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M-type smoothing splines are a broad class of spline estimators that include the popular least-squares smoothing spline but also spline estimators that are less susceptible to outlying observations and model-misspecification. However,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Ioannis Kalogridis

We propose a unified framework for establishing existence of nonparametric M-estimators, computing the corresponding estimates, and proving their strong consistency when the class of functions is exceptionally rich. In particular, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Johannes O. Royset , Roger J-B Wets

This paper deals with subspace estimation in the small sample size regime, where the number of samples is comparable in magnitude with the observation dimension. The traditional estimators, mostly based on the sample correlation matrix, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-19 Pascal Vallet , Xavier Mestre , Philippe Loubaton

Study samples often differ from the target populations of inference and policy decisions in non-random ways. Researchers typically believe that such departures from random sampling -- due to changes in the population over time and space, or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Tamara Broderick , Ryan Giordano , Rachael Meager

Orthogonal statistical learning and double machine learning have emerged as general frameworks for two-stage statistical prediction in the presence of a nuisance component. We establish non-asymptotic bounds on the excess risk of orthogonal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Lang Liu , Carlos Cinelli , Zaid Harchaoui

We obtain risk bounds for Empirical Risk Minimizers (ERM) and minmax Median-Of-Means (MOM) estimators based on loss functions that are both Lipschitz and convex. Results for the ERM are derived without assumptions on the outputs and under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-01 Geoffrey Chinot , Lecué Guillaume , Lerasle Matthieu

We study the large sample properties of sparse M-estimators in the presence of pseudo-observations. Our framework covers a broad class of semi-parametric copula models, for which the marginal distributions are unknown and replaced by their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-01 Jean-David Fermanian , Benjamin Poignard

Let $\mathbf{X} = (X_i)_{1\leq i \leq n}$ be an i.i.d. sample of square-integrable variables in $\mathbb{R}^d$, \GB{with common expectation $\mu$ and covariance matrix $\Sigma$, both unknown.} We consider the problem of testing if $\mu$ is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Gilles Blanchard , Jean-Baptiste Fermanian

We address the problem of estimating the expected shortfall risk of a financial loss using a finite number of i.i.d. data. It is well known that the classical plug-in estimator suffers from poor statistical performance when faced with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-13 Daniel Bartl , Stephan Eckstein

Optimal values and solutions of empirical approximations of stochastic optimization problems can be viewed as statistical estimators of their true values. From this perspective, it is important to understand the asymptotic behavior of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Johannes Milz , Thomas M. Surowiec

Consider a nonlinear regression model : y_{i}=g(x_{i},{\theta})+e_{i}, i=1,...,n, where the x_{i} are random predictors x_{i} and {\theta} is the unknown parameter vector ranging in a set {\Theta}\subsetR^{p}. All known results on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-03 Fasano María Victoria , Ricardo A. Maronna

We consider least squares estimation in a general nonparametric regression model. The rate of convergence of the least squares estimator (LSE) for the unknown regression function is well studied when the errors are sub-Gaussian. We find…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Arun K. Kuchibhotla , Rohit K. Patra

Classical least squares estimators are well-known to be robust with respect to moment assumptions concerning the error distribution in a wide variety of finite-dimensional statistical problems; generally only a second moment assumption is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-08 Qiyang Han , Jon A. Wellner

We study the problem of testing the goodness of fit of categorical count data to a Poisson distribution uniform over the categories, against a class of alternatives defined by excluding an $\ell_p$ ball, $p \leq 2$, of radius $\epsilon$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Alon Kipnis

This manuscript studies statistical properties of linear classifiers obtained through minimization of an unregularized convex risk over a finite sample. Although the results are explicitly finite-dimensional, inputs may be passed through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-15 Matus Telgarsky

Given two populations from which independent binary observations are taken with parameters $p_1$ and $p_2$ respectively, estimators are proposed for the relative risk $p_1/p_2$, the odds ratio $p_1(1-p_2)/(p_2(1-p_1))$ and their logarithms.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Luis Mendo

Linear Least Squares is a very well known technique for parameter estimation, which is used even when sub-optimal, because of its very low computational requirements and the fact that exact knowledge of the noise statistics is not required.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-11-01 Michael Krikheli , Amir Leshem

Since its early use in least squares regression problems, the l1-penalization framework for variable selection has been employed in conjunction with a wide range of loss functions encompassing regression, classification and survival…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Guilherme V. Rocha , Xing Wang , Bin Yu

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution of $n$ independent random variables. Our approach is based on a family of candidate probabilities that we shall call a model and which is chosen to either contain the true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Yannick Baraud

We prove that $\tilde{\Theta}(k d^2 / \varepsilon^2)$ samples are necessary and sufficient for learning a mixture of $k$ Gaussians in $\mathbb{R}^d$, up to error $\varepsilon$ in total variation distance. This improves both the known upper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-23 Hassan Ashtiani , Shai Ben-David , Nick Harvey , Christopher Liaw , Abbas Mehrabian , Yaniv Plan
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