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We introduce a three-step framework to determine at which pitches Major League batters should swing. Unlike traditional plate discipline metrics, which implicitly assume that all batters should always swing at (resp. take) pitches inside…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-21 Ryan Yee , Sameer K. Deshpande

There have been more hitting streaks in Major League Baseball than we would expect. All batting lines of MLB hitters from 1957-2006 were randomly permuted 10,000 times and the number of hitting streaks of each length from 2 to 100 was…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-10 Trent McCotter

Sports analytics -- broadly defined as the pursuit of improvement in athletic performance through the analysis of data -- has expanded its footprint both in the professional sports industry and in academia over the past 30 years. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-11 Benjamin S. Baumer , Gregory J. Matthews , Quang Nguyen

Several performance metrics for quantifying the in-game performances of individual football players have been proposed in recent years. Although the majority of the on-the-ball actions during games constitutes of passes, many of the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-05 Lotte Bransen , Jan Van Haaren

Evaluating the overall ability of players in the National Hockey League (NHL) is a difficult task. Existing methods such as the famous "plus/minus" statistic have many shortcomings. Standard linear regression methods work well when player…

Applications · Statistics 2013-03-01 A. C. Thomas , Samuel L. Ventura , Shane Jensen , Stephen Ma

In the National Basketball Association (NBA), teams must make choices about which players to acquire, how much to pay them, and other decisions that are fundamentally dependent on player effectiveness. Thus, there is great interest in…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-17 Dapo Omidiran

The PITCHf/x database has allowed the statistical analysis of of Major League Baseball (MLB) to flourish since its introduction in late 2006. Using PITCHf/x, pitches have been classified by hand, requiring considerable effort, or using…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-08 Michael A. Pane , Samuel L. Ventura , Rebecca C. Steorts , A. C. Thomas

The topic of aging decline on performance of NBA players has been discussed in this study. The autoencoder with K-means clustering machine learning method was adopted to career trend classification of NBA players, and the LSTM deep learning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Yi-chen Yao , Jerry Wang , Yi-cheng Lai , Lyn Chao-ling Chen

The field of quantitative analytics has transformed the world of sports over the last decade. To date, these analytic approaches are statistical at their core, characterizing what is and what was, while using this information to drive…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Connor Douglas , Everett Witt , Mia Bendy , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

In sports, there is a constant effort to improve metrics which assess player ability, but there has been almost no effort to quantify and compare existing metrics. Any individual making a management, coaching, or gambling decision is…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-03 Alexander Franks , Alexander D'Amour , Daniel Cervone , Luke Bornn

In this paper, we propose two novel basketball metrics: ``expected points'' for team-based comparisons and ``expected points above average (EPAA)'' as a player-evaluation tool. Established within the Bayesian hierarchical model framework,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-08-05 Benjamin Williams , Erin M. Schliep , Bailey Fosdick , Ryan Elmore

Cricket is a game played between two teams which consists of eleven players each. Nowadays cricket game is becoming more and more popular in Bangladesh and other South Asian Countries. Before a match people are very enthusiastic about team…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-08 Sadia Tasnim Swarna , Shamim Ehsan , Md. Saiful Islam

Ranking is a ubiquitous phenomenon in the human society. By clicking the web pages of Forbes, you may find all kinds of rankings, such as world's most powerful people, world's richest people, top-paid tennis stars, and so on and so forth.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-03 Weibing Deng , Wei Li , Xu Cai , Alain Bulou , Qiuping A. Wang

A new model, which uses the frequency of individuals' annual home run totals, is employed to predict future home run totals and records in Major League Baseball. Complete home run frequency data from 1903--2005 is analyzed, resulting in…

Popular Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 D. J. Kelley , J. R. Mureika , J. A. Phillips

We use a simple machine learning model, logistically-weighted regularized linear least squares regression, in order to predict baseball, basketball, football, and hockey games. We do so using only the thirty-year record of which visiting…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-16 Alexander Dubbs

How often can we expect a Major League Baseball team to score at least 20 runs in a single game? Considered a rare event in baseball, the outcome of scoring at least 20 runs in a game has occurred 224 times during regular season games since…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-10 Michael R. Huber , Rodney X. Sturdivant

From sports to science, the recent availability of large-scale data has allowed to gain insights on the drivers of human innovation and success in a variety of domains. Here we quantify human performance in the popular game of chess by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-19 Sandeep Chowdhary , Iacopo Iacopini , Federico Battiston

Identifying combinations of players (that is, lineups) in basketball - and other sports - that perform well when they play together is one of the most important tasks in sports analytics. One of the main challenges associated with this task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Christos Petridis , Konstantinos Pelechrinis

We present a quantitative analysis of throwing ability for major league outfielders and catchers. We use detailed game event data to tabulate success and failure events in outfielder and catcher throwing opportunities. We attribute a run…

Applications · Statistics 2007-06-13 Matthew Carruth , Shane T. Jensen

In team sports, traditional ranking statistics do not allow for the simultaneous evaluation of both individuals and combinations of players. Metrics for individual player rankings often fail to include the interaction effects between groups…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-09 Nathaniel Josephs , Elizabeth Upton