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While time-delay lenses can be an independent probe of $H_0$ the estimates are degenerate with the convergence of the lens near the Einstein radius. Velocity dispersions, $\sigma$, can be used to break the degeneracy, with uncertainties…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2026-02-05 R. Forés-Toribio , C. S. Kochanek , J. A. Muñoz

Deep learning methods achieve remarkable predictive performance in modeling complex, large-scale data. However, assessing the quality of derived models has become increasingly challenging, as more classical statistical assumptions may no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-02 Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

This article concerns a systemic manifestation of small scale interfacial heterogeneities in large scale quantities of interest to a variety of diverse applications spanning the earth, biological and ecological sciences. Beginning with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-24 Jorge M. Ramirez , Enrique A. Thomann , Edward C. Waymire

This study introduces a novel forecasting strategy that leverages the power of fractional differencing (FD) to capture both short- and long-term dependencies in time series data. Unlike traditional integer differencing methods, FD preserves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Sarit Maitra , Vivek Mishra , Srashti Dwivedi , Sukanya Kundu , Goutam Kumar Kundu

Many applications of causal inference require using treatment effects estimated on a study population to make decisions in a separate target population. We consider the challenging setting where there are covariates that are observed in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Khurram Yamin , Vibhhu Sharma , Ed Kennedy , Bryan Wilder

We propose a novel method for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects based on the fused lasso. By first ordering samples based on the propensity or prognostic score, we match units from the treatment and control groups. We then run the…

Many econometric analyses involve spatio--temporal data. A considerable amount of literature has addressed spatio--temporal models, with Spatial Dynamic Panel Data (SDPD) being widely investigated and applied. In real data applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-18 Maria Lucia Parrella

Statistical models used to estimate the spatio-temporal pattern in disease risk from areal unit data represent the risk surface for each time period with known covariates and a set of spatially smooth random effects. The latter act as a…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alastair Rushworth , Duncan Lee , Christophe Sarran

In the framework of the pseudophotons method and under the hypothesis of the far field approximation the formal evaluation of the transition radiation spectrum produced by a three-dimensional charged beam interacting with a metallic target…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Gian Luca Orlandi

In modelling time series data coming from different sources, frequencies can easily vary since some variable can be measured at higher frequencies, others, at lower frequencies. Given data measured over spatial units and at varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Vladimir A. Malabanan , Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan , Erniel B. Barrios

Empirical studies using Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs often explore heterogeneous treatment effects based on pretreatment covariates, even though no formal statistical methods exist for such analyses. This has led to the widespread…

Environmental policy evaluation frequently requires thoughtful consideration of space and time in causal inference. We use novel statistical methods to analyze the causal effect of land concessions on deforestation rates in Cambodia.…

When employing non-linear methods to characterise complex systems, it is important to determine to what extent they are capturing genuine non-linear phenomena that could not be assessed by simpler spectral methods. Specifically, we are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-22 Pedro A. M. Mediano , Fernando E. Rosas , Adam B. Barrett , Daniel Bor

First-order separability of a spatio-temporal point process plays a fundamental role in the analysis of spatio-temporal point pattern data. While it is often a convenient assumption that simplifies the analysis greatly, existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-22 Mohammad Ghorbani , Nafiseh Vafaei , Jiří Dvořák , Mari Myllymäki

Spatial association measures for univariate static spatial data are widely used. When the data is in the form of a collection of spatial vectors with the same temporal domain of interest, we construct a measure of similarity between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Divya Kappara , Arup Bose , Madhuchhanda Bhattacharjee

Scientists regularly pose questions about treatment effects on outcomes conditional on a post-treatment event. However, causal inference in such settings requires care, even in perfectly executed randomized experiments. Recently, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Chan Park , Mats Stensrud , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

The issue of spatial confounding between the spatial random effect and the fixed effects in regression analyses has been identified as a concern in the statistical literature. Multiple authors have offered perspectives and potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-18 Kori Khan , Catherine A. Calder

Species distribution models (SDMs) are increasingly applied across macroscales. Such models typically assume that a single set of regression coefficients can adequately describe species-environment relationships and/or population trends.…

This paper focuses on the analysis of spatially correlated functional data. The between-curve correlation is modeled by correlating functional principal component scores of the functional data. We propose a Spatial Principal Analysis by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Chong Liu , Surajit Ray , Giles Hooker

This paper provides estimation and inference methods for a conditional average treatment effects (CATE) characterized by a high-dimensional parameter in both homogeneous cross-sectional and unit-heterogeneous dynamic panel data settings. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Vira Semenova , Matt Goldman , Victor Chernozhukov , Matt Taddy