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Firms should keep capital to offer sufficient protection against the risks they are facing. In the insurance context methods have been developed to determine the minimum capital level required, but less so in the context of firms with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-27 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands

Active portfolio management tries to incorporate any source of meaningful information into the asset selection process. In this contribution we consider qualitative views specified as total orders of the expected asset returns and discuss…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-11 Eranda Çela , Stephan Hafner , Roland Mestel , Ulrich Pferschy

The mean-variance portfolio model, based on the risk-return trade-off for optimal asset allocation, remains foundational in portfolio optimization. However, its reliance on restrictive assumptions about asset return distributions limits its…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-17 Savita Pareek , Sujit K. Ghosh

This paper investigates asset allocation problems when returns are predictable. We introduce a market-timing Bayesian hierarchical (BH) approach that adopts heterogeneous time-varying coefficients driven by lagged fundamental…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-18 Guanhao Feng , Jingyu He

This paper presents a unified multi-asset, multi-group asset-flow model that integrates three foundational frameworks from the behavioral finance literature. The model captures the dynamics of financial markets where multiple assets are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Mario Cavani

This paper examines the implementation of a statistical arbitrage trading strategy based on co-integration relationships where we discover candidate portfolios using multiple factors rather than just price data. The portfolio selection…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-13 Wenbin Zhang , Zhen Dai , Bindu Pan , Milan Djabirov

The modal factor model represents a new factor model for dimension reduction in high dimensional panel data. Unlike the approximate factor model that targets for the mean factors, it captures factors that influence the conditional mode of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-01 Zhe Sun , Yundong Tu

A new framework for asset pricing based on modelling the information available to market participants is presented. Each asset is characterised by the cash flows it generates. Each cash flow is expressed as a function of one or more…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Andrea Macrina

We show that the higher-order terms and interactions of the common sparse linear factors are significantly priced in the cross-section of equity returns. A higher-order model with only a small number of selected higher-order terms from six…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-25 Nicola Borri , Denis Chetverikov , Yukun Liu , Aleh Tsyvinski

This paper studies a robust portfolio optimization problem under the multi-factor volatility model introduced by Christoffersen et al. (2009). The optimal strategy is derived analytically under the worst-case scenario with or without…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-16 Ben-Zhang Yang , Xiaoping Lu , Guiyuan Ma , Song-Ping Zhu

We introduce a novel GARCH model that integrates two sources of uncertainty to better capture the rich, multi-component dynamics often observed in the volatility of financial assets. This model provides a quasi closed-form representation of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-21 Luca Vincenzo Ballestra , Enzo D'Innocenzo , Christian Tezza

A technique from stochastic portfolio theory [Fernholz, 1998] is applied to analyse equity returns of Small, Mid and Large cap portfolios in an emerging market through periods of growth and regional crises, up to the onset of the global…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-02 Diane Wilcox , Tim Gebbie

This paper investigates the time-varying risk-premium relation of the Chinese stock markets within the framework of cross-sectional momentum and contrarian effects by adopting the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the French-Fama three factor…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-19 H. -L. Shi , W. -X. Zhou

We propose a novel method to improve estimation of asset returns for portfolio optimization. This approach first performs a monthly directional market forecast using an online decision tree. The decision tree is trained on a novel set of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Nolan Alexander , William Scherer

The conditional moment problem is a powerful formulation for describing structural causal parameters in terms of observables, a prominent example being instrumental variable regression. A standard approach reduces the problem to a finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Andrew Bennett , Nathan Kallus

We introduce a multivariate stochastic volatility model for asset returns that imposes no restrictions to the structure of the volatility matrix and treats all its elements as functions of latent stochastic processes. When the number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-09 P. Dellaportas , A. Plataniotis , M. K. Titsias

On a periodic basis, publicly traded companies are required to report fundamentals: financial data such as revenue, operating income, debt, among others. These data points provide some insight into the financial health of a company.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 John Alberg , Zachary C. Lipton

We provide a simple method to estimate the parameters of multivariate stochastic volatility models with latent factor structures. These models are very useful as they alleviate the standard curse of dimensionality, allowing the number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-15 Giorgio Calzolari , Roxana Halbleib , Christian Mücher

The paper has 2 main goals: 1. We propose a variant of the CAPM based on coherent risk. 2. In addition to the real-world measure and the risk-neutral measure, we propose the third one: the extreme measure. The introduction of this measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Alexander S. Cherny , Dilip B. Madan

Current approaches to fair valuation in insurance often follow a two-step approach, combining quadratic hedging with application of a risk measure on the residual liability, to obtain a cost-of-capital margin. In such approaches, the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-22 Karim Barigou , Valeria Bignozzi , Andreas Tsanakas