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Uncertainty quantification is vital for decision-making and risk assessment in machine learning. Mean-variance regression models, which predict both a mean and residual noise for each data point, provide a simple approach to uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-01 Eliot Wong-Toi , Alex Boyd , Vincent Fortuin , Stephan Mandt

We consider the quickest change-point detection problem in pointwise and minimax settings for general dependent data models. Two new classes of sequential detection procedures associated with the maximal "local" probability of a false alarm…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Serguei M. Pergamenchtchikov , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

There has been a growing interest in anomaly detection problems recently, whilst their focuses are mostly on anomalies taking place on the time index. In this work, we investigate a new anomaly-in-mean problem in multidimensional spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Baiyu Wang , Chao Zheng

Recent results in quantization theory show that the mean-squared expected distortion can reach a rate of convergence of $\mathcal{O}(1/n)$, where $n$ is the sample size [see, e.g., IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 60 (2014) 7279-7292 or Electron.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-02 Clément Levrard

A method for change point detection is proposed. We consider a univariate sequence of independent random variables with piecewise constant expectation and variance, apart from which the distribution may vary periodically. We aim to detect…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-23 Michael Messer

Binary segmentation, which is sequential in nature is thus far the most widely used method for identifying multiple change points in statistical models. Here we propose a top down methodology called arbitrary segmentation that proceeds in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Abhishek Kaul , Venkata K Jandhyala , Stergios B Fotopoulos

We propose a location-adaptive self-normalization (SN) based test for change points in time series. The SN technique has been extensively used in change-point detection for its capability to avoid direct estimation of nuisance parameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-10 Linlin Dai , Rui She

Anomaly detection is a field of intense research. Identifying low probability events in data/images is a challenging problem given the high-dimensionality of the data, especially when no (or little) information about the anomaly is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 José A. Padrón-Hidalgo , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

The problem of quickest change detection with communication rate constraints is studied. A network of wireless sensors with limited computation capability monitors the environment and sends observations to a fusion center via wireless…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-06 Xiaoqiang Ren , Karl H. Johansson , Dawei Shi , Ling Shi

We consider the joint estimation of change point locations and the sparsity pattern of the variance covariance matrix, which is assumed to evolve in a piecewise constant manner. By applying Group Fused LASSO and LASSO penalties to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Ying Lin , Benjamin Poignard

Testing for change points in sequences of covariance matrices is an important and equally challenging problem in statistical methodology with applications in various fields. Motivated by the observation that even in cases where the ratio…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Nina Dörnemann , Holger Dette

We consider a statistical inverse learning problem, where we observe the image of a function $f$ through a linear operator $A$ at i.i.d. random design points $X_i$, superposed with an additive noise. The distribution of the design points is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-15 Gilles Blanchard , Nicole Mücke

Change-point detection has been a classical problem in statistics and econometrics. This work focuses on the problem of detecting abrupt distributional changes in the data-generating distribution of a sequence of high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-20 Shubhadeep Chakraborty , Xianyang Zhang

The quickest change detection problem is considered in the context of monitoring large-scale independent normal distributed data streams with possible changes in some of the means. It is assumed that for each individual local data stream,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Yuan Wang , Yajun Mei

In this paper, we consider unsupervised partitioning problems, such as clustering, image segmentation, video segmentation and other change-point detection problems. We focus on partitioning problems based explicitly or implicitly on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-03-07 Rémi Lajugie , Sylvain Arlot , Francis Bach

We consider a high-dimensional mean estimation problem over a binary hidden Markov model, which illuminates the interplay between memory in data, sample size, dimension, and signal strength in statistical inference. In this model, an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Yihan Zhang , Nir Weinberger

We consider the detection and localization of change points in the distribution of an offline sequence of observations. Based on a nonparametric framework that uses a similarity graph among observations, we propose new test statistics when…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Lizhen Nie , Dan L. Nicolae

We consider a mean-field control problem in which admissible controls are required to be adapted to the common noise filtration. The main objective is to show how the mean-field control problem can be approximates by time consistent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Bruno Bouchard , Xiaolu Tan

Covariate shift occurs when the distribution of input features differs between the training and testing phases. In covariate shift, estimating an unknown function's moment is a classical problem that remains under-explored, despite its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-01 Zhen Zhang , Xin Liu , Shaoli Wang , Jiaye Teng

Classical quickest change detection algorithms require modeling pre-change and post-change distributions. Such an approach may not be feasible for various machine learning models because of the complexity of computing the explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-02 Suya Wu , Enmao Diao , Taposh Banerjee , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh
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