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Despite the impressive generalization capabilities of deep neural networks, they have been repeatedly shown to be overconfident when they are wrong. Fixing this issue is known as model calibration, and has consequently received much…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Muthu Chidambaram , Rong Ge

We study the spectral gaps of parallel and simulated tempering chains targeting multimodal Gibbs measures. In particular, we consider chains constructed from Metropolis random walks that preserve the Gibbs distributions at a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Seungjae Son

The simulated tempering (ST) is an important method to deal with systems whose phase spaces are hard to sample ergodically. However, it uses accepting probabilities weights which often demand involving and time consuming calculations. Here…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-20 Carlos E. Fiore , M. G. E. da Luz

By combining different ideas, a general and efficient protocol to deal with discontinuous phase transitions at low temperatures is proposed. For small $T$'s, it is possible to derive a generic analytic expression for appropriate order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-03 C. E. Fiore , M. G. E. da Luz

Due to embedded systems` stringent design constraints, much prior work focused on optimizing energy consumption and/or performance. Since embedded systems typically have fewer cooling options, rising temperature, and thus temperature…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2016-02-16 Tosiron Adegbija , Ann Gordon-Ross

Parallel tempering and population annealing are both effective methods for simulating equilibrium systems with rough free energy landscapes. Parallel tempering, also known as replica exchange Monte Carlo, is a Markov chain Monte Carlo…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-05 Jon Machta , Richard S. Ellis

Hyperparameter optimization is both a practical issue and an interesting theoretical problem in training of deep architectures. Despite many recent advances the most commonly used methods almost universally involve training multiple and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Vlad Pushkarov , Jonathan Efroni , Mykola Maksymenko , Maciej Koch-Janusz

Simulated tempering (ST) is an established Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for sampling from a multimodal density $\pi(\theta)$. Typically, ST involves introducing an auxiliary variable $k$ taking values in a finite subset of $[0,1]$…

Computation · Statistics 2008-11-03 Robert B. Gramacy , Richard J. Samworth , Ruth King

Informed Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have been proposed as scalable solutions to Bayesian posterior computation on high-dimensional discrete state spaces, but theoretical results about their convergence behavior in general…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-01 Quan Zhou , Aaron Smith

In-memory computing (IMC) has been shown to be a promising approach for solving binary optimization problems while significantly reducing energy and latency. Building on the advantages of parallel computation, we propose an IMC-compatible…

The operation of machine tools often demands a highly accurate knowledge of the tool center point's (TCP) position. The displacement of the TCP over time can be inferred from thermal models, which comprise a set of geometrically coupled…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Alexandra Bünger , Roland Herzog , Andreas Naumann , Martin Stoll

Cooling of particles to mK-temperatures is essential for a variety of experiments with trapped charged particles. However, many species of interest lack suitable electronic transitions for direct laser cooling. We study theoretically the…

The tempered Lefschetz thimble method (TLTM) is a parallel-tempering algorithm towards solving the numerical sign problem. It tames both the sign and ergodicity problems simultaneously by tempering the system with the flow time of…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2020-01-07 Masafumi Fukuma , Nobuyuki Matsumoto , Naoya Umeda

We present iterative Monte Carlo algorithm for which the temperature variable is attracted by a critical point. The algorithm combines techniques of single histogram reweighting and linear filtering. The 2d Ising model of ferromagnet is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 M. Gmitra , D. Horvath

Multiple-try Metropolis (MTM) is a popular Markov chain Monte Carlo method with the appealing feature of being amenable to parallel computing. At each iteration, it samples several candidates for the next state of the Markov chain and…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-25 Philippe Gagnon , Florian Maire , Giacomo Zanella

The Cold Posterior Effect (CPE) is a phenomenon in Bayesian Deep Learning (BDL), where tempering the posterior to a cold temperature often improves the predictive performance of the posterior predictive distribution (PPD). Although the term…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-27 Kenyon Ng , Chris van der Heide , Liam Hodgkinson , Susan Wei

Annealing-based neural samplers seek to amortize sampling from unnormalized distributions by training neural networks to transport a family of densities interpolating from source to target. A crucial design choice in the training phase of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Ezra Erives , Bowen Jing , Peter Holderrieth , Tommi Jaakkola

We investigate the parameter space of transformer models trained on protein sequence data using a statistical mechanics framework, sampling the loss landscape at varying temperatures by Langevin dynamics to characterize the low-loss…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-04-01 L. Ghiringhelli , A. Zambon , G. Tiana

One main limitation of the existing optimal scaling results for Metropolis--Hastings algorithms is that the assumptions on the target distribution are unrealistic. In this paper, we consider optimal scaling of random-walk Metropolis…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-05 Jun Yang , Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Controlling the temperature distribution inside catalytic fixed bed reactors is crucial for yield optimization and process stability. Yet, in situ temperature measurements with spatial and temporal resolution are still challenging. In this…

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