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The prevalence of null results in searches for new physics at the LHC motivates the effort to make these searches as model-independent as possible. We describe procedures for adapting the Matrix Element Method for situations where the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-06-19 Dipsikha Debnath , James S. Gainer , Konstantin T. Matchev

We develop a new halo-independent strategy for analyzing emerging DM hints, utilizing the method of extended maximum likelihood. This approach does not require the binning of events, making it uniquely suited to the analysis of emerging DM…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-06-19 Patrick J. Fox , Yonatan Kahn , Matthew McCullough

Weakly Interacting Massive Particles (WIMPs) are one of the leading candidates for Dark Matter. Currently, the most promising method to detect WIMPs is the direct detection of the recoil energy deposited in a low-background laboratory…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-11-10 Chung-Lin Shan

We propose a new probabilistic method for unsupervised recovery of corrupted data. Given a large ensemble of degraded samples, our method recovers accurate posteriors of clean values, allowing the exploration of the manifold of possible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Francesco Tonolini , Pablo G. Moreno , Andreas Damianou , Roderick Murray-Smith

In the effort to obtain a precise measurement of leptonic CP-violation with the ESS$\nu$SB experiment, accurate and fast reconstruction of detector events plays a pivotal role. In this work, we examine the possibility of replacing the…

Large-volume liquid scintillator detectors with ultra-low background levels have been widely used to study neutrino physics and search for dark matter. Event vertex and event time are not only useful for event selection but also essential…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2021-05-14 Ziyuan Li , Yumei Zhang , Guofu Cao , Ziyan Deng , Guihong Huang , Weidong Li , Tao Lin , Liangjian Wen , Miao Yu , Jiaheng Zou , Wuming Luo , Zhengyun You

Many application areas rely on models that can be readily simulated but lack a closed-form likelihood, or an accurate approximation under arbitrary parameter values. Existing parameter estimation approaches in this setting are generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-04 Rui Zhang , Oksana A. Chkrebtii , Dongbin Xiu

Herein, we present a deep-learning technique for reconstructing the dark-matter density field from the redshift-space distribution of dark-matter halos. We built a UNet-architecture neural network and trained it using the COmoving…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-21 Zitong Wang , Feng Shi , Xiaohu Yang , Qingyang Li , Yanming Liu , Xiaoping Li

We propose algorithms for approximate filtering and smoothing in high-dimensional Factorial hidden Markov models. The approximation involves discarding, in a principled way, likelihood factors according to a notion of locality in a factor…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-04 Lorenzo Rimella , Nick Whiteley

A Maximum Likelihood recursive state estimator is derived for non-linear and non-Gaussian state-space models. The estimator combines a particle filter to generate the conditional density and the Expectation Maximization algorithm to compute…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Mohammad S. Ramadan , Robert R. Bitmead

We perform the first comprehensive analysis of the prospects for direct detection of dark matter with future ton-scale detectors in the general 11-dimensional effective theory of isoscalar dark matter-nucleon interactions mediated by a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-07-20 Riccardo Catena

The observations in many applications consist of counts of discrete events, such as photons hitting a detector, which cannot be effectively modeled using an additive bounded or Gaussian noise model, and instead require a Poisson noise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-10-13 Zachary T. Harmany , Roummel F. Marcia , Rebecca M. Willett

We develop, discuss, and compare several inference techniques to constrain theory parameters in collider experiments. By harnessing the latent-space structure of particle physics processes, we extract extra information from the simulator.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-09-19 Johann Brehmer , Kyle Cranmer , Gilles Louppe , Juan Pavez

The method of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a widely used statistical approach for estimating the values of one or more unknown parameters of a probabilistic model based on observed data. In this tutorial, I briefly review the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-03 Anthony Vella

The analysis of the time ordered data of Dark Matter experiments is becoming more and more challenging with the increase of sensitivity in the ongoing and forthcoming projects. Combined with the well-known level of background events, this…

Astrophysical uncertainties in dark matter direct detection experiments are typically addressed by parametrizing the velocity distribution in terms of a few uncertain parameters that vary around some central values. Here we propose a method…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-01-20 Gonzalo Herrera , Andreas Rappelt

Bayesian modelling allows for the quantification of predictive uncertainty which is crucial in safety-critical applications. Yet for many machine learning (ML) algorithms, it is difficult to construct or implement their Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Ziyu Wang , Chris Holmes

In this work, an assessment of the CALPHAD method trained on only density functional theory (DFT) data is performed for the Li-Si binary system, as a case study. Using a parameter sampling approach based on the Bayesian Error Estimation…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-03-31 Ying Yuan , Gregory Houchins , Pin-Wen Guan , Venkatasubramanian Viswanathan

We present Dark from Light (DfL) - a novel method to infer the dark sector in wide-field galaxy surveys, leveraging a machine learning approach trained on contemporary cosmological simulations. The aim of this algorithm is to provide a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-28 Asa F. L. Bluck , Joanna M. Piotrowska , Paul Goubert , Roberto Maiolino , Camilo Casimiro , Thomas Pinto Franco , Nicolas Cea

To operate quantum sensors at their quantum limit in real time, it is crucial to identify efficient data inference tools for rapid parameter estimation. In photodetection, the key challenge is the fast interpretation of click-patterns that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-24 Mateusz Molenda , Lewis A. Clark , Marcin Płodzień , Jan Kolodynski