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We present a method for comparing point forecasts in a region of interest, such as the tails or centre of a variable's range. This method cannot be hedged, in contrast to conditionally selecting events to evaluate and then using a scoring…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-16 Robert J. Taggart

This paper studies the identification and estimation of weighted average derivatives of conditional location functionals including conditional mean and conditional quantiles in settings where either the outcome variable or a regressor is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-24 Hiroaki Kaido

Evaluation of per-sample uncertainty quantification from neural networks is essential for decision-making involving high-risk applications. A common approach is to use the predictive distribution from Bayesian or approximation models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-12 H. Martin Gillis , Isaac Xu , Thomas Trappenberg

This paper introduces a general framework for estimating variance components in the linear mixed models via general unbiased estimating equations, which include some well-used estimators such as the restricted maximum likelihood estimator.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Tatsuya Kubokawa , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hiromasa Tamae , Sanjay Chaudhuri

The non-parametric estimation of average causal effects in observational studies often relies on controlling for confounding covariates through smoothing regression methods such as kernel, splines or local polynomial regression. Such…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-20 Jenny Häggström , Xavier de Luna

In this article, we develop a distributed variable screening method for generalized linear models. This method is designed to handle situations where both the sample size and the number of covariates are large. Specifically, the proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Tianbo Diao , Lianqiang Qu , Bo Li , Liuquan Sun

Many important problems in psychology and biomedical studies require testing for overdispersion, correlation and heterogeneity in mixed effects and latent variable models, and score tests are particularly useful for this purpose. But the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hongtu Zhu , Heping Zhang

We propose a simple, statistically principled, and theoretically justified method to improve supervised learning when the training set is not representative, a situation known as covariate shift. We build upon a well-established methodology…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Maximilian Autenrieth , David A. van Dyk , Roberto Trotta , David C. Stenning

We present a general construction for dependent random measures based on thinning Poisson processes on an augmented space. The framework is not restricted to dependent versions of a specific nonparametric model, but can be applied to all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-21 Nicholas J. Foti , Joseph D. Futoma , Daniel N. Rockmore , Sinead Williamson

Following the theory of information measures based on the cumulative distribution function, we propose the fractional generalized cumulative entropy, and its dynamic version. These entropies are particularly suitable to deal with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Suchandan Kayal , Alessandra Meoli

Random-effects models are frequently used to synthesise information from different studies in meta-analysis. While likelihood-based inference is attractive both in terms of limiting properties and of implementation, its application in…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis , Annamaria Guolo , Cristiano Varin

For nonnegative random variables with finite means we introduce an analogous of the equilibrium residual-lifetime distribution based on the quantile function. This allows to construct new distributions with support (0,1), and to obtain a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Julio Mulero

In this paper, we introduce weighted fractional generalized cumulative past entropy of a nonnegative absolutely continuous random variable with bounded support. Various properties of the proposed weighted fractional measure are studied.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Suchandan Kayal , N. Balakrishnan

Like mean, quantile and variance, mode is also an important measure of central tendency and data summary. Many practical questions often focus on "Which element (gene or file or signal) occurs most often or is the most typical among all…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-03 Keming Yu , Katerina Aristodemou

In paired randomized experiments individuals in a given matched pair may differ on prognostically important covariates despite the best efforts of practitioners. We examine the use of regression adjustment as a way to correct for persistent…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-27 Colin B. Fogarty

Panel count data is common when the study subjects are exposed to recurrent events, observed only at discrete time points. In this article, we consider the regression analysis of panel count data with multiple modes of recurrence. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Sreedevi E. P. , Sankaran P. G.

Percentiles and more generally, quantiles are commonly used in various contexts to summarize data. For most distributions, there is exactly one quantile that is unbiased. For distributions like the Gaussian that have the same mean and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Rohit Pandey

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

This paper studies the non-parametric estimation and uniform inference for the conditional quantile regression function (CQRF) with covariates exposed to measurement errors. We consider the case that the distribution of the measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-03 Haoze Hou , Wei Huang , Zheng Zhang
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