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Perhaps the most iconic feature of melting Arctic sea ice is the formation of distinctive, complex ponds on its surface during late spring. The evolution of melt ponds and their geometrical characteristics determines the albedo of sea ice,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-11 Yi-Ping Ma , Ivan Sudakov , Courtenay Strong , Kenneth M. Golden

Arctic sea ice concentration is often coarsely observed and numerically computed despite its importance for polar climate system. In this work we present three machine-learning methods to recover the original high-resolution images from the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-02 Jun Zhai , Cecilia M. Bitz

We consider the scientifically challenging and policy-relevant task of understanding the past and projecting the future dynamics of the Antarctic ice sheet. The Antarctic ice sheet has shown a highly nonlinear threshold response to past…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-20 Ben Seiyon Lee , Murali Haran , Robert Fuller , David Pollard , Klaus Keller

Inference of physical parameters from reference data is a well studied problem with many intricacies (inconsistent sets of data due to experimental systematic errors, approximate physical models...). The complexity is further increased when…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-09-06 Pascal Pernot , Fabien Cailliez

Dynamical weather and climate prediction models underpin many studies of the Earth system and hold the promise of being able to make robust projections of future climate change based on physical laws. However, simulations from these models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Peter A. G. Watson

Calibration or parameter identification is used with computational mechanics models related to observed data of the modeled process to find model parameters such that good similarity between model prediction and observation is achieved. We…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-12-26 Harald Willmann , Jonas Nitzler , Sebastian Brandstaeter , Wolfgang A. Wall

A computer model can be used for predicting an output only after specifying the values of some unknown physical constants known as calibration parameters. The unknown calibration parameters can be estimated from real data by conducting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-18 Arvind Krishna , V. Roshan Joseph , Shan Ba , William A. Brenneman , William R. Myers

Arctic sea ice performs a vital role in global climate and has paramount impacts on both polar ecosystems and coastal communities. In the last few years, multiple deep learning based pan-Arctic sea ice concentration (SIC) forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Jingyi Xu , Yeqi Luo , Weidong Yang , Keyi Liu , Shengnan Wang , Ben Fei , Lei Bai

In this article, we considered the problem of sea ice cover is melting. Considering the `satellite passive microwave remote sensing data' as functional data, we studied daily observation of sea ice cover of each year as a smooth continuous…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-25 Purba Das , Ananya Lahiri , Sourish Das

The mass loss of the polar ice sheets contributes considerably to ongoing sea-level rise and changing ocean circulation, leading to coastal flooding and risking the homes and livelihoods of tens of millions of people globally. To address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Zesheng Liu , YoungHyun Koo , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

Sea ice at the North Pole is vital to global climate dynamics. However, accurately forecasting sea ice poses a significant challenge due to the intricate interaction among multiple variables. Leveraging the capability to integrate multiple…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Jaesung Park , Sungchul Hong , Yoonseo Cho , Jong-June Jeon

A virtual try-on method takes a product image and an image of a model and produces an image of the model wearing the product. Most methods essentially compute warps from the product image to the model image and combine using image…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-30 Kedan Li , Min Jin Chong , Jingen Liu , David Forsyth

Computer model calibration is a crucial step in building a reliable computer model. In the face of massive physical observations, a fast estimation for the calibration parameters is urgently needed. To alleviate the computational burden, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Shurui Lv , Yan Wang , Jun Yu

The prediction of aircraft icing is conventionally performed using multishot simulation frameworks that fail to predict the progressive roughening of the ice surface. To understand roughness formation, we investigate droplet impingement on…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-08 Federico Zabaleta , Brett Bornhoft , Suhas S. Jain , Sanjeeb T. Bose , Parviz Moin

Sea ice cover in the Arctic and Antarctic is an important indicator of changes in the climate, with important environmental, economic and security consequences. The complexity of the spatio-temporal dynamics of sea ice makes it difficult to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-11-06 James Hogg , Maria Fonoberova , Igor Mezic

Human-induced climate change may cause significant ice volume loss from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS). Projections of ice volume change from ice-sheet models and corresponding future sea-level rise have large uncertainties due to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-08 Won Chang , Murali Haran , Patrick Applegate , David Pollard

Ice sheet models are routinely used to quantify and project an ice sheet's contribution to sea level rise. In order for an ice sheet model to generate realistic projections, its parameters must first be calibrated using observational data;…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-11 Bao Anh Vu , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , David Gunawan , Felicity S. McCormack , Noel Cressie

Computer models are used to model complex processes in various disciplines. Often, a key source of uncertainty in the behavior of complex computer models is uncertainty due to unknown model input parameters. Statistical computer model…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-02 Won Chang , Murali Haran , Roman Olson , Klaus Keller

Seasonal forecasting is a crucial task when it comes to detecting the extreme heat and colds that occur due to climate change. Confidence in the predictions should be reliable since a small increase in the temperatures in a year has a big…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Busra Asan , Abdullah Akgül , Alper Unal , Melih Kandemir , Gozde Unal

Machine learning models are rapidly becoming widely used to simulate complex physicochemical phenomena with ab initio accuracy. Here, we use one such model as well as direct density functional theory (DFT) calculations to investigate the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-18 Pablo M. Piaggi , Athanassios Z. Panagiotopoulos , Pablo G. Debenedetti , Roberto Car