucheng Li

In modern urban centers, effective transportation management poses a significant challenge, with traffic jams and inconsistent travel durations greatly affecting commuters and logistics operations. This study introduces a novel method for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Shambhavi Mishra , T. Satyanarayana Murthy

This paper addresses the problem of short-term traffic prediction for signalized traffic operations management. Specifically, we focus on predicting sensor states in high-resolution (second-by-second). This contrasts with traditional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Wenqing Li , Chuhan Yang , Saif Eddin Jabari

Accurately estimating the impact of road maintenance schedules on traffic conditions is important because maintenance operations can substantially worsen congestion if not carefully planned. Reliable estimates allow planners to avoid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Robbert Bosch , Wouter van Heeswijk , Patricia Rogetzer , Martijn Mes