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Laplace approximations are a standard tool for computationally efficient inference in latent Gaussian models, but they fail for quantile regression with the asymmetric Laplace likelihood because the observed Hessian vanishes almost…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Andrea Nava , Fabio Sigrist

Poisson distributed measurements in inverse problems often stem from Poisson point processes that are observed through discretized or finite-resolution detectors, one of the most prominent examples being positron emission tomography (PET).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Marco Mauritz , Benedikt Wirth

Many inference problems involving questions of optimality ask for the maximum or the minimum of a finite set of unknown quantities. This technical report derives the first two posterior moments of the maximum of two correlated Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-10-02 Philipp Hennig

One may consider three types of statistical inference: Bayesian, frequentist, and group invariance-based. The focus here is on the last method. We consider the Poisson and binomial distributions in detail to illustrate a group invariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. Heller , M. Wang

In this article, we present a visual introduction to Gaussian Belief Propagation (GBP), an approximate probabilistic inference algorithm that operates by passing messages between the nodes of arbitrarily structured factor graphs. A special…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Joseph Ortiz , Talfan Evans , Andrew J. Davison

Self-Exciting models are statistical models of count data where the probability of an event occurring is influenced by the history of the process. In particular, self-exciting spatio-temporal models allow for spatial dependence as well as…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-29 Nicholas J. Clark , Philip M. Dixon

In employing spatial regression models for counts, we usually meet two issues. First, ignoring the inherent collinearity between covariates and the spatial effect would lead to causal inferences. Second, real count data usually reveal over…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-21 Mahsa Nadifar , Hossein Baghishani , Afshin Fallah

This article deals with random projections applied as a data reduction technique for Bayesian regression analysis. We show sufficient conditions under which the entire $d$-dimensional distribution is approximately preserved under random…

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for statistical analysis in models with intractable likelihoods. In this paper we consider the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution obtained by this method. We give general results on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

Expectation propagation (EP) is a deterministic approximation algorithm that is often used to perform approximate Bayesian parameter learning. EP approximates the full intractable posterior distribution through a set of local approximations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-19 Yingzhen Li , Jose Miguel Hernandez-Lobato , Richard E. Turner

In this paper, a new mixed Poisson distribution is introduced. This new distribution is obtained by utilizing mixing process, with Poisson distribution as mixed distribution and Transmuted Exponential distribution as mixing distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-05 Deepesh Bhati , Pooja Kumawat , E. Gómez Déniz

This paper describes an expectation propagation (EP) method for multi-class classification with Gaussian processes that scales well to very large datasets. In such a method the estimate of the log-marginal-likelihood involves a sum across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-23 Carlos Villacampa-Calvo , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

An efficient method for finding a better maximizer of computationally extensive probability distributions is proposed on the basis of a Bayesian optimization technique. A key idea of the proposed method is to use extreme values of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-03-14 Ryo Tamura , Koji Hukushima

The Rician distribution, a well-known statistical distribution frequently encountered in fields like magnetic resonance imaging and wireless communications, is particularly useful for describing many real phenomena such as signal process…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jesus Enrique Achire Quispe , Eduardo Ramos , Pedro Luiz Ramos

Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

While Gaussian probability densities are omnipresent in applied mathematics, Gaussian cumulative probabilities are hard to calculate in any but the univariate case. We study the utility of Expectation Propagation (EP) as an approximate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-02 John P. Cunningham , Philipp Hennig , Simon Lacoste-Julien

We study the convergence rates of empirical Bayes posterior distributions for nonparametric and high-dimensional inference. We show that as long as the hyperparameter set is discrete, the empirical Bayes posterior distribution induced by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Fengshuo Zhang , Chao Gao

In this paper, a Bayesian inference technique based on Taylor series approximation of the logarithm of the likelihood function is presented. The proposed approximation is devised for the case, where the prior distribution belongs to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-06 Tohid Ardeshiri , Umut Orguner , Fredrik Gustafsson

Expectation Propagation (EP) is a widely used message-passing algorithm that decomposes a global inference problem into multiple local ones. It approximates marginal distributions (beliefs) using intermediate functions (messages). While…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Zilu Zhao , Fangqing Xiao , Dirk Slock

The projected normal distribution, also known as the angular Gaussian distribution, is obtained by dividing a multivariate normal random variable $\mathbf{x}$ by its norm $\sqrt{\mathbf{x}^T \mathbf{x}}$. The resulting random variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Daniel Herrera-Esposito , Johannes Burge
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