English
Related papers

Related papers: Wind Power Persistence Characterized by Superstati…

200 papers

Power system robustness against high impact low probability events is becoming a major concern. To depict distinct phases of a system response during these disturbances, an irregular polygon model is derived from the conventional trapezoid…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-11 Giritharan Vijay Iswaran , Ramin Vakili , Mojdeh Khorsand

The climate system is a forced, dissipative, nonlinear, complex and heterogeneous system that is out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of motion, in time as well as space, and it is subject…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-05 Michael Ghil , Valerio Lucarini

The climate change dispute is about changes over time of environmental characteristics (such as rainfall). Some people say that a possible change is not so much in the mean but rather in the extreme phenomena (that is, the average rainfall…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Laurens de Haan , Albert Klein Tank , Cláudia Neves

In power system operation, characterizing the stochastic nature of wind power is an important albeit challenging issue. It is well known that distributions of wind power forecast errors often exhibit significant variability with respect to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-12-05 Zhiwen Wang , Chen Shen , Feng Liu

Persistence is an important characteristic of many complex systems in nature, related to how long the system remains at a certain state before changing to a different one. The study of complex systems' persistence involves different…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-05-05 S. Salcedo-Sanz , D. Casillas-Pérez , J. Del Ser , C. Casanova-Mateo , L. Cuadra , M. Piles , G. Camps-Valls

Over the past years, the share of electricity production from wind power plants has increased to significant levels in several power systems across Europe and the United States. In order to cope with the fluctuating and partially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-19 Line Roald , Sidhant Misra , Michael Chertkov , Scott Backhaus , Göran Andersson

Weather regimes describe the large-scale atmospheric circulation in the mid-latitudes in terms of a few circulation states that modulate regional surface weather. Subseasonal forecasts of prevailing weather regimes have proven skillful and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-09 Judith Gerighausen , Joshua Dorrington , Marisol Osman , Christian M. Grams

We consider the effect of rain on wind wave generation and dissipation. Rain falling on a wavy surface may have a marked tendency to dampen the shorter waves in the tail of the spectrum, the related range increasing with the rain rate.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-03-11 Luigi Cavaleri , Luciana Bertotti , Jean-Raymond Bidlot

Due to a series of supporting policies in recent years, China wind power has developed rapidly through a large-scale and centralized mode. This paper analyzes the two major concerns faced by wind power development in China: wind generation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-13 Jianxue Wang , Shutang You , Xingzhong Bai , Mingqiao Peng

Nonequilibrium systems with large-scale fluctuations of a suitable system parameter are often effectively described by a superposition of two statistics, a superstatistics. Here we illustrate this concept by analysing experimental data of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 C. Beck , E. G. D. Cohen , S. Rizzo

Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can provide significant improvements in decision-making processes in the smart power grid for better integrating renewable energies such as wind. Whereas point forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-30 Kostas Hatalis , Shalinee Kishore , Katya Scheinberg , Alberto Lamadrid

Renewable energy sources provide a constantly increasing contribution to the total energy production worldwide. However, the power generation from these sources is highly variable due to their dependence on meteorological conditions.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Thordis Thorarinsdottir , Anders Løland , Alex Lenkoski

The ever-growing use of wind energy makes necessary the optimization of turbine operations through pitch angle controllers and their maintenance with early fault detection. It is crucial to have accurate and robust models imitating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Alfonso Gijón , Ainhoa Pujana-Goitia , Eugenio Perea , Miguel Molina-Solana , Juan Gómez-Romero

Background. This paper study statistical data gathered from wind turbines located on the territory of the Republic of Poland. The research is aimed to construct the stochastic model that predicts the change of wind speed with time. Purpose.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-11-15 M. N. Gevorkyan , A. V. Demidova , Robert A. Sobolewski , I. S. Zaryadov , A. V. Korolkova , D. S. Kulyabov , L. A. Sevastianov

We review recent results on the appearance of long-term persistence in climatic records and their relevance for the evaluation of global climate models and rare events.The persistence can be characterized, for example, by the correlation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Armin Bunde , Jan Eichner , Rathinaswamy Govindan , Shlomo Havlin , Eva Koscielny-Bunde , Diego Rybski , Dmitry Vjushin

The objective of the GreenPAD project is to use green energy (wind, solar and biomass) for powering data-centers that are used to run HPC jobs. As a part of this it is important to predict the Renewable (Wind) energy for efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-27 Ankur Sahai

This paper addresses the problem of predicting a wind farm's power generation when no or few statistical data is available. The study is based on a time-series wind speed model and on a simple dynamic model of a DFIG wind turbine including…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Herman Bayem , Yannick Phulpin , Philippe Dessante , Julien Bect

Given increasing risk from climate-induced natural hazards, there is growing interest in the development of methods that can quantitatively measure resilience in power systems. This work quantifies resilience in electric power transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-18 Molly Rose Kelly-Gorham , Paul. D. H. Hines , Ian Dobson

Real-time altitude control of airborne wind energy (AWE) systems can improve performance by allowing turbines to track favorable wind speeds across a range of operating altitudes. The current work explores the performance implications of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-22 Laurel N. Dunn , Christopher Vermillion , Fotini K. Chow , Scott J. Moura

Examples of the different events affecting wind power fluctuations are shown.The behaviors and the responses of the Spanish power system and wind power plants experiencing such events were analyzed. Examples presented in this chapter show…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-29 S. Martin-Martínez , A. Vigueras-Rodríguez , E. Gómez-Lázaro , A. Molina-García , E. Muljadi , M. Milligan