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The reliability function of a channel is the maximum achievable exponential rate of decay of the error probability as a function of the transmission rate. In this work, we derive bounds on the reliability function of discrete memoryless…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Mohsen Heidari , Achilleas Anastasopoulos , S. Sandeep Pradhan

We develop confidence bounds that hold uniformly over time for off-policy evaluation in the contextual bandit setting. These confidence sequences are based on recent ideas from martingale analysis and are non-asymptotic, non-parametric, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Nikos Karampatziakis , Paul Mineiro , Aaditya Ramdas

Load-sharing systems arise in many different reliability applications, for instance, when modeling tensile strength of fibrous composites in textile industry or lifetimes of redundant technical systems in engineering. Sequential order…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Stefan Bedbur , Johann Köhne , Fabian Mies

Aiming to generalize the label knowledge from a source domain with continuous outputs to an unlabeled target domain, Domain Adaptation Regression (DAR) is developed for complex practical learning problems. However, due to the continuity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-14 Hao-Ran Yang , Chuan-Xian Ren , You-Wei Luo

In this work, we investigate the problem of adapting to the presence or absence of causal structure in multi-armed bandit problems. In addition to the usual reward signal, we assume the learner has access to additional variables, observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Ziyi Liu , Idan Attias , Daniel M. Roy

We introduce a new predictive mechanism that operates in the presence of hidden confounding across distributionally diverse data sources while ensuring consistent estimation of causal parameters-despite their recognized suboptimality for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , David Ríos Insua

We study multiple change point localization under bandit feedback. An unknown piecewise-constant function on a compact interval can be queried sequentially at adaptively chosen inputs, and each query returns a noisy evaluation of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Maximilian Graf , Victor Thuot

Instrumental variables have proven useful, in particular within the social sciences and economics, for making inference about the causal effect of a random variable, B, on another random variable, C, in the presence of unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Roland R. Ramsahai

Repeated use of a data sample via adaptively chosen queries can rapidly lead to overfitting, wherein the empirical evaluation of queries on the sample significantly deviates from their mean with respect to the underlying data distribution.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-26 Moshe Shenfeld , Katrina Ligett

We consider kernel estimation of marginal densities and regression functions of stationary processes. It is shown that for a wide class of time series, with proper centering and scaling, the maximum deviations of kernel density and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-21 Weidong Liu , Wei Biao Wu

Kernel adaptive filters, a class of adaptive nonlinear time-series models, are known by their ability to learn expressive autoregressive patterns from sequential data. However, for trivial monotonic signals, they struggle to perform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-14 Felipe Tobar

Piecewise constant functions describe a variety of real-world phenomena in domains ranging from chemistry to manufacturing. In practice, it is often required to confidently identify the locations of the abrupt changes in these functions as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-15 Joseph Lazzaro , Ciara Pike-Burke

A goodness-of-fit test for the fitting of a parametric model to data obtained from a detector with finite resolution and limited acceptance is proposed. The parameters of the model are found by minimization of a statistic that is used for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-17 N. D. Gagunashvili

Neural models are usually adapted through changes in parameters shared among model components via fine-tuning, alignment-based training, and reinforcement learning. These changes have been found effective in short-term optimization.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Pardhu Sri Rushi Varma Konduru

Recent advances in domain adaptation establish that requiring a low risk on the source domain and equal feature marginals degrade the adaptation's performance. At the same time, empirical evidence shows that incorporating an unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Sofien Dhouib , Setareh Maghsudi

Regression models for limited continuous dependent variables having a non-negligible probability of attaining exactly their limits are presented. The models differ in the number of parameters and in their flexibility. Fractional data being…

Applications · Statistics 2012-05-31 Fabio Sigrist , Werner A. Stahel

Regression problems are traditionally analyzed via univariate characteristics like the regression function, scale function and marginal density of regression errors. These characteristics are useful and informative whenever the association…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Sam Efromovich

We derive upper bounds for random design linear regression with dependent ($\beta$-mixing) data absent any realizability assumptions. In contrast to the strictly realizable martingale noise regime, no sharp instance-optimal non-asymptotics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Ingvar Ziemann , Stephen Tu , George J. Pappas , Nikolai Matni

Personalized alignment aims to adapt large language models to heterogeneous user preferences, yet the precise theoretical conditions for its statistical efficiency have not been formally established. This paper characterizes the conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Enoch Hyunwook Kang

We study the support recovery problem for a high-dimensional signal observed with additive noise. With suitable parametrization of the signal sparsity and magnitude of its non-zero components, we characterize a phase-transition phenomenon…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Zheng Gao , Stilian Stoev
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