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Empirical design in reinforcement learning is no small task. Running good experiments requires attention to detail and at times significant computational resources. While compute resources available per dollar have continued to grow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Andrew Patterson , Samuel Neumann , Martha White , Adam White

Optimizing the allocation of units into treatment groups can help researchers improve the precision of causal estimators and decrease costs when running factorial experiments. However, existing optimal allocation results typically assume a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-31 Arun Ravichandran , Nicole E. Pashley , Brian Libgober , Tirthankar Dasgupta

It is well understood that Bayesian decision theory and average case analysis are essentially identical. However, if one is interested in performing uncertainty quantification for a numerical task, it can be argued that standard approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-16 Chris. J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , Dennis Prangle , T. J. Sullivan , Mark Girolami

The advantages of evolutionary algorithms with respect to traditional methods have been greatly discussed in the literature. While particle swarm optimizers share such advantages, they outperform evolutionary algorithms in that they require…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-01-28 Johann Sienz , Mauro S. Innocente

We describe a new family of coupling designs, extending the basic principle of stratified randomization to experiments with continuous, constrained multivariate, text/image and other irregular treatment spaces. Our approach is to first…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-14 Max Cytrynbaum , Fredrik Sävje

A common method to reduce the uncertainty of causal inferences from experiments is to assign treatments in fixed proportions within groups of similar units: blocking. Previous results indicate that one can expect substantial reductions in…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-31 Fredrik Sävje

Predictive algorithms are now used to help distribute a large share of our society's resources and sanctions, such as healthcare, loans, criminal detentions, and tax audits. Under the right circumstances, these algorithms can improve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Alex Chohlas-Wood , Madison Coots , Sharad Goel , Julian Nyarko

Medical research has evolved conventions for choosing sample size in randomized clinical trials that rest on the theory of hypothesis testing. Bayesians have argued that trials should be designed to maximize subjective expected utility in…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 Charles F. Manski , Aleksey Tetenov

This paper introduces two novel criteria: one for feature selection and another for feature elimination in the context of best subset selection, which is a benchmark problem in statistics and machine learning. From the perspective of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-18 Zhihan Zhu , Yanhao Zhang , Yong Xia

The machine learning community has become increasingly concerned with the potential for bias and discrimination in predictive models. This has motivated a growing line of work on what it means for a classification procedure to be "fair." In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Geoff Pleiss , Manish Raghavan , Felix Wu , Jon Kleinberg , Kilian Q. Weinberger

We consider the problem of designing experiments for the comparison of two regression curves describing the relation between a predictor and a response in two groups, where the data between and within the group may be dependent. In order to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Kirsten Schorning , Holger Dette

The majority of historical designs are a priori in nature, where a priori indicates a design can be specified in advance of the experiment. The conventional wisdom is that the set of a priori designs is sufficient to produce efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Adam Lane

We model learning in a continuous-time Brownian setting where there is prior ambiguity. The associated model of preference values robustness and is time-consistent. It is applied to study optimal learning when the choice between actions can…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-06 Larry G. Epstein , Shaolin Ji

Randomized trials balance all covariates on average and provide the gold standard for estimating treatment effects. Chance imbalances nevertheless exist more or less in realized treatment allocations and intrigue an important question: what…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-18 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding

This paper discusses the problem of determining optimal designs for regression models, when the observations are dependent and taken on an interval. A complete solution of this challenging optimal design problem is given for a broad class…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-25 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

We study optimal design problems for stationary diffusion involving one or more state equations and mixtures of an arbitrary number of anisotropic materials. Since such problems typically do not admit classical solutions, we adopt a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Matko Grbac , Ivan Ivec , Marko Vrdoljak

The injunction to `analyze the way you randomize' is well-known to statisticians since Fisher advocated for randomization as the basis of inference. Yet even those convinced by the merits of randomization-based inference seldom follow this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-16 Nicole E. Pashley , Guillaume W. Basse , Luke W. Miratrix

A benefit of randomized experiments is that covariate distributions of treatment and control groups are balanced on average, resulting in simple unbiased estimators for treatment effects. However, it is possible that a particular…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-01 Zach Branson , Luke Miratrix

We generalize the notion of minimax convergence rate. In contrast to the standard definition, we do not assume that the sample size is fixed in advance. Allowing for varying sample size results in time-robust minimax rates and estimators.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Alisa Kirichenko , Peter Grünwald

Designing efficient experiments under practical constraints is critical in both scientific research and industrial practice. Focusing on minimizing the average variance of the parameter estimates, A-optimal designs show advantages in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Yingying Yang , Xiaotian Chen , Jie Yang
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