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We describe a contest in variable selection which was part of a statistics course for graduate students. In particular, the possibility to create a contest themselves offered an additional challenge for more advanced students. Since working…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-09-13 Sam Doerken , Martin Schumacher , Franz Baumdicker

In the sport of cricket, player batting ability is traditionally measured using the batting average. However, the batting average fails to measure both short-term changes in ability that occur during an innings, and long-term changes that…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-25 Oliver George Stevenson , Brendon James Brewer

A hockey player's plus-minus measures the difference between goals scored by and against that player's team while the player was on the ice. This measures only a marginal effect, failing to account for the influence of the others he is…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-27 Robert B. Gramacy , Matt Taddy , Sen Tian

Although machine learning (ML)-based performance outcome prediction is an important topic in contemporary sports science, one important issue is the limited understanding of the cross-individual generalizability of ML models in sports…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Ryota Takamido , Chiharu Suzuki , Hiroki Nakamoto

In soccer (or association football), players quickly go from heroes to zeroes, or vice-versa. Performance is not a static measure but a somewhat volatile one. Analyzing performance as a time series rather than a stationary point in time is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Tiago Mendes-Neves , Luís Meireles , João Mendes-Moreira

Sports competitions are widely researched in computer and social science, with the goal of understanding how players act under uncertainty. While there is an abundance of computational work on player metrics prediction based on past…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Nadav Oved , Amir Feder , Roi Reichart

Humans are routinely asked to evaluate the performance of other individuals, separating success from failure and affecting outcomes from science to education and sports. Yet, in many contexts, the metrics driving the human evaluation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-07 Luca Pappalardo , Paolo Cintia , Dino Pedreschi , Fosca Giannotti , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

The Football World Cup as world's favorite sporting event is a source of both entertainment and overwhelming amount of data about the games played. In this paper we analyse the available data on football world championships since 1930 until…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-04-22 Verica Lazova , Lasko Basnarkov

Pairwise comparison is an important tool in multi-attribute decision making. Pairwise comparison matrices (PCM) have been applied for ranking criteria and for scoring alternatives according to a given criterion. Our paper presents a special…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-06-20 Sándor Bozóki , László Csató , József Temesi

Drafting strong players is crucial for the team success. We describe a new data-driven interpretable approach for assessing draft prospects in the National Hockey League. Successful previous approaches have built a predictive model based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Oliver Schulte , Yejia Liu , Chao Li

Since their appearance in the 1950s, computational models capable of performing probabilistic choices have received wide attention and are nowadays pervasive in almost every areas of computer science. Their development was also inextricably…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Melissa Antonelli , Ugo Dal Lago , Paolo Pistone

Baseball is a game of strategic decisions including bullpen usage, pinch-hitting and intentional walks. Managers must adjust their strategies based on the changing state of the game in order to give their team the best chance of winning. In…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Tristan Mott , Caleb Bradshaw , David Grimsman , Christopher Archibald

Election data represent a precious source of information to study human behavior at a large scale. In proportional elections with open lists, the number of votes received by a candidate, rescaled by the average performance of all…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-01-25 Arnab Chatterjee , Marija Mitrović , Santo Fortunato

Many popular sports involve matches between two teams or players where each team have the possibility of scoring points throughout the match. While the overall match winner and result is interesting, it conveys little information about the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-23 Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Andreas Kryger Jensen

Box score statistics in the National Basketball Association are used to measure and evaluate player performance. Some of these statistics are subjective in nature and since box score statistics are recorded by scorekeepers hired by the home…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-10 Matthew van Bommel , Luke Bornn

In 1990, one in five U.S. workers were aged over 50 years whereas today it is one in three. One possible explanation for this is that occupations have become more accommodating to the preferences of older workers. We explore this by…

General Economics · Economics 2022-12-08 Daron Acemoglu , Nicolaj Søndergaard Mühlbach , Andrew J. Scott

In-game win probability models, which provide a sports team's likelihood of winning at each point in a game based on historical observations, are becoming increasingly popular. In baseball, basketball and American football, they have become…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Pieter Robberechts , Jan Van Haaren , Jesse Davis

Box score statistics are the baseline measures of performance for National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) basketball. Between the 2011-2012 and 2015-2016 seasons, NCAA teams performed better at home compared to on the road in nearly…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-11 Matthew van Bommel , Luke Bornn , Peter Chow-White , Chuancong Gao

Quantum Moves is a citizen science game that investigates the ability of humans to solve complex physics challenges that are intractable for computers. During the launch of Quantum Moves in April 2016 the game's leaderboard function broke…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-27 Mads Kock Pedersen , Nanna Ravn Rasmussen , Jacob F. Sherson , Rajiv Vaid Basaiawmoit

Our objective is to find the five best college sports coaches of past century for three different sports. We decided to look at men's basketball, football, and baseball. We wanted to use an approach that could definitively determine team…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-11 Tian-Shun Jiang , Zachary Polizzi , Christopher Yuan